hey, just noticed this thread, i've been a fan of MMA since 2002 (when UFC first came to England), it's my favourite sport.
Anyway, i don't bet much money myself, but i've had a good run on picking winners, here's my picks for UFC 116 - hopefully/maybe someone can make a few bob on it:
Lesnar V Carwin: Lesnar - 1.71
Leben V Akiyama: Leben - 2.54
Lytle V Brown: Brown - 2.24
Soszynski V Bonnar: Bonnar - 2.74
Sotiropoulos V Pellegrino: Pellegrino - 2.22
Schaub V Tuchscherer: Schaub - 1.3
Petruzelli V Romero: Petruzelli - No Market Depth
Grove V Relljc: Reljic - 1.55
Harris V Branch: Harris - No Market Depth
Roberts V Petz: Roberts - No Market Depth
Madsen V Vemola: Vemola - No Market Depth
I haven't checked any odds, I don't supposed i've picked all the favourites.
I hope you can make some use of this
You've gone for 4 out of 5 outsiders in the main fight card, see the prices ive posted in your quote box
GL
wow, interesting, now i'm doubting myself!
my theory on Leben was him pulling out an upset (as an underdog), but i don't personally have him as an underdog.
Lytle is really the favourite? he hasn't won 3 in a row since 2004, fighting 17 times since then. Lytle has beaten Brown before, but Brown is so vastly improved since then, whereas Lytle never really shows any improvement fight by fight.
Bonnar/Soszynski is a toss up. Just went with my gut (and maybe the fighter i prefer to watch)
Pellegrino is showing such great improvement lately, he's on a hot streak and i can't see that Sotiripolous will be able to execute his ground game against him.
EDIT: As i've found over the last couple of years, betting on main events is rarely worth it. Either because its a toss up, or because the favourite is so huge there's no value in winning. This fight is the former, a toss up. Lesnar is always the underdog in MMA (according to fans/critics) so i'm backing him this time.
guess we'll see