Laura K saying she's heard the postal votes aren't looking good for Labour.....expected I suppose given the demographic that use it.

from Conservative sources?

"Her sources" it seems....as I see twitter is kicking off on this. Laura might get her wrist slapped by the electoral commission?

Laura K saying she's heard the postal votes aren't looking good for Labour.....expected I suppose given the demographic that use it.

What do we think of the WASPI women vote?

An estimated 3.8million women born in the 1950s will get an ave of 15K from labour (in theory).

Surely a huge % of them will now vote labour?

I don't think its a game changer

lots of tactical voting in the south (possibly, though probably overstated on social where people are switched on to it) could get wiped out by losses in current Labour leave-voting heartland seats

Anything from Tory landslide to hung parliament is in the realm of possibility

Getting out the vote key, weather tomorrow could be a swing factor etc etc

Fair bit of rain/bad weather around.........who's that good for?  Students not leaving the pub?....older voters not going out?

I want to run a small competition

Please post before polls close on Thursday to be eligible

Answer with one number, either

a) size of conservative majority or b) number of seats short of majority (and state which your answer is)

Nearest wins a £25 donation to a charity of their choice (will post screenshot)

In the event of a tie earliest guess wins

Anyway those that haven't can still have a crack at this

Put my money where your mouth is, or something like that.....

I said at start of campaign 25-35 majority.

I'll go for 26 majority.

Have you been offered a decent cash out on your 7/4 bet?   

4.6m views of the Joe Pike 4 year old in hospital Boris interview video on twitter in half a day.

It makes no difference though?

Of course similar stories now follow until Thursday......ie Mirror again tomorrow.  

Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 42% (=)
LAB: 36% (+4)
LDM: 11% (-1)
BXP: 4% (+1)
GRN: 2% (=)

Via @SavantaComRes, 2-5 Dec.
Changes w/ 2-3 Dec.

Highest labour result since April

your 5/2 tip on "no majority" is still available.

6/7% lead is said to be potential "no majority" territory.

Weekend polls seems to be steady on about a 10 pt lead.

Some 10/3 now available!

now value at 7/2.....going in. #floorgate

Tory landslide.........




.......15 seat majority

Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 42% (=)
LAB: 36% (+4)
LDM: 11% (-1)
BXP: 4% (+1)
GRN: 2% (=)

Via @SavantaComRes, 2-5 Dec.
Changes w/ 2-3 Dec.

Highest labour result since April

your 5/2 tip on "no majority" is still available.

6/7% lead is said to be potential "no majority" territory.

Weekend polls seems to be steady on about a 10 pt lead.

Some 10/3 now available!

 
Boris v Andrew Neil Sophie Ridge, tomorrow morning.

Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 42% (=)
LAB: 36% (+4)
LDM: 11% (-1)
BXP: 4% (+1)
GRN: 2% (=)

Via @SavantaComRes, 2-5 Dec.
Changes w/ 2-3 Dec.

Highest labour result since April

your 5/2 tip on "no majority" is still available.

6/7% lead is said to be potential "no majority" territory.

I have to vote to ensure Jezza doesn't become PM and to ensure Brexit gets done. So, with regret, I have to vote Tory. Come on you blues. Hopefully next time there's a palatable Labour option

......and that seems to be a constant theme of a lot of voters in the "Red Wall" when you see them being interviewed ie Channel 4, Sky, Newsnight.

Hence it looks like Boris should be buying Jezza a HUGE pot of that Damson Jam for Christmas, because without him as leader........

I have to vote to ensure Jezza doesn't become PM and to ensure Brexit gets done. So, with regret, I have to vote Tory. Come on you blues. Hopefully next time there's a palatable Labour option

......and that seems to be a constant theme of a lot of voters in the "Red Wall" when you see them being interviewed ie Channel 4, Sky, Newsnight.

Andrew Neil has challenged Boris Johnson to commit to an interview to face questions on why people have “deemed him to be untrustworthy”

The 3 minute video empty chairing him and calling him out in case anyone missed it

https://twitter.com/PA/status/1202702175367041030?s=20

So the powers in Tory H Q, make the tactical decision it's better to take the flak of a "no show", rather than being grilled by Neil. Can't see it myself, its a mistake.

Surely it wont happen at the next election. Formats/interviews will be formally agreed pre election.

understand it from Tory point of view

on course for a majority, know their man could be exposed, why take the risk?

May make no difference (people who would vote for him may not care, people who do care won't vote for him)

rankles a bit to see him "grilled" on his favourite way to make tea by Holly and Phil yesterday morning  rather than face sensible scrutiny though

Goes the other way too....Boris has done an hour phone in with public questions with Nick Ferrari LBC....which Corbyn wont do.

Andrew Neil has challenged Boris Johnson to commit to an interview to face questions on why people have “deemed him to be untrustworthy”

The 3 minute video empty chairing him and calling him out in case anyone missed it

https://twitter.com/PA/status/1202702175367041030?s=20

So the powers in Tory H Q, make the tactical decision it's better to take the flak of a "no show", rather than being grilled by Neil. Can't see it myself, its a mistake.

Surely it wont happen at the next election. Formats/interviews will be formally agreed pre election.