book max bet ->spread rumours of your extensive training program -> negotiate buyout -> profit.

sorry to hear this, RIP

bet, bet, bet

wow, such an awful call by moomin

aj v cody's shove


great player, but that was sooooo bad

why is it soooo bad?

You can't get blood out of a stone imo.  I think we really need to hope this deal with the French guy goes thru

yh true lol -  middy in your esteemed opinion what combo's of Ah X would you expect an aggressive reg to open UTG?

either way when one out come is +3,175 and one is -12,173 then he needs 4 Ah X combo's which he easy has to break even on the call so yh it's prolly a call asumming he plays A* here this way 100% of the time, if we think 50% of the time he'll value bet A* then we now need 8 combo's of A*'s in his opening range to break even which is pretty thin.

It looks for sure like you have an ACE, but because if he has an ace also it makes it slightly LESS likely you do so that's why I think he'll c/j A* with a lower frequency than 88 (speshly as you can't have an

all suited aces, ATo+. 12+11= 23 AhXx combos.

This has to be way closer than everyone is saying,

he would DEFO DEFO DEFO DEFO DEFO play 88 exactly this way, there is one combo of 88 and one remaining ace, so his actual value range is split pretty evenly between hands that we call 12,173 to win 15,348 (+3175) and where we lose 12,173.

I think he would play both A* and 88 like this - so if he never bluffing I think this should be a pretty mandatory fold.

However for every combo of bluffs you can give him folding becomes worse and worse, but how many AIR combo's can we realistically give him? what does he dbl barrell on a board like this, not too much complete badugi OTT surely because it doesn't look like you'll be folding much - unless you think he bets turn with total air a lot after you've called the flop? (I don;t know a ton about MTT tendancies so dont really know??)

Also do you think he ever turns 8* into a bluff? If you say he has no history with you then its tough to expect him to give you credit for folding an ACE and even really good regs have a habit of being pretty stationy.

I mean I don't think i'd fold in game but I'm pretty sure this is a spot where folding would be reasonable

there's several combos of Ax in his range and only 1 combo of 88 so it isnt an equal spilt.  I'd be pretty amazed to see a reg (any1) bluff here.

[53%]

2)   A high boards
With our bluffing range I think we should Check back and give up bc he has 53% of the time an A in his calling range.
With AK,AQ value bet.

why wouldn't you cbet bluffs here? surely you can cbet 1/3 pot and its hard for him to continue without a hand. so as long as he's folding to your cbet at least 25% of the time its instantly a profitable play?  I guess if you're cbetting bigger it might not be profitable to bluff but assuming you're playing 100bb deep it should still be possible to get stacks in by the river cbetting small in 4bet pots when you have a value hand. Is it better to bet big on flop because ppl will call off more with dominated aces when you bet big flop and get it in on turn?

yeah agree, also this will usually set up good sizing for a perceived turn shove, so they know that when i bet flop im setting up river shove, jsut like "when i call turn i have to call river"

im so shit at explaiining myslef lol.

my question is:

Is it better to

a) bet 1/3 pot on flop so you can bluff these boards, but lose value when opponent only calls one street or folds to 3rd barrel

b) bet 3/4 pot on flop meaning you cant bluff these boards, but gain value when opponent calls flop and are more likely to call off stacks on turn

[53%]

2)   A high boards
With our bluffing range I think we should Check back and give up bc he has 53% of the time an A in his calling range.
With AK,AQ value bet.

why wouldn't you cbet bluffs here? surely you can cbet 1/3 pot and its hard for him to continue without a hand. so as long as he's folding to your cbet at least 25% of the time its instantly a profitable play?  I guess if you're cbetting bigger it might not be profitable to bluff but assuming you're playing 100bb deep it should still be possible to get stacks in by the river cbetting small in 4bet pots when you have a value hand. Is it better to bet big on flop because ppl will call off more with dominated aces when you bet big flop and get it in on turn?

Min calling looks like you are calling the s stack and folding to the bigger stack- hand plays real good to- don't think it's close

i think this is pretty bad on a final.  r/call might be optimal v these villians in terms of winning chips but ripping it is also going to be profitable and you bust the tourney a smaller % of the time so you can therefore ladder more.

you can make up some ranges and do some icm calcs to argue either way probably. r/call just seems too thin to me when there's a few short stacks.

great read.

3bet pre cos I want to fold and this is prolly the best hand I would fold so I should bluff with it. Also blockers, prolly only get called by 1 dominating hand (aq).

3bet/fold pre. river is dumb cos i dont think you can get there without any hand better than you did, i still prolly fold tho.

sick fold met.





[ ]**********88

any similarly sick hands from your scores this week?

norrrrrrr

wp bud, great result



good work tighty, gonna leave you to it now, bed calling