Pretty interesting day. Actually first of all just want to say thanks so much for all the feedback on the hands, I love it when we all get involved and speak about the hands, seriously every reply so so so well received.
Anyway today midway through the session I had loads of really amazing stacks in all the high stuff, after a set up or bad beat in all of them I was whooshed, but I really didn't care and this isn't me moaning now, I was focused all session and played very good until my last table so I'm really OK with it, putting myself in positions to run deep is the most important thing rather than running deep. Like I've said previously, having 6 semi-deep runs is way more encouraging than having 1 super deep run as there's a lot more variance in SUPER deep runs.
Anyway saved a bunch of hands today.
Very tricky played AK, when a blocker isnt a blocker!!!!! http://www.boomplayer.com/poker-hands/Boom/13969756_486D4F37AENow this is a reallllly interesting hand I think. Pre flop is std for me. Flop I like betting 3 way. On the turn I was going for c/j vs the button who I think will b/c KQ basically always and also stab with his QT/QJ/JT that will v.v likely give up when I c/c turn. When the river completes and the guy leads lets think about how his range looks like.
1) 400 into 1000 when its VERY likely that we have a hand like KQ here. Our bluffcatchers are AK (likely bet the turn) or KQ (never folding to any size) so when he has a flush its ectremely likely that he will bet big. Guys are ****ing greedy.
2) What flushes can he have? k93r (
) ok, so flushes he can have are JTss, QTss and Kxss. I see people jamming river here with the As thinking "block the nut flush" having AhKs is WAY better than having AsKh because we block the majoirty of his flushes. Lets say that he defends every suited kx pre and calls flop. That means on the turn he gets there with
K2, K3, K4, K6, K7, K8, KT, KJ, QT, QJ
When we have As we don't block any of it (especially when 9 is a spade rather than the 3!) so on the river by having a king instead of an ace of spades we block 80% of his potential flushes and he has 2 instead of 10 flushes. This combined with his sizes makes this a pretty mandatory river bluff imo.
Usually when you bluff like this its very unlikely that you can credibly represent a flush as you would barrel equity. However here on the turn its not good to barrel equity as we have 0 fold equity. In a spot where villains have very likely got kx and will very likely not fold the turn it doesn't matter how much equity we have if its less than the required to make it profitable. Here I think we can credibly represent a flush, especially Kxss!
Raising flop with no blockers in Super Tuesday http://www.boomplayer.com/poker-hands/Boom/13969780_7C80D5D97BI like this one, you could say you would rather have blockers, but which hands would you really want to raise with flop with that has equity? JT/QT/QJ/KT are all hands that are either too strong to raise fold or play way better as a call. I think his squeezing range from the BB here is probably qq/kk/aa/ak maybe he even flats QQ pre but I doubt it. My perceived range is 88-QQ. I am of course wider here but I think my perceived range isn't. I risk 1450 to win 2555. I think he b/f every combo of AK except AKcc (people generally always cbet ak because they don't want their hand to be "face up") and if he has AA/KK I think its a genuinely disgusting spot for him and he will probably fold in the super tuesday. I wouldn't do this in the big11 or something, but perhaps in a live tournament against a nitty live grinder who can hand read relatively well its probably a really good spot.
This betting small thing http://www.boomplayer.com/poker-hands/Boom/13969164_06DDAD8F47I spoke previously about how I think the future will be people betting small in spots that are really tricky and every decision sucks.
Here I think we definitely need to call pre/flop. On the turn it feels like we need to bet for protection of some sorts but most sizes suck as he won't call us with worse almost ever. AK is a pretty bad c/c by him but betting small here allows us to get a smidge of value whilst protecting. We can also do some creative river sizes with different parts of our range so when we do have a value hand we don't necessarily lose value. Also lets say we have JJ here often we don't even get 3 streets vs a T right, but using this turn sizing 1) increases spr for the river street that we will attempt to get value on 2) potentially increase the chances of him calling down.
capping their ranges http://www.boomplayer.com/poker-hands/Boom/13969083_39969F3B6DInteresting spot. Flop/pre std. On the turn I almost never have the best hand as he always barrels Kx with gutshots etc so he likely has QQ/kx imo. On the river I'm completely uncapped and importantly have no bluffs, I probably fold 65s pre so I end up on the river with 9t, jt, 88 77, 99, tt, qq, kk, aa, ak, jt. I'm perceived to not bluff with this range and maybe go larger with all the nuttier parts of my range as he won't have any hands that slowplayed here except perhaps KK. He likely flats jj pre too so thats not a huge concern.
checking back aces http://www.boomplayer.com/poker-hands/Boom/13968364_06E78732B1It's hard to get aces so when you gettem its nice to be abit creative. I make my sizing pre flop because my bluffs here are hands that don't want to see flops (super polarised) this means that I should go bigger ofc (probably biggest leak MTT players have imo)
He 3b/calls and I was unsure exactly how his range looked like but did expect some KK/QQ. I felt like I'm perceived to never check back flop with AA as its likely he has JJ/QQ/KK and will lose value. BUT THIS IS EXACTLY THE REASON WHY I DID! He is way more likely to bet turn and river for value when I check back OR call turn and river than he is to call my flop bet and then turn jam. His river call is relatively ambitious imo, but if you think about it I'm just flatting AK pre flop, so its really disgusting spot for him if he thinks I never have KK/AA/AK, so maybe its a good call.
Have day 2 of winamax tomorrow but really want to take the day off, will just one table it I guess. Very underwhelmed to play at all tomorrow so I may just not even play it at all. I have a small stack and life ev feels like just not being on the computer tomorrow.
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