blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
March 28, 2024, 09:56:43 AM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2272476 Posts in 66752 Topics by 16944 Members
Latest Member: Blader
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
  Show Posts
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 ... 19
46  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: TCOOP 2014 prop bet on: January 23, 2014, 04:33:11 PM
in for $100
47  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Staking / Re: Stato_1 EPT Deauville Package on: January 12, 2014, 08:41:58 PM
sent £240 stars, ill sort with flushy
48  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Call or Raise? on: January 10, 2014, 01:36:10 AM
i jam
49  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Staking / Re: Stato_1 EPT Deauville Package on: January 06, 2014, 05:34:09 PM
sure we can chop w.e left if you want. doubt there'll be much left tho
50  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Staking / Re: Stato_1 EPT Deauville Package on: January 06, 2014, 03:34:20 PM
ill take w/e left after your reg buyers pls.
51  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Best of Britsh. on: December 09, 2013, 04:26:42 AM
can i be in for 1x mtt, 2x cash and 1x sng pls. donated on the just giving site
52  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: UKIPT FANTASY SWEEP? on: December 03, 2013, 06:07:02 AM
Recieved, Ty.

I'm up for doing these more often. Defo plan over Skype tho.

gg mitch and pleno. ty for running it pleno, def in for future ones.
53  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: UKIPT FANTASY SWEEP? on: November 30, 2013, 09:30:06 PM
ye parker talbot played too
54  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: UKIPT FANTASY SWEEP? on: November 27, 2013, 02:10:33 AM
ok ill take stu barnett instead
55  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: UKIPT FANTASY SWEEP? on: November 27, 2013, 01:46:42 AM
parker talbot (capt)
jason wheeler
jon prested
ben martin
dave jones

$50 sent to pads1161
56  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Play a hand with me: Deep in the Nightly 55 on: November 22, 2013, 04:28:16 PM
regret not betting the flop and fold
57  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Play a hand with me: Deep in the Nightly 55 on: November 22, 2013, 02:39:27 PM
Def flat pre imo. Check back flop cos we got a diamond and intervention in bb is pretty aggro and might coffin us.
58  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: *****Funk for Middy***** on: September 08, 2013, 11:58:32 AM
Thanks for the support and congratulations, never enjoyed a hangover as much as today!
59  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: rejamming range near bubble of 300e french sunday major on: August 09, 2013, 06:56:52 AM
last few repleys to pha from pleno have been abs on the money imo, i completely agree with his reply to this 1 too.
60  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Shoving Range Maths Check on: August 02, 2013, 09:26:32 PM
I've dazzled lil Dave on Skype with this hand and trying to work the maths out for it, it's basically a 9bb shove from sb into bb, I'm trying to prive that it's mathematically profitable (before proving it's still a bad idea for ICM reasons)...

Anyone spot a problem in this logic:


"First they assigned the big blind a calling range – all pocket pairs, all suited aces, A-5 off +, K-8 suited +, K-9 off +, Q-9 suited +, Q-T off + and J-T suited. He then fed that range into Odds Oracle and worked out whether shoving 9-3 was a profitable move and came up with the following results:

We have 29.7% against the big blind’s calling range, which obviously has 70.3%. However, if his calling range is correct, he will only be calling 26.6% of the time (as he gets dealt worse than this range 73.4% of the time).

We can therefore work out if we make a profit on average:

When he folds, we make 2.5bb profit, so on average 0.734 x 2.5 = +1.84bb
When he calls, we win 29.7% of the 19bb pot, so 0.297 x 19 = 5.64bb, a loss of (9-5.64) 3.36bb. Therefore the 26.6% of the time he calls we lose 3.36bb, or (0.266 x 3.36), an average loss of 0.89bb.
We can therefore mathematically prove, assuming we have the correct range, that we win 0.95bb every time we make this move (1.84bb when the opponent folds minus the 0.89bb loss when he calls)."


should that not be 8.5-5.64= 2.86, making it 0.77bb ave loss, making the shove + 1.07bb
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 ... 19
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.096 seconds with 19 queries.