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7921  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Opinions on this hand on: June 06, 2006, 11:14:12 AM
You made the right play. It dosent suprise me that Steeley called with his flush draw if Nemesis called aswell, depending on position of when they called, he almost has the odds to call. You had the best hand by miles but were very weak against any flush draws so you definetly made the right play by going all in when you did.

On the flop, you were more than a 68% favourite to win.
Steeley was 23%
Nemesis was lower than 9%
7922  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: call? on: June 06, 2006, 10:44:01 AM
EL Blondie, of course you're right with your summary, and in a tournament with your tournament life at stake i would have folded. But in a cash game, and only costing $22 more to win a pot of $52 i think its a call. I just cant see him playing a 10 this way instead of trying to make further profits.

I also believe its looks most likely he had JJ,9 9, 8 8 although i think you should be able to discount 10 8, 10 9 and J 10 given his pre flop raise of doulbe the big blind out of position.

I also agree with your conclusion where you state that the $5 raise could have been seem as weakness.
7923  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: call? on: June 06, 2006, 09:27:09 AM
No i don't think so. I'd have called anyway. I can't see how he could have a 10 playing the hand this way. If he has three 10s here he jus calls or raises double to invoke action. He dosent want to win the pot here and make just a small profit with 3 10s in my opinion.

I do put him on a hand though as he raised small amount pre flop out of position and for this and his post flop play i put him on a pocket pair lower than your own and probably lower than the 10s, probably 66 through to JJ, and here he is obviously assuming he has he best hand, which is fair enough given the flop.

You made a strong fold and i can't criticise you for it, but i only know i wouldve called, because i couldnt see him playing a 10 in this manner with no draws on the flop, so no reason for him to worry if he did in fact have three 10s.

Its all down to situational factors and the image and game of the player in question, but i know i wouldve definetly called here. Would it have won you the pot if you had. Probably, but not definetly.

7924  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Live Tourney exit hand - Would you play it differently? on: June 06, 2006, 09:16:47 AM
Yes, it may seem ridiculous to say that, but at this stage in the tournament you can't afford to let any bad players get lucky on you. You also push because the blinds are big and you should be happy to win those even if everyone folds.
7925  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Live Tourney exit hand - Would you play it differently? on: June 06, 2006, 09:02:08 AM
Yep. You're right. it was a poor play on the other players behalf and you were unlucky to lose. But, there was no point not going all in pre flop. Surely he would have folded the Ace Five then.
7926  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Whats your move? on: June 06, 2006, 08:57:55 AM
You should fold here and wait for a better position. At first i read this wrong and thought youd said you had 90k in chips, but that was for the enitire table.

The logic move has to be to fold and wait for a better spot. The best you could dget was for him to hold AK or AQ and even then you're not a huge favourite, and he is much more likely to hold AA, KK or QQ

7927  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Buy-Ins on: June 05, 2006, 02:21:50 PM
I play £5 rebuy tournaments twice a week. I see some students limit themselves to £15 and then just leave. I also see rich people and older people rebuy countless times. The average amount of money spent is £27 = 4 rebuys/1 add on. I don't limit myself as i'm pretty confident of getting to the final table every game.

I play tight and constantly find myself rebuying 3 or 4 times and adding on aswell. This is due to me not getting lucky in the rebuy period and losing because so many people are willing to gamble.

I have now come to the theory though, that it dosent matter how many chips you have after the rebuy period, which may seem ridiculous to some people, but just by waiting for hands and good spots after the rebuy period you can double up as many times as you like.

On tuesday i doubled up 5 times from 1,000 to 20,000 and yesterday i doubled up 3 times from 2,200 to 18,000.

My advice would be just to play the cards as you get them. Dont be too tight but dont be ridiculously loose, and never get desperate when nearing the end of the rebuy period.

7928  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Good or Bad fold? on: June 05, 2006, 02:05:32 PM
Even though i consider myself a tight and cautious player, i believe you had him. The only hands you could be beaten by here are 77, 89, JJ, 10 10 and J 10.
 
I believe you can rule out 7 7 10 10 and J J as he wouldnt be so trigger happy with his set by instantly pushing his entire stack in.

And i believe you can rule out 89, and J10 by his raise and then call of the re raise pre flop. I think you had him and should have called.

Also, with reference to one of the above posts, i agree with his re raise pre flop simply o try and gather some information as to where he his in the hand.
7929  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Call or Pass? on: June 05, 2006, 01:21:09 PM
I believe it was a good and pretty obvious fold. The board was extremly dangerous and you had only committed 5,000 to the pot and his bet was for another 25,000.

I think he may have had a  two spades on the big blind, and he may have made a poor call pre flop. He may have hoped you had hit a flush or Aces or Kings so you would call. He was not scared that you had a  because you checked the turn. If it was a bluff, then fair play to him, he made a massive overbet and will lose a lot of money in the long run playing like this.

BUT you won't, its a fold everytime.
7930  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: KK played badly on: June 05, 2006, 01:13:29 PM
You definetly didnt play this hand badly, you got it in with the best. In the long run you would beat the AQ a large majority of times. There are arguments about how to play the Kings:

If you just raise a large amount and let people holding AK, AQ, AJ etc.. see a flop, and they miss, you can move all in and if you have enough chips, get them off the hand without letting them hit on the turn or river. BUT, in most cases they won't hit on the turn or river anyway so it is best to maximise profit by getting all the money in pre flop.

The main reasoning for this is because if they don't hit on the flop they should fold to your bet and therefore you may not have made a lot of money out of your hand, therefore not playing your cowboys to their full potential.

If you have a short stack you should always go all in with the kings, if you have a large stack just a raise, and then leave the hand if you see an Ace on the flop.
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