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46  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: What I think is an extremely complex decision on: June 06, 2014, 08:54:43 PM
I do wonder whether anyone has ever taken a spread of 6max cash winrates and worked out a way to apply them to tournaments to see how they would translate (under certain theoretical conditions of course).

One thing to remember, if you're going to apply the practical considerations of this theoretically flawed logic, is that unless you're the kickassiest player around, you should generally only be passing edges at the beginning of tournaments, due to the evolutionary pressure of tournaments. If you have a 30% roi, that's over the whole tournament, and bad players tend to bust before good ones. So if you got to play the entire tournament out against the same level of field at the beginning, you might have a 75% roi. If you had to play the entire tournament against the likely field you'll encounter on the final table, you might only have 10% roi. You could even have a negative roi and still have a positive one overall. Passing up any edge when you're only a small winner will have a much more significant (negative) effect on your roi than early doors, where the kelly-criterion-like logic of 'assurance of being able to find better future spots' has more impact, also given depth of stack.
47  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: something a little different on: June 03, 2014, 02:46:17 PM
Pat & play your position, make him pay to draw, if he caps then pats next draw you might consider breaking
48  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Best turn line for quadaroonies on: June 03, 2014, 01:17:53 PM
No one ever leads these flops with the goods, therefore...

Sometimes villains just fold and move on but when he has anything, or when he feels like spazzing , leading gives us the best chance to take stacks.
49  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: River action on: June 03, 2014, 01:15:29 PM
Lots of love for leading flop
50  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Flop decision on: June 03, 2014, 01:11:29 PM
Bad hand to 3b 200bb deep oop. Just call.

As played you have an easy call. You're getting just under 4-1 so you dont have far off immediate odds to draw vs a range of sets and flushes. Your overcards and bd straights are also live some of the time. 3betting would be pretty awful, you're getting it in fairly awful when he has it, which is often, and you're at the very bottom of your range.
51  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: ft spot on: May 29, 2014, 11:44:35 AM
Toms range looks good to me, not sure there are many hands in my r/f range with these stacks
52  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: 2 from bubble on: May 26, 2014, 02:44:07 AM
Oh i misread the hh, thought the original raiser had a stack left. 88+ATs+AJo+ unsure about KQs
53  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: 2 from bubble on: May 25, 2014, 10:09:53 PM
Think I'm TT+/AKo
54  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Disqualified for throwing a tantrum....... on: May 25, 2014, 10:02:38 PM
What about the little old lady who is playing for the first time? She gets a little anxious so crumples the cards in her nervous sweaty hands. She takes a bad beat and mutters a few golden era expletives under her breath. Are we marching the granny out the card room?

When you introduce a rule which you enforce only when certain emotions are involved then good luck with consistency. He crumpled his cards because he was so excited to win that big pot. No ban. He crumpled his cards because he was so nervous. No ban. He crumpled his cards because he was agitated. Ban.

Casinos will need to provide a colour chart of emotions like Dulux do for paint. Then the TD can simply match the offence to the chart to discover if the displayed emotion makes a ban warranted.

Lines are not always clear and floormen are always expected to act in the spirit of a rule rather than the letter; if the granny were threatening the staff, then they might consider ejecting her, but a threat from a granny carries considerably less weight than that of an angry young man. Every situation is nuanced and it's completely correct to apply a rule in one situation but not in another.
55  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Marks-ups getting out of hand on: May 15, 2014, 01:48:06 PM
Imo people should be allowed to ask for what they want and other people should be allowed to say 'you aren't worth any markup at all let alone the absurd amount you're charging'
56  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: Broadband on: May 14, 2014, 06:10:26 AM
Probs best off getting a wireless dongle if your broadband line is sh**
57  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: $215 PLO 6max four handed on: May 14, 2014, 06:07:26 AM
I might be in the minority here but I think our hand is good enough to call, assuming we're donking a balanced range of flops
58  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: AQo- The Big $55 on: May 14, 2014, 06:04:08 AM
3b/fing here is predicated on the idea that he will call with worse, enough of the time to balance out the occasional spazz with worse/flipping or slowplay with better to get us into trouble. Given he's got 25bbs and we have no reads we can't say he does or doesn't do any of the above things in the right ratios to justify it. AQo is pretty much the exact hand where he at least calls all better and folds all worse. That's confused a little bit by the equity we steal when he folds low pocket pairs but he doesn't have that many to start with from UTG and we lose out that equity anyway when he 4bjams TT/JJ. I know it's a cliche but we may as well have A2o in this spot (well not quite because I suppose he could r/c AJs, and the Q in our hand does serve as an extra blocker), given we can also probably call we may as well do that.

As to call or fold pre that's up to style/preference/confidence, I generally call but it's far from a crime to fold.

Postflop I would fold to the first bet in theory as he doesn't have that many weaker aces in his range and we're sandwiched with 3 people left to act behind us, when we don't have the best hand we're sometimes going to feel priced in on Ah/Kh/Th/8h turns and end up spaffing off a lot more $. In practice I seem to call these spots though.
59  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: :'( < 50nl sad face. on: May 14, 2014, 05:55:02 AM
I think the mantra 'bet until they give you a reason to think they have a good hand' applies here.
60  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: PC advice on: May 06, 2014, 06:41:27 PM
If you shop around you should be able to get a good PC with Intel i7 processor, 16GB+ memory, 120GB+ SSD and 1TB HDD for ~1k. Completely depends on budget and how hard you look as to what you'll find. I managed to find a similar powered laptop for that price, so i'd imagine you'd find a PC for a bit less.

If the only uses will be poker and business it makes more sense to get a larger SSD and not to bother with an HDD - being a desktop means that expansion in the future, either with an external or an internal, is convenient. I would go with a 240gb or 480gb M500 (I just bought two recently after doing a couple of hours research into crucial M500 vs samsung 840 evo)
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