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14401
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Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: 100NLHU bet sizing with the (nuts)
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on: December 23, 2010, 09:21:43 PM
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When he 3bets the flop I'd probably either peel and c/r turn or make it like $50
oioi I would either be peeling the flop 3bet and c/raising the turn, or raising bigger on the flop (to like $40-$50 and therefore setting stacks to easily get in on the turn
BAM wp wp |
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14402
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Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: 100NLHU River bluff?
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on: December 23, 2010, 02:43:54 PM
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fwiw i agree that this is a pretty spewy bluff. 3betting is standard, I dont know why you'd think otherwise tbh. I also think you can call to setmine profitably. $11 more to call pre, easily enough implied odds given villains 4bet %age. yes you're OP, but an 8% range indicates a very strong value range, most of which will stack off if you flop a set.
I think calling on the flop is pretty bad given villain's range. Maybe he has AK here, but might not even be 4betting that (and might check back that flop). You're way behind most of the time here. I don't think he's ever folding KK and QQ etc here on the river either.
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14403
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Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: 100NLHU River bluff?
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on: December 23, 2010, 02:36:54 PM
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On reflection I think 3betting is awful here, although I don't think calling is profitable, I think it loses less money than folding/raising in the long term.
I think villain never has an ace here, he has 99-kk alot and alot of air, shoving folds out both of these. Think I would probably shove the river if played again but would never let myself get into that situation as won't be 3betting mid pairs 200 deep anymore unless very specific dynamic.
I disagree I think QQ is a relativley easy call for villain as played. Cant see him chking back turn and giving up with many hands that aren't "airballs" none of which he can really have except POSSSIBLY KQ but id be pretty suprised. +1 well said |
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14411
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Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Shaun King, Gives his view on playing AK badly at Monte Carlo Final table
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on: December 20, 2010, 12:56:29 PM
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I think there are two camps here and both have equally valid stances. I'm in with the majority - yes I'd be bricking it at 5k, 10k money jumps etc, and I'd obv want to ladder a bit and that would stop me from 6bet shoving T9sooted, but having said all that, I'd be snapping off with AK there even so. I think I'd want a shot at winning 78k rather than going for one more prize jump.
However, this is a, I won't say once in a lifetime, but very rare experience for someone like Shaun. So there's no "longrun" view. If I had a fulltime job and didn't play poker for a living with a family to support, then these money jumps would mean a hell of a lot. Who knows how I'd react. We all like to think we'd play perfect poker on a prestigious final table like this, but I'll reserve judgement until I'm in Shaun's situation. Maybe some of you guys regularly have decisions which have 10k+ riding on them, then fair play to you, but I still don't think it gives anyone the right to ridicule someone like Shaun for playing the way he did.
Congrats on the great cash buddy. Alex
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