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121  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: I Like Learning My PHA Lessons the Hard Way on: August 19, 2013, 07:47:44 PM
OK so ratings out of 10:

Fold 3/10

Flat 6.5/10

4b 7/10

Jam 0/10


122  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: I Like Learning My PHA Lessons the Hard Way on: August 19, 2013, 07:39:24 PM
call ainec

I was thinking this too

Calling is obv fine

I just think at this stage of the tourney "spots" are just as important as holdings. Im not suggesting 4b for value, im suggesting 4b the spot.
123  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Breaking Bad Thread - With US pace Spoilers on: August 19, 2013, 07:32:59 PM
Serious question: how many people worldwide so you reckon have been inspired to open a meth lab / start dealing meth because of this show?

with the caveat of.......... and cooked successfully, id say close to zero
124  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Arsenal FC a sad sad story on: August 19, 2013, 06:53:34 PM
Its actually really terrible PR for Arsenal to do this today. If they are interested, do it under the radar! The "buy now" camp will just whine about lack of ambition and the in "arsene we trust camp" will feel obliged to defend him but wholly unsatisfied!

The media guys at Arsenal should be sacked as a minimum after this summer! It has been a total disaster from the  information put our there and results obtained.

As a board they have no reason not to spend. This year has had a massive increase in TV revenues (which everyone knows about). It shows a terrible lack of ambition or just poor guidance from the top IMO. Wenger has been saying "don't worry these kids will see us through for 8 years". And they have done a satisfactory job, but there is no valid reason why they haven't strengthened to date.

Finally buying on the last day of the window is also pretty disastrous, as Liverpool can confirm. Values are rarely "under-priced" and it always smacks of desperation.  
125  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: I Like Learning My PHA Lessons the Hard Way on: August 19, 2013, 03:41:26 PM
call ainec

How are we proceeding against 2 barrels on a 2 4 Q 9 rainbow?

presume call flop fold turn?

too many variables to answer this in a vacuum, calling is just the lesser of all evils with our exact holding were getting the right price to call even if we fold every single prob that doesnt contain an 8, let alone being in position etc etc. 4bet/folding just makes very little sense with our hand K4o is better to 4bet than 88 here

I think I make my point fairly specific, that we might as well have xx when we 4 bet, and times when I would.

Im only asking what you do to 2 barrels? Its not a dick swinging competition, im just interested in how you play the hand post if you are calling and we have an innocuous board

He bets 420 and 690 if it helps remove variables
126  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Tales from the Toon. The ups and downs of an NUFC supporter.... on: August 19, 2013, 03:17:14 PM
so much love for this:

Newcastle have no appetite to sell Cabaye, but will not rule out the sale of any player following their experiences with Andy Carroll in 2011.
127  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: I Like Learning My PHA Lessons the Hard Way on: August 19, 2013, 02:58:29 PM
call ainec

How are we proceeding against 2 barrels on a 2 4 Q 9 rainbow?

presume call flop fold turn?
128  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Breaking Bad Thread - With US pace Spoilers on: August 19, 2013, 01:14:48 PM
As for Hank, just when you think he is the hero, skyler points out just why he might not be.

What do you mean by this? Do you mean in that Hank has no interest for the fallout and how it will affect her and the kids, and just wants to take Walt down?

Its the bit where she says she needs a lawyer (admittedly through self interest), Hank says your best interests and mine are the same,  she says to Hank he just wants t get walt at all costs, and he realises that's kinda true! Also the fact that he wont tell the DEA in fear of his own career.

I think Hank might become a Hero and then reach zero very quickly (probably because of Jesse)

Oh god  -who cares................. just show us what happens!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
129  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Breaking Bad Thread - With US pace Spoilers on: August 19, 2013, 12:56:45 PM
Agreed with the Walt proposal, I think he has now made the full transition to evil................... and just as you think that, he is lay there ill on the bathroom floor, just asking skyler to make sure it was all worth while

As for Hank, just when you think he is the hero, skyler points out just why he might not be.

Its soooo good, it plays with your emotions. I was actually sitting tense whilst watching it.

And as for the ending....................... double episode 1 time!!!!!!!!!!!! How can we have to wait another week?
130  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: I Like Learning My PHA Lessons the Hard Way on: August 19, 2013, 10:54:30 AM
Loads of points to address in this thread  - ill try

1. In this spot ICM is only an issue if you are going bust. I assume you are never getting 40bbs in with 88 here therefore we can set the actual point of going bust to one side.

However ICM is important, when it comes to you (2nd stack) vs the chip leader. If he is competent he should be able and willing to make you life utter misery. (this is why I make the point about will he ever 5b light)

With the above we can move forward

2. Options

Fold - probably not. You suggest you have been active, therefore he is far more likely to try and put you in your place. We have opened a value hand - plan should have been to snap off shoves from the shorties and reassess if 3b by bigger stacks.

Call - it has merits, we have position. Really villain dependant here.

4b - I REALLY like a 4b here (even with an xx holding)  - SUBJECT TO THE VILLAIN! If I think he isn't 5b light, then we can 4b and put him in a pretty bad spot. I like to go on the bigger side here (760k), just to make sure he only has jam or fold options. Clicking it back isn't overly effective for that purpose here.


I cant impress enough how much these spots are villain dependant and your image dependant. But there are so few people who will 5b ai here with non premiums its going to work enough of the time. Clearly if the villain is competent, it is an amazing spot for him to 5ball, but not many people play that way.


One of the reasons I don't hate 4b folding here, is that from a  tournament  point of view, being back to 1.9m has little to no effect on our position. OK its not ideal to 4b fold 700k, but there are merits for our image if we do. I personally tend to rely on aggression this late in tourneys.

131  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Breaking Bad Thread - With US pace Spoilers on: August 19, 2013, 10:09:52 AM
OH

MYYYYYYYYY


How tense! Every single scene had me gripped!

I think it possibly contained one of my favourite non verbal BB moments ever. When Skyler met Hank and she is wavering, and then he tells her the cancer is back, that look in her eye was amazing! You seen the penny drop!


SO SO SO GOOD!

132  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: Manchester United FC on: August 19, 2013, 09:01:00 AM
The fellani & baines story feels like a media sensation story to me.

That being said if we can get them for £45m then >>>>>>>>>>>>>> fabregas
133  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: I Like Learning My PHA Lessons the Hard Way on: August 19, 2013, 08:28:51 AM
Having read your post it seems a clear fold


However:

Do you think he has bluffs?
Do you think he has any ability to 5b jam light?

These are really important points.

As for icm, of course you take it into account.

As described, I fold, in game, if I don't think villain ill 5b light then I 4b
134  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Breaking Bad Thread - With US pace Spoilers on: August 18, 2013, 11:42:03 PM
What the jgghjgc!

Netflix think its acceptable to put the option of the new episode up then you click it an it says not ready to be viewed!

Burn
135  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: The Breaking Bad Thread - With US pace Spoilers on: August 18, 2013, 10:32:06 PM
Be honest how many times have you watched the last episode? 3 for me

Excited again
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