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586  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: probably not threadworthy on: May 21, 2013, 10:30:46 AM
Bigger on the first 3 streets! Like 60-70 pre and go 50-70% pot from there. Value-betting river and folding as played.
587  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: River spot on: May 21, 2013, 10:21:56 AM
Buy in full!

Pretty sure he has he had $119 start of hand..

As for hand raise bit more like $17.50 and prob fold to a shove just over pot

well done mike on reading comprehension
588  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: GPS Sheffield on: May 21, 2013, 10:19:11 AM
If the stacks are short enough that you can comfortably call someone's jam (and be correct to do so) then I would consider 3betting pre, and would definitely prefer AQo to AQs to do it with. Here it seems we're too deep and if we get it in preflop we're in bad shape. So if we 3bet we would have to fold to a jam; we haven't turned our hand into a bluff, as we don't get much better to fold, and in any case the pot is still pretty small so we don't really gain very much by sometimes getting 22-66 or whatever to fold. All we achieve by 3betting is getting all the hands we dominate preflop to fold (obv this is live so we will sometimes get calls pre from ATs/AJs and KQs/QJs but they have way more Ax and Qx in their range pre that they'll probably fold).

We're getting ~ 4-1 to call preflop, so we should be defending a reasonably wide range here - say all pps, Axs, A8o+, K8s+, JTo+, perhaps a little wider - when we have a weak range, it's nice for the sakes of balance to throw in a strong hand like this one from time to time, and of course when the board does come Qxx or Axx people don't usually think we're as strong as we are so will try to barrel us off the hand, especially in position.
589  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: PLO ROE hand. on: May 21, 2013, 10:06:41 AM
Donking and c/ring the flop are all viable options, c/c could be ok against a simple one-and-done type who doesn't barrel often but I feel you need to lead this turn as played and try to take control of the hand, protect against counterfeiting/fd getting there and rep a bare flopped nut straight reasonably well. Don't like the river lead, you never get calls from worse, I could see check-calling depending on sizing and timing and live reads.
590  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Sick river spot - advice wanted on: May 21, 2013, 12:05:47 AM
Fairly easy snapcall surely? And flop and turn play are perfect, no need to raise to protect your hand at all, you don't have much of a hand to protect! Especially on the turn, your hand is a bluffcatcher and drawing to improve. Expect to lose a lot but call anyway. Jamming would be spew, he's not calling with worse, at least by calling you get to see his hand when he is bluffing.
591  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: River spot on: May 21, 2013, 12:01:37 AM
Raise to $12 and fold to a jam. You have the best hand here a lot and he definitely calls with worse. Buy in full!
592  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: £1/3 deep @ the vic on: May 20, 2013, 11:59:33 PM
Never folding when he has worse two pair in his value range. We're pretty to be turning any hands into bluffs and if villain is tight he's neither got enough worse two pair in his range and might even fold some of it to a river raise, and he can ofc easily have all the sets in his range, so an easy call.

I can find reasons to 3b pre but mostly just flat, prefer flatting if we're suited.

Turn raise would be pretty awful, surely only serves to fold out all better and get all worse to call. If he has a draw he has a draw, there's only one card to come. The board being dry means a raise reps strength and we'd be bang in the middle of that range, or in other words, our hand is face-up. Flatting gives him the chance to barrel us off the hand.
593  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check on: May 20, 2013, 11:53:35 PM
800,058  games     0.017 secs    47,062,235  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    30.762%     26.95%    03.81%            215615        30496.50   { AdJs }
Hand 1:    35.522%     31.57%    03.95%            252611        31589.00   { 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, AJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As2s, KsQs, JsTs, Ts9s, AdJc, AhJc, AhJd, AsJc, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Hand 2:    33.716%     33.20%    00.52%            265614         4132.50   { JJ+, 33, AsKs, AsQs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, KJs, KsTs, QJs, QsTs, Qs9s, 9s7s, KJo, QJo, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }


Sb hand one, utg+1 hand two. Think prob give both a bit too much credit and SB prob has some lead/fold range so this isnt totally accurate. But don't want As going 3 ways.

I'd get it in. The above range for whatever reason you're including some naked straight draws from both players and it seems unlikely they're in their ranges, and you haven't included any pairs at all other than QQ-AA and pair + fd. We should definitely put some KJ, QJ and even JT and J9 in at least one of their ranges.
594  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: PLO value bet: Hand 1 on: May 20, 2013, 11:45:10 PM
Fold preflop!

I probably wouldn't bet this one, theres 5 in the pot and your hand is a pretty good bluff catcher, I'd rather check and call a bet from behind then bet and fold to a raise, because I think people aren't calling in spots like here often when you have the best hand, but they are prone to take a stab at stealing a pot, given the lack of action and the size of the pot.



Doubt anyone is bluffing 5-ways on this board, and doubt people slowplay two streets with a better hand that often, but they could call with worse, and they're very unlikely to raise with worse so you have an easy decision. I'd make it small enough that flushes look you up, like $40 or something, could go even smaller and encourage multiple callers. Obv an exploitable strat as we don't make many bluffs that sizing but we've got no reason to believe villains know that.
595  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Updates / Re: DTD Monte Carlo £500,000 GTD: Day 1b and Competition on: April 19, 2013, 07:52:33 PM
Michael "wazz" Piper


Wazz the guy who had the sick Omaha heater? Went from 5/10 to nosebleeds in 6 months or so a few years back?

Hoo hoo, haa, hahaha, nope, I wish!
596  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: DTD Monte Carlo £500,000 GTD: Rollcall and Predictions please on: April 18, 2013, 11:49:15 PM
Please dont ignore the 2nd half of my post Rob! I recognize that its not DTD that sets the rules in this regard.
597  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: DTD Monte Carlo £500,000 GTD: Rollcall and Predictions please on: April 18, 2013, 08:13:41 AM
I don't really care whether it's an industry standard (I don't remember stars doing it but I regged with them like 8 years ago or something so maybe), it's pretty deplorable. I see it in bookies sometimes - a young-looking guy walks in, plays the machines or makes a bet, wins, and then gets told he can't cashout because he doesn't have ID on him. It's pretty deplorable behaviour from the gambling industry.

In any case I barely play online at all anymore and I recognize that this is much more likely to be iPoker than DTD and I have nothing but good words to say of my experiences with Rob and Simon and the club and am looking forward to the comp today, apologies if I got up anyone's backside about this. About to jump on a train in an hour.....
598  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: DTD Monte Carlo £500,000 GTD: Rollcall and Predictions please on: April 17, 2013, 06:33:56 PM
LOL standard online poker.... deposit, win, withdraw, get told i need to verify my age. complete bs. guess i'll be regging tomorrow morning (will there definitely be space???) and never playing on DTD again.
599  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: DTD Monte Carlo £500,000 GTD: Rollcall and Predictions please on: April 17, 2013, 12:47:25 PM
I'm down tomorrow and am vaguely expecting >£600k in the prize pool.
What's my best option to buy in? Could pay cash at the desk, call ahead of time and pay by debit card, or use my DTD account?
600  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Interview wtih london pro Michael Piper (Wazz) on: September 21, 2010, 05:53:42 PM
Not at all, like I said in that 2+2 post, I completely understand the attitudes of everyone who commented on the topic, and can especially understand why people on blonde would be quick to jump to conclusions. I bear no ill will towards anyone who had anything negative to say about me publicly or privately.
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