I really like Carolina tonight in Seattle against the spread. Seattle has had 2/3 of the money all week, pushing the line all the way to +7.5 in vegas. The British bookies have yet to pass 7, annoyingly, but I'd still be minded to take that. The Panthers are 5-1-1 (W-L-D) against the spread in their last seven games. The Seahawks 1-5-2 in its last eight.
Also, apart from a fourth quarter blowout in the playoff game last season, three of the last five games between the teams have gone under the 41 point total for today. The Panthers are an unfashionable team that has gone 4-0 without anyone even considering them playoff relevant, having lost their best wide receiver at the start of the season. The Seahawks are a shadow of the team that made the superbowl last season but still have talent.
Seven points feels huge to me.
If it goes 7.5 and anyone sees it, post ITT please.
Otherwise, let's take 7 and we can have a push if it ties. £33 Billy Mountains at 10/11.
Seattle rank 30th against opposing Tight Ends, leaking 64 yards a game through five weeks. Greg Olsen is an elite TE and will give the safeties headaches tonight. Kam Chancellor has not been the force people expected him to be, having returned from refusing to play, amid contract talks.
57.5 yards for him (Billy Mountains) is a good ten less than I was expecting. 12/1 first touchdown with BMU and Chorals is worthy of a play.
Recommend:
£33 Carolina +7 at 10/11
£33 Greg Olsen over 57.5 yards at 10/11
£10 Greg Olsen first touchdown at 12/1
panthers have beaten the Jags/Texans/Saints and Bucs all in the bottom 10 teams in the league, sure seattle arent playing like the powerhouse they are but they are clearly still top 3 most talented roster in the league. In the corresponding fixture last year i believe seattle were -13.5? Seattle have covered the spread in 12 out of their last 13 home games where they have been favoured by 7 or less (the 1 being 2 weeks ago vs Detroit) Lynch is back tonight with Rawls being a very good backup option now.
On the flip side, I keep expecting Seattle to show up and be the team they are supposed to be and it hasnt really happened yet so maybe it doesnt happen again for another week? Id be taking the Seattle -7 for sure in this matchup though.