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Author Topic: Vagueness and the Aftermath - A sporadic diary  (Read 2090984 times)
Karabiner
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« Reply #30765 on: July 07, 2019, 04:09:04 PM »

I learned an interesting and obscure new fact the other day about Lauren Bacall.

Her first cousin was the celebrated Israeli labour polititian and several times Prime Minister Simon Peres.

It had never even occurred to me that she might be Jewish.

I love all this unseen connections stuff Ralph.

Do you remember James Burke with his Connections Programme?




I've never even heard of that series Tom - as I suspected pre-googling it was aired in the 1970's during my exile in Canada.

It looks interesting though..
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« Reply #30766 on: July 07, 2019, 04:28:04 PM »

It was aired in the 70s, but amazingly, it looks as though that episode I linked to is the first of a new series.
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« Reply #30767 on: July 07, 2019, 04:49:55 PM »

Correction, it's an original
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« Reply #30768 on: July 11, 2019, 03:07:44 PM »

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #30769 on: July 11, 2019, 03:25:29 PM »

what a monster

https://twitter.com/Yellowbusdecals/status/1148924954764648451
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« Reply #30770 on: July 11, 2019, 03:42:57 PM »

I wouldn't go that far, she just looks like Elton John.
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« Reply #30771 on: July 11, 2019, 03:46:37 PM »

Sorry (seems to be the hardest word).
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« Reply #30772 on: July 12, 2019, 12:39:47 AM »

Two guys decide to flip a coin, best of five, each puts £50 into the pot.

Jim take heads, Ron takes tails.

The first three flips come heads, heads, tails, then an emergency happens and the game has to be abandoned.

How should the money be shared out to reflect what has already happened?
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« Reply #30773 on: July 12, 2019, 08:04:10 AM »

Two guys decide to flip a coin, best of five, each puts £50 into the pot.

Jim take heads, Ron takes tails.

The first three flips come heads, heads, tails, then an emergency happens and the game has to be abandoned.

How should the money be shared out to reflect what has already happened?

For Ron to win requires tails on the next two flips.
That will happen once in four - 1/2 x 1/2 =1/4

Jim wins the other three times so Jim gets 3/4 of the money - £75, and Ron gets £25
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« Reply #30774 on: July 12, 2019, 08:37:28 AM »

Two guys decide to flip a coin, best of five, each puts £50 into the pot.

Jim take heads, Ron takes tails.

The first three flips come heads, heads, tails, then an emergency happens and the game has to be abandoned.

How should the money be shared out to reflect what has already happened?

For Ron to win requires tails on the next two flips.
That will happen once in four - 1/2 x 1/2 =1/4

Jim wins the other three times so Jim gets 3/4 of the money - £75, and Ron gets £25


Yes, but apparently two blokes called Pascal and Fermat argued about it for ages.
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« Reply #30775 on: July 12, 2019, 08:48:01 AM »

Two guys decide to flip a coin, best of five, each puts £50 into the pot.

Jim take heads, Ron takes tails.

The first three flips come heads, heads, tails, then an emergency happens and the game has to be abandoned.

How should the money be shared out to reflect what has already happened?

For Ron to win requires tails on the next two flips.
That will happen once in four - 1/2 x 1/2 =1/4

Jim wins the other three times so Jim gets 3/4 of the money - £75, and Ron gets £25


Yes, but apparently two blokes called Pascal and Fermat argued about it for ages.



Yes, apparently they kept changing their mind until Fermat's Last Theorem.
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« Reply #30776 on: July 12, 2019, 08:54:05 AM »

I learned loads about predicting and probability yesterday.

The wisdom of crowds and the law of large numbers.
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« Reply #30777 on: July 12, 2019, 08:57:59 AM »

The trouble is, the more I know, the more I know I don't know.

About everything.

Isn't it great?
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« Reply #30778 on: July 12, 2019, 08:59:32 AM »

Has anyone been watching Britain's greatest Bridges?

Now there's a shitload of stuff I didn't know about.
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« Reply #30779 on: July 12, 2019, 02:31:07 PM »

I learned loads about predicting and probability yesterday.

The wisdom of crowds and the law of large numbers.

Tank and I went to a Simon Singh lecture on probability a few years back, a very interesting talk, entertaining delivery. I went searching to see if there was a video, but he still delivers the lecture so I guess he doesn't want us all watching it on Youtube (probably Wink ).

While looking I found this - https://www.simonsingh.net/Simpsons_Mathematics/ - Which begins with the story of Prince Monolulu the Derby Tipster who claimed to be from Abyssinian Royalty - Tikay might remember him....
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