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46  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: COVID19 on: May 18, 2021, 08:36:53 AM
I hope the recent whacking off about the Indian variant is just another ill conceived ploy to encourage older Asians to get the vaccine but no real intent to change the path we're on.

Obvs based on a personal perspective but much prefer the nutty end of covid denial versus the nutty end that loves covid so much they'd like there to be a rationale to lock down for ever.

If any restrictions are retained from June I'm definitely going on a march or something

I am not particularly worried about it, and I think they are just covering their arses right now.   They can't really stand up and say it isn't going to be an issue when there is a not insignificant chance it could be.  

Marky posted something from James Ward yesterday, that covered the risks, and there was one I posted from John Burn-Murdoch a couple of days ago.

Cliffs, there is a really good chance we should still be fine without lockdown, but we might not be.  I think it will be clear soon enough given the increasing proportions of that variant that we are seeing.

If the restrictions aren't lifted by June, I will protest by sitting on my arse watching Ascot and the Euros.  Might even have a nice glass of wine.  

This is why they're concerned and why some are saying restrictions shouldn't be eased.



But - I agree, I don't think there's anything particularly concerning in the UK.

The big differences are that India's approach to COVID has just been shocking, they started from a higher point than the UK, and India is much further behind with vaccination.

Technically I think the people saying that the government's 4th criteria for easing restrictions hasn't been met are correct, but in practice it seems difficult to think this should really be a concern. There has been a lack of caution sometimes in the past year - particularly in the Autumn - but this seems like an occasion where they don't need to be abundantly cautious.

Time will tell
47  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: European Super League on: April 23, 2021, 07:54:11 AM
Could you imagine if betting companies had to answer to their 'fans' ie customers who lose and donate to them (which should happen in 99% of punters) in business why do 'fans' even have a say in how businesses that they have no ownership % at all think they have a say?   The whole thing has always amazed me but post covid the fans have even less say as owners have realised 'old school' fans who attend games don't really make much difference to the modern day business model.   It is all tv stream revenue.

I guess it’s twofold.

If Paddy Power piss off a punter they can bet with other bookies. Fans don’t change clubs.

And I suppose it’s a community thing. Clubs make up part of the fabric of our communities and history, more than just a business.   No one gives a shit about a bookie.

Comparing apples and pears.

'fans' do change clubs and i would guess the majority of 'fans' who pay the bills via tv don't have a club they are just casual especially outside of the uk where the revenue is really coming from nowadays.  If it was all about UK 'lolloyalfan' revenue they would have been on £250k a week when i was a kid.   Its the casual non club fans who drive the marginal revenue globally not domestically.   Football like all major sports is a global business who don'tt need hardcore fans in the stadium.   They don't make them money these types as much as these hard core fans ego think they are important they really aren't in 2021.   Covid has shown the owners that the game can easily operate without the 10% hardcore fan whatever these deluded fans think EPL wise with tv money.   Outside of the EPL football is fucked without turnstile fans.

LOL

Assuming "hard core" is another expression for fans who attend matches:

Premier big boys need matchday income - Arsenal it's about 25% of turnover

Premier smaller clubs - yes they could budget on TV income. Bottom premier about £100mil TV revenue compared to say Leeds in 18/19 when just £9million

Championship and below (except the parachuters) and all the way down the pyramid are dependant on matchday income.

The Premier League TV deal for 18/19 was split 65% from domestic rights and 35% from international deals.

COVID has obviously screwed up most business models - fans needed in stadiums for most.

Fans in stadiums will always be important for the TV backdrop.



Match day attendance is definitely an integral part of football club finances - but I don't think the fan's outrage has anything to do with the Super League reversal (or basically any decision major clubs make).

My immediate assumption was that the clubs involved got advice or information which confirmed that the various governing bodies definitely could actually kick them out or at least significantly penalise them (particularly the European tournaments and the Premier League).

Football clubs will make decisions based on what's good for them - usually their finances; but it sounds good if they make a statement that it was about the fans particularly if it involved reversing a previous decision.

Hardcore fans are always going to be a reliable source of income, clubs can do what they were always goinig to do all along and if it happens to be what the fans want then they can pretend that it was based on them otherwise they just ride it out until the fans get over it.
48  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: COVID19 on: April 07, 2021, 08:00:41 AM
It's generally good to know exactly how widespread an epidemic is but in the current situation it's not feasible to make it mandatory for everybody to take these tests, so making it available is a possible compromise between wanting to know how widespread it is but it not being important enough to make it a legal requirement.

Although - they do have to have the tests available to enable this so there may be an element of just using them up.
49  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vegas & The Aftermath - Diary on: March 26, 2021, 08:15:43 PM
Ahh, yes, Origami Cranes.

I never even knew they were a thing.

Gorgeous cat, what's it's name?


She's the less photogenic of our cats - she's called Puddles

Her sister is more of the model, and she's called Purple
 Click to see full-size image.
50  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vegas & The Aftermath - Diary on: March 26, 2021, 07:33:01 PM
...
I'd faint if I ever got that close to such a beautiful thing.

Like the way you attracted it by sprinkling Quality Street all over the floor.

It's a window sill not the floor

They're origami cranes*


*They were origami cranes, they're now largely vague shapes of folded paper.

One of our friends made a few hundred of them to help decorate her wedding reception. After approximately one drink at this reception Science Wife decided - "we must have all the swans!" - so we took most of them home.

Our cats really like playing with them though so despite almost all of them having lost their shape it might be a while before we get rid of them.

Hunting
 Click to see full-size image.


Hunted
 Click to see full-size image.
51  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vegas & The Aftermath - Diary on: March 26, 2021, 01:09:56 PM
It isn't quite such an interesting bird but I had this giant pigeon* come visit when I was working a few days ago

 Click to see full-size image.




*may not actually be a pigeon
52  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary on: March 12, 2021, 10:25:01 AM
Thats interesting Tony and about right im sure. I don't know the timeline but i seemed to go from not having heard of it to seeing it everywhere and i feel almost sure a lot of that coverage was pre some of the facts that have emerged to make it especially newsworthy/interesting.

Could just be that social media means that an (initially) missing person case like this can become huge really quickly compared with other cases in the past that became huge... a paper report, a few news bulletins on TV and then a few weeks later maybe a piece on crimestoppers.

I think you might be right about social media being able to more quickly amplify a story then was previously the case. EDIT: particularly as Doobs said her disappearance was publicised pretty quickly.

To add to that, the impression I get from twitter is that "they" are deliberately trying to amplify this method because it is the sort of thinig that women are scared of - all the time.

In this case - it wasn't domestic abuse, it wasn't somebody falling down drunk, it wasn't someone going home at 4am, it wasn't someone taking a 5am jog through an empty park or secluded woodlands - it was just someone walking home from a friends at 9pm through a normal London street.

That is my impression of why so many women are talking about this particular case, because it highlights that it could literally happen to any one of them.
53  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vegas & The Aftermath - Diary on: March 02, 2021, 12:39:12 PM

I received my 2021 Census Reminder today.

I wonder what % of those required to answer it will actually do so. More or less than 50%?



 Click to see full-size image.


If people don't fill it in online they'll get paper copies followed by census takers at their door.

I had a look - there was a shortfall in 2011 of about a million censuses, but most of them were accounted for by properties being unexpectedly unoccupied.

There were less than 200 actual prosecutions for not filling a census in - so the people who didn't fill it in seems to be somewhere between a 100 and a million.
54  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary on: February 22, 2021, 11:00:44 AM
Does anyone have hands-on experience of cordless hair and beard trimmers please?

Making decisions based on on-line reviews is becoming less useful because so many companies pay for good reviews.

It also pisses me off when the article starts with headlines like, "The 25 best hair & beard trimmers"
 
How the feck can you have 25 best ones?

I had a similar problem recently.

I was looking for a coffee grinder - my conclusion was any online review site that starts like "The 25 best -product type-" actually means "Here are 25 products I can give you an affiliate link to and earn money if you buy something"

Luckily for what I was looking for there are dedicated coffee nerds to be a bit more impartial - maybe a barber/hairdresser forum might help with yours?
55  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary on: February 05, 2021, 08:03:42 PM
I've just been watching a news item about a car crash victim who had a hands and face transplant. Part of the story warned that he would need anti-rejection drugs for the rest of his life.

Now I know that the human body constantly renews it's cells, so why wouldn't the spare parts eventually become his?

The body renews by cells dividing.

So a transplanted hand cell will divide and still have the same signature as before and hence still need anti rejection drugs.

The cells that are right by the "joins" will blend into each other but cells divide at different rates, some cells might take 10 years before they divide for example, so there's a limit to how much this blending can happen.


Science Wife did not approve so she has answered it herself below

All cells contain a unique pattern of proteins on their surface. This acts as a 'signature' that your body uses to recognise your own cells from foreign cells (e.g. bacteria). If you body identifies a 'non-self' cell it will activate your immune system and kill the cell - this is the same idea with transplants.

The body itself repairs and grows by cells dividing (they don't really 'renew' - when cells get too old they self-destruct in a process called apoptosis). When the transplanted cells divide the two new daughter cells will contain the same protein signature as the oriignal parent cell. This means the body will always recognise them as non-self.

There will however be some blending between the patients own cells and the transplanted cell as they divide near each other.

Beside that there are many different types of cell. Some cells divide very rapidly (like the upper layer of skin), but others (like nerve cells) don't divide at all. This means there will always be some non-self cells in the tranplanted organ, hence the need for immunosuppresent drugs for the rest of their life.
56  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: COVID19 on: January 29, 2021, 02:53:51 PM
It's been going long enough we can have retrospectives from the start. This story is quite interesting though

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-55622386
Coronavirus: How the UK dealt with its first Covid case
57  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary on: January 26, 2021, 10:14:53 PM
Is this "go to a website & book" peculiar to Leicestershire, or a new thing?

I was under the impression we all had to wait in line until they contacted us.



I had no idea either Tony but my eldest daughter saw a discussion about it on social media and alerted me.

I would advise looking on your local health service website and searching Covid 19 vaccination.

Where I live they have put out a message that if you fit into those categories then you can contact them to make an appointment rather than wait for an appointment.

I'm in neither so I don't know whether they've got a handful of spots or loads of them, but it does suggest a few places at least are actively trying to get people to do it themselves rather than having to wait for the invite.
58  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary on: January 25, 2021, 01:33:09 PM
A 14yo boy shot and stabbed by a group of 14 - 16yos in a residential street in broad daylight.

Has this kind of thing always happened, (If it has I can't remember it) or is it a recent phenomenon?



Shot might be less likely because of the availability of weapons - but the general sentiment, yes.

Difficult to differentiate between any acutal increase or decrease in behaviour because obviously it can just reflect an increase or decrease in detection of such behaviour. It can also be coupled with more general police behaviour. At certain stages of history their might have been a view that they would discount children as suspects because they just didn't believe it, and at other stages of history they might care less about if they got the actual person as long as it was pinned on someone.

Separately to that this covers the topic  a bit,
https://emotionsblog.history.qmul.ac.uk/2013/11/confessions-of-a-boy-murderer/

The first paragraph from that is is this, "In 1892 a sixteen-year-old boy named John Wise joined his friends on an excursion to Weymouth. On reaching the chosen destination, a stone’s throw from Portland Prison positioned high on a rocky peak, the boy spun round and pushed Lawrence Salter off the cliff. At the coroner’s inquest into the boy’s death Wise explained his reason for committing murder. He simply said, ‘I did it to be hanged.’"
59  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary on: January 22, 2021, 08:12:29 AM

They're all being ridden on the pavements - hundreds of 'em.

I knew I'd heard something about only being allowed to ride one if it was rented.

I read the regulation they're using in Nottingham that allowed them to run the trials - there's nothing about it being related to the hired ones; they basically just legally re-defined them as bicycles for the trial period.

There might be city regulations on top of that and terms and conditions when you hire them that make a difference, but I would have thought the main basis of only using the hired ones is that this trial is temporary. If you buy one then it's still only legal to use them on the road, within the same boundaries as the trial, and once it get's to March 2022 they're going to be illegal again (unless they change the law at that point).

The point of the trial is to see what effect it has, so you should feel free to complain about them being ridden on the pavements. But if the end result is a noticeable fall in car numbers without any significant impact on road (or pavement) safety then it might not make too much difference to their final analysis.
60  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: COVID19 on: January 20, 2021, 07:56:51 AM
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/thousands-of-israelis-tested-positive-for-coronavirus-after-first-vaccine-shot-1.9462478

Thousands of Israelis have tested positive for Covid after Pfizer vaccine.  I am not sure what this means, as false positives should not happen with a mRNA vaccine.   There are no details of whether they are sick or not, and it may just be a lot of Covid in the community at vaccine time and it takes a couple of weeks for immunity.
..

That link doesn't work (anymore, I assume) - I saw a Times of Israel article from previously talking about people getting sick after the Pfizer shot. That was emphasising that the vaccine doesn't start working for 8-10 days, I also recently saw some anecdotal criticism of "soaring" COVID infections in Israel so (unless that article had extra information) it seems to be primarily about the high number of infections (and high population density) in Israel.
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