3 bet calling.  i very much doubt any1 is only piling TT+ AK+ this late on a sunday. we need 37.5% v his jamming range to call.   if hes jaming TT+ AK+ 100% and AQ 62% of the time or more we have 37.6% equity.

OK but in that case we would need villain to be opening a >8% range to make 3b/call better than just folding, ignoring the chances of someone waking up with QQ+ behind. Most people do I guess, but I think this thread exists because stato felt this guy isn't opening that wide.

ye ur right, i dont think he is opening as wide as 8%.  although if hes piling AQ+ 99+ we only need him to be opening 6.5%.  i would say almost regs in the 500 are opening at least 6.5% and piling AQ+ 99+.

if you have a tight image and you think the opener is really tight its probably a fold when you consider ppl finding it cold.

interesting spot, in the past ive alway auto 3bet called here.

3 bet calling.  i very much doubt any1 is only piling TT+ AK+ this late on a sunday. we need 37.5% v his jamming range to call.   if hes jaming TT+ AK+ 100% and AQ 62% of the time or more we have 37.6% equity.

id probs just bet the flop and go from there. I feel like theres plenty of hands that fish will call you with that are worse.  I have no idea why you would raise the turn after check/overcalling the flop, seems like a call to me. you have to fold now i think.

shove, you'll be amazed what you get called by on .fr. make it bigger pre too - they aint gunna fold.

ye in for £50 + £100. where do i send to?

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On a serious note, in regard to the hand. It just seems way too close. I think I fold just because people taking this line just generally have it. Whether he has 3sXs or KQ or 33/AA, it seems tough for him to have many value hands here and even tougher to think he would play a decent % of these this way. I think I just sigh-fold knowing i'm behind a decent %, but preserving my stack and because i'm Trigg I know i'll just win a bunch of chips in other less pukey spots.

Interestingly, do you think it becomes more/less of a call in a mid-stakes MTT? or vs an unknown?

ye snap it off vs most opponents

I am good at the game of golf and usually play at The Belfry. I think anybody who isn't as good as me should be banned from playing this course and stick to shitty municipal courses where they belong. Why the hell should 24 handicap players think they are entitled to play courses which are clearly beyond their abilities? Next time I see somebody hack the ball away I'm gonna go straight over and tell them to fuck off.

I dont think any1 is saying if your bad at poker you cant play the $2k (in fact most grinders would say quite the opposite).  If a scratch golfer posted he was having trouble with a slight hook and a 24 handicapper came in and told him to just aim further to the right its probably not the advise the scratch golfer is looking for.  Sure its good that the 24 handicapper is getting involved with discussions to help his game but if the 24 handicapper just insists that your stupid for not taking his advise you can see how that might derail the thread (as has happened here lol)

i actually don't think 4bet/folding AJo pre here is terrible option (i disagree its turning our hand into 72o, we got blockers and sometimes he peels) but calling is probably better.  Idk whats best on river its so hard for him to have a hand that beats us but at the same time such a strange line for a really good player to take as a bluff (maybe he does all the time and thats why he crushes).  I feel he could also be taking this line for value with sets+ (as weird as it is) to try get hero calls (and i don't think he'd expect you to make hero folds with your really good hands).  I think I like the fold eps when you factor in how tilted you will be if you call and get owned.

If a 24 handicapper told a scratch golfer he should aim further to the right to cure his hook the good golfers should come on and explain exactly why aiming to the right is only accentuating the problem. Afterall good golfers have heard this thought process a thousand times before and can easily expose it as poor advice with their logic and experience.

All the other 24 handicap golfers who think the same way would be glad that the good golfers showed a bit of class and took the time to explain why it is amateur advice. They would also be glad that the 24 handicapper got involved and got good golfers talking about a common problem. What the good golfers shouldn't do is get all anxious that there are confident 24 handicappers in the world.

Previous posts in this thread already explained why other replies to the OP are off track and gave solid reasons why.  I don't think any good poker player is getting anxious that there are confident bad poker players in the world.  After all bad players being over confident is part of the reason why poker can be profitable.

I am good at the game of golf and usually play at The Belfry. I think anybody who isn't as good as me should be banned from playing this course and stick to shitty municipal courses where they belong. Why the hell should 24 handicap players think they are entitled to play courses which are clearly beyond their abilities? Next time I see somebody hack the ball away I'm gonna go straight over and tell them to fuck off.

I dont think any1 is saying if your bad at poker you cant play the $2k (in fact most grinders would say quite the opposite).  If a scratch golfer posted he was having trouble with a slight hook and a 24 handicapper came in and told him to just aim further to the right its probably not the advise the scratch golfer is looking for.  Sure its good that the 24 handicapper is getting involved with discussions to help his game but if the 24 handicapper just insists that your stupid for not taking his advise you can see how that might derail the thread (as has happened here lol)

i actually don't think 4bet/folding AJo pre here is terrible option (i disagree its turning our hand into 72o, we got blockers and sometimes he peels) but calling is probably better.  Idk whats best on river its so hard for him to have a hand that beats us but at the same time such a strange line for a really good player to take as a bluff (maybe he does all the time and thats why he crushes).  I feel he could also be taking this line for value with sets+ (as weird as it is) to try get hero calls (and i don't think he'd expect you to make hero folds with your really good hands).  I think I like the fold eps when you factor in how tilted you will be if you call and get owned.

BRAM, BRAM, BRAMMADELPHIA

[463 Richard Trigg464 Barry Neville]

Half way through Levle 4

437 of 528 remain

Exits since the break

444    Martin Hill
445    Kevin Owusu
446    Stephen Walmsley
447    Jo Handman
448    David Nicholson
449    Robert Panayi
450    Stephen Bramley
451    Simon Cameron
452    Andrew Olssen
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455    Nathan Lee
456    Sadan Turker
457    Andrew Bolton
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459    Andriena Nutt
460    Luke Davies
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462    Kyle Johnston
463    Richard Trigg
464    Barry Neville
465    Christopher Mcnicholls
466    Bradley Tong
467    Neil Cleghorn
468    Timothy Lee-davis
469    Callum Morgan
470    Sinem Melin
471    Richard Griffiths
472    Pratik Ghatge
473    Stuart Guite
474    Yangan Zhang
475    Mario Trattou
476    Phil Wordsworth
477    Suruj Miah
478    Ali Zihni
479    Bryan Anglim
480    Mark Hooley
481    Carlo Fernandez
482    Prassanna Suryanarayanan
483    Dominic Mahoney
484    Chris Gordon
485    Ghassan Chehbi
486    Jamie Neeson
487    Carl Falconer
488    Ross Garwood
489    Franz Wellhausen
490    Albert Sapiano
491    George White
492    Stephen Woodhead
493    Ashraf Desai
494    Daria Tolkacheva
495    Waseem Ahmed
496    Oneib Saeed


I reckon we have a chance of 1700 runners over three days and a £1.1m plus prize pool, depending on the alternate demand (which today is huge)

lol price trigg snap punted when he saw his lift home was out?

Can I get £50ew on negreanu @180s pls? How many places you paying?

I checked. Brick river. He bets 42k

pokerstove your hand vs (hands he calls pre and now bluffs with + hands he calls pre and now value bets).  really depends on what you know about the villain. In real time id probs fold.  youve 3bet pre and the board has a king and ace on, doubt hes gunna try bluff you much

Ok I checked back. the ac hits the turn. Villian checks

check

check back. don't want to bet/fold or bet/call. don't think theres many worse hands he's peeling a cbet with but lots of worse hands (as well as better hands) he's check shoving. I don't think it matters that you've turned your hand face up as medium showdown, your in position with about 1.5x pot back v a random (i think?)