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721  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Fantasy Premier League 2015/16. on: December 14, 2015, 11:08:54 AM
+1 great job
722  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Noisy Neighbours - the Man City thread on: December 11, 2015, 01:31:29 AM
http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/manchester-city-stars-twitter-trolls-10575212
723  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: December 10, 2015, 05:51:11 PM
enjoy the variance.  Not embrace it.  You are running miles ahead of the game at the minute.

Regression to the mean i think it is called in the trade.  Why are people surprised?  How did Wolfs go off nearly 7/4 tonight at home to manure without lolrooney (like he makes a difference nowadays - in recent weeks him missing has actually made manure more likely to win a game according to the sharp betting markets and they still couldn't win when he was at home watching everton with his son on a monday night enjoying his £300k a week he has for the next 3.5 years lolzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz).  Without the comical own goal that kept you in the game you got battered tonight.

To not win that group is so funny.  It was as weak a group as possible for manure in champs league history.  They couldn't have found a weaker group and still couldn't get out of it never mind win it.  To say they have been running ahead of the curve in the EPL the last two months is a huge understatement.  

LVG must be gone surely?  Why would u keep him but fire Moyes a season on?  If not then Moyes was just a puppet to get over Sir alex retiring.  LVG has spent fortunes more than moyes and sent the club even further backwards than Moyes did but is unsackable.  Truely incredible. 

LVG got hired to make and keep us a top 4 side for the foreseeable future, so we didn't do a Liverpool. And he's achieving exactly that. As long we keep making top 4, we still get the gravy train rolling in. We have no shot of winning the CL (like 13/16 teams left) and the difference in money between group stages and winning is only (i think) £25m. Getting knocked out while isn't pleasant is far from a disaster.
724  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: December 09, 2015, 01:09:17 AM
6 shots on target? Is this real life?
725  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Liverpool FC on: December 06, 2015, 06:49:47 PM
That might have been the shortest boom/bust cycle ever, even by Liverpool standards.
726  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: December 05, 2015, 08:54:23 PM
21 shots on goal, only 1 on target, don't even know how that's possible.
727  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: December 05, 2015, 01:38:53 AM
Lots of criticism and negativity for LVG. Would we prefer a more entertaining team in 8th place?

Incredible, isn't it?


Not really.

United fans want to be entertained, that's what they are accustomed to and that it what they expect.

Of the teams in the bottom half, I bet the fans of Bournemouth are enjoying this season the most.

their team play attacking, entertaining football and there are lots of goals in their games.

I'd rather support them than almost all of the other teams in the Premier League.

No they want to be entertained and win. If it's one or the other ask Moyes what the fans want more.

Bournemouth have scored 3 less than United and conceded 3x as many. Ask them how entertaining the Championship is next season.

Neither team has the players to play great attacking, winning football. It's one or the other, and it seems only one of them understands this.
728  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: December 04, 2015, 05:47:20 PM
Be nice to see Pereira get some minutes as well.
729  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: December 04, 2015, 05:11:35 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/35006347



Such a shame Wilson has gone out on loan though.
730  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: Things that piss you off! on: December 04, 2015, 04:50:48 PM
Waiting patiently at the bar, only to be snubbed by the barman for some trollop with her baps out, despite you clearly being there first. Then he acts like he's doing you a favour when he eventually serves you a pint.



I think just general bar etiquette as a whole is poor from most people.
731  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Who's sitting out? on: December 04, 2015, 03:47:21 PM
The most annoying part for me is that I think its terrible business for both me and Stars. I'm not sure how many times I can write this but I will try again. If you remove my rakeback, you are increasing the rake, if you increase the rake, you force me to look for better games, which means I will play less poker and win at a higher win rate off the recreational player. Bear in mind, the rakeback the SNEs guys get is money that Stars have already collected. Job done, they are just giving some of it back. Without this, they have to collect the money somehow, and presuming your most economically aware customers aren't going to change their habits is obviously a mistake. A SNE hyper guy will go from paying Stars 200k and getting 110k back for his income, to playing mtts and winning at a 20% roi post rake, whilst Stars collect somewhere between 7-10%. It is so so so stupid. They would do much better by encouraging poker players to play as much poker as possible instead of forcing them to win off recreational players instead of rakeback. I have no idea how they cannot see this. I also have no idea why people think they are a smart company. They leveraged capital to buy a business and then decide they need to change the whole business model to get things to work. If I tried to buy Rolls Royce and turn it into Ford would people on this forum tell me it was a good idea simply because I managed to convince someone to invest the capital to allow me to do so? They can't even handle the PR for major changes like this, I see absolutely no reason for me to think this is the best route for Amaya to take. I understand they think it is, and honestly I think I'd get over it if that was the case. I think what they are doing is burning the ship down and I'm a passenger.

Arb, they sold because they couldn't get it into America. They also wanted to stop working. I think you would think it was a lot more ridiculous if I demanded they continued working, instead of hating on the new owners. Do I wish they had sold to someone who cared about poker or had the vaguest idea of what to do with the business? Absolutely, but I'm not going to expect them to dedicate their lives to poker.

I also don't know why you expect people to not be angry. That is one of the most absurd things to me. You seem surprised that online pros are pissed off. I play virtually every site you could have access to and a few more you don't. This doesn't mean I'm going to applaud someone for making "excellent business decisions".
I'm not sure Stars will exist in five years tbh.


Listening to Dnegs on the Joey podcast its actually pretty clear they don't understand poker (as in the new execs). Which is really very very worrying they seem to be treating Poker as any other gaming product and it really is way more complex and different to the majority of casino/sports betting.

From what he was saying a bunch of stuff they thought would do X will actually do the complete opposite Y.

I think the example he gave was that they thought reducing rakeback would make SNE/SN mass grinders player differently in regards to actual style. Suddenly they thought these guys would be playing 30/10 and splashing around for some reason.

Obviously it will have next to no effect on how they play. In fact it might even make them play tighter in some spots in theory if effective rake is higher less hands are profitable to see flops with.

Similarly they seem to think removing VPPs for example at 5/10 cash will protect the fish from being hunted. when actually the opposite is very likely true. Those games will only run with a big fish in the game and he will be hunted to extinction very very quickly. Also the big fish who likes to play high now doesn't get a bit of a kickback when he does play the games.

Much better would be if they gave the fish a much higher % of RB than the regs imo but it seems they are not going down this route

By the way your analogy with ford/rolls royce reminds me of when General motors bought Saab and totally balled it up trying to make it run like GM did. Feels like Amaya is trying to shoehorn on their general business model onto Poker.

As a general aside it always baffles me how companies are allowed to raise tons of capital to buy a business and then load that same business with mountains of debt. I recall Man UTD had the same thing when they were bought out also quite a few years back now.

This quote from Amaya's CEO pretty much sums this up.

The players will not last longer and their experience will not be enhanced if you take away the middle section of the eco system. This will leave the absolute elite players who can beat any game, the elite bumhunters who will be on every site and don't take rb into consideration as they don't put enough volume in on Stars alone, and the recs. Having 5 elite players on 1 table instead of 2 elite, 2 avg regs, 1 bumhunter and 1 rec, the recs are going to get smashed. Who is going to want to redeposit if they never win a hand?

Quote
Yeah. We’d say that you're looking at essentially—from an ecosystem perspective this actually is a big positive, Chad. We don't view this as being disruptive to the ecosystem. We view it as being very positive.

You’re talking about a small percentage of players that are a very large percentage of net withdrawers, and I mean that's good and that's fine; we want them to be winners. But there has to be an equilibrium. And you know what? I think that the player experience needs to be better. You shouldn’t be able to have a lot of players who are sitting at the table to break even and still making money.

And so I think that by actually having players in the ecosystem have a better equilibrium you’ll have players last longer, you'll have increased redeposits, you’ll have a better player experience, and you know what? I think we're going to have increased poker revenue, but also increased player engagement and retention.[quote/]

732  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Who's sitting out? on: December 04, 2015, 06:55:04 AM
Yeh my choice of words was out of line, apologies.
733  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Who's sitting out? on: December 04, 2015, 06:33:45 AM
online bedroom nerds

[/quote]No idea who you are but is there really any need for this?  Pretty reasonable debate going on here[/quote]

Very reasonable choice of words to attach to all online poker players.
734  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Who's sitting out? on: December 04, 2015, 05:58:15 AM
the other thing that makes me laugh is when these online bedroom nerds say 'we loved the previous owners but hate the new ones'.  The previous owners have selfishly cashed out and sold the firm at a premium (they don't care less about you) now the new owners who have paid the premium to the legend set  up guys who are on a beach enjoying your cash have to get a return on their investment to justify the fee they paid to the 'great set up owners' you laud.  Comical.  If they loved you and the concept as players they would never have sold out.  They sold out because its business.  

Players loved the previous owners because they ran the site in the right way, making it the market leader and best site to play on by an absolute mile. Players don't expect the owners to have any affinity towards them. They were running a business, and running it the way they did means they can sell it to Amaya for whatever ridiculous amount they did. They hate the new owners because aside from flat out stealing from pros, they are also stealing from recs (and only posting about it on 2+2, where recs would never find out) so the business people (who know nothing about poker or the poker market/economy) can knock 25% of the companies liabilities off the books to improve their figures, all the while trying to mask it behind removing HUD's and other software. Which all the dribbling, old spastics frequenting this forum have fallen for. Nothing to do with the long term longevity of the economy as a whole.
735  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Apprentice 2015 thread on: December 02, 2015, 04:11:05 PM
How on earth did she get 35,500 followers on Twitter?  Does she have that much to say?



Probably helps.
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