i dont think there are more bluffs i just think he doesnt lead out with some of that range on the flop. feel like its closer to 50% bluffs with missed draws vs flopped monsters, but yeah i guess the two change things a little with 68 now v unlikely. wouldnt put 58o in tbh. feel 66/99 unlikely as played too.

sorry i butchered the HH a little - hero is seat 5 and the bigstack so we are left as shortstack if wrong.

PokerStars Hand #111534388976: Tournament #854711006, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (500/1000) - 2014/02/09 12:52:27 WET [2014/02/09 7:52:27 ET]
Table '854711006 6' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1:  (32199 in chips)
Seat 3:  (20782 in chips)
Seat 4:  (20608 in chips)
Seat 5: HERO (58741 in chips)
Seat 6:  (30883 in chips)
Seat 7: VILLAIN (48200 in chips)
Seat 9:  (16230 in chips)

Seat 6: posts small blind 500
Seat 7: VILLAIN posts big blind 1000

HERO HOLE CARDS ( )

Seat 9: folds
Seat 1: raises 1000 to 2000
Seat 3: folds
HERO: calls 2000
Seat 5: folds
Seat 6: folds
VILLAIN: calls 1000
*** FLOP *** [ ]
VILLAIN: bets 4300
Seat 1: folds
HERO: calls 4300
*** TURN *** [ ] []
VILLAIN: bets 7400
HERO: calls 7400
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
VILLAIN: bets 34400 and is all-in

villain is solid + winning aggro reg coldbryan.  think he only donks out with something good. prob 2 pair, set or good draw only. suspect on river he both bluffs and value bets big but no notes recorded to confirm

this is 2 or 3 from the money of $551R1A. 18 paid + there are several v short stacks on other tables as well
$280 mincash ish, $3k+ UT

thoughts? think the call is prob right enough of the time to make it correct despite bubble etc?

US drama is the best entertainment out there ATM, better than the movies.

I did enjoy Luther for my Brit shows though.

def agree for drama, america wins at the moment. still prefer the oddball comedies that come from britain like spaced, League of gents, green wing etc to american polished sitcoms that just try to please everyone. i expect there are some good off kilter US comedies shows out there, it's just i'm not aware of them. that said the league and its always sunny in philadelphia have both occupied a few days of my time recently...

ah, will andy serkis ever get to play a human again?

that advert is pretty funny.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nY6PXoyNP1k

n1 dc

i think fold equity is being underrated here. the number of times i'll shove in this sort of spot and someone will fold ace rag face up is surprising.

thought about this hand history whilst in play (just before money with monster stack in big 33). i shoulda folded my AK pre lol

PokerStars Hand #109952362657: Tournament #843076839, $30+$3 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (250/500) - 2014/01/11 13:31:16 WET [2014/01/11 8:31:16 ET]
Table '843076839 7' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: willrobrobu (25965 in chips)
Seat 2: oldry (3844 in chips)
Seat 3: fanatic27 (14318 in chips)
Seat 4: Jierichon-85 (35337 in chips)
Seat 5: Sergey_HCK (14047 in chips)
Seat 6: Rockefella7 (4065 in chips)
Seat 7: enegue13 (2517 in chips)
Seat 8: Tridjoko1 (2980 in chips)
willrobrobu: posts the ante 60
oldry: posts the ante 60
fanatic27: posts the ante 60
Jierichon-85: posts the ante 60
Sergey_HCK: posts the ante 60
Rockefella7: posts the ante 60
enegue13: posts the ante 60
Tridjoko1: posts the ante 60
willrobrobu: posts small blind 250
oldry: posts big blind 500
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to willrobrobu [ ]
fanatic27: raises 500 to 1000
Jierichon-85: raises 2250 to 3250
Sergey_HCK: folds
Rockefella7: folds
enegue13: folds
Tridjoko1: calls 2920 and is all-in
willrobrobu: calls 3000
oldry: folds
fanatic27: calls 2250
*** FLOP *** [ ]
willrobrobu: checks
fanatic27: checks
Jierichon-85: checks
*** TURN *** [ ] []
willrobrobu: bets 3500
fanatic27: folds
Jierichon-85: raises 28527 to 32027 and is all-in
willrobrobu: calls 19155 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (9372) returned to Jierichon-85
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
*** SHOW DOWN ***
willrobrobu: shows [ ] (two pair, Kings and Fives)
Jierichon-85: shows [ ] (a straight, Five to Nine)
Jierichon-85 collected 46300 from side pot
Tridjoko1: shows [ ] (two pair, Fives and Threes)
Jierichon-85 collected 12660 from main pot
willrobrobu finished the tournament in 281st place
Tridjoko1 finished the tournament in 282nd place
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 58960 Main pot 12660. Side pot 46300. | Rake 0
Board [ ]
Seat 1: willrobrobu (small blind) showed [ ] and lost with two pair, Kings and Fives
Seat 2: oldry (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: fanatic27 folded on the Turn
Seat 4: Jierichon-85 showed [ ] and won (58960) with a straight, Five to Nine
Seat 5: Sergey_HCK folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Rockefella7 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: enegue13 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: Tridjoko1 (button) showed [ ] and lost with two pair, Fives and Threes

we have 12bb here so its an easy call.
out of interest how many bigs are people's limits for calling here vs an unknown? people will still shove in these blind on blind spots up to 20-25 effective bigs sometimes and those decisions are obviously tougher.

thank gawd for iPlayer

Absolutely

i'll third that. especially as its ad free. 4od adverts wind me up rarebad.

raise/call for me for sure.

stupid birds

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=07_4e6fNJ9Q

epic. how'd u celebrate after that win?

think you will find that most attempts to isolate here preflop (at 20/40 with a 5k stack) will fail. what are you raising to? 120-160?  you will just get called and inflate the pot. its obviously never bad cos you gain betting lead but being so deep i think that is a little less important. prefer to limp and simply play in position cautiously unless you smash the flop/later streets - as you do on the turn where you gotta bet imo

In tonight's Sherlock, Mr Holmes says the line "Why this particular Grenadier?"

The guardsman he is discussing is clearly a Welsh Guardsmen (5 button blocks and a white and green plume in the bearskin)

Surely they can't have made such a basic error?

however, when he says this he has at this point only read an email, not seen or met the guardsman (as the viewers have).... so grenadier is probably a reasonable default assumption, no?