Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Not sure if fred can still bet with sportsbook but if they can

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/hong-kong-cup/winner

Nuovo Record £20 win at 10/1 sportsbook

365 7/2 is very short but Ryan Moore has been confirmed to ride expect the price nearer the day to be more 5/6/1.

Not an each way heat so just a small win only bet if you can

[TightEnd]

Not sure if fred can still bet with sportsbook but if they can

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/hong-kong-cup/winner

Nuovo Record £20 win at 10/1 sportsbook

365 7/2 is very short but Ryan Moore has been confirmed to ride expect the price nearer the day to be more 5/6/1.

Not an each way heat so just a small win only bet if you can

not at the moment, sorry. a bad run has nuked the account until reloaded

[Graham C]

Jamie Vardy to score anytime, boosted from 6/4 to 4/1!  For anyone who can with slybet.

Can't find that price?

Expired, was part of their Black Friday "sale"

This hours offer is Saphir Du Rheu at 6/1 for Hennessy

[Peter-27]

FP1 in Abu Dhabi is one of the worst sessions of the year in terms of the relevance to the actual pecking order. Due to being held at a different time of day, and with teams focussing on 2016 development - it basically has NO validity at all. Therefore my bets below are based on my own thoughts and any value spots:

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 15/8 with hills. I would expect at least one of them to manage this. Suggest £20 per driver.

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean at 5/4 with brokes & Carlos Sainz at 13/8 with caddyflower. Prices just too high basically, suggest £20 on both.

Ahh, thought I had posted this already but forgot to actually hit post .. 

[TightEnd]

this is a touch speculative, as i think ultimately labour will squeak home but anyway

from national journos on the ground in Oldham west and royton today (there on a labour orgainsed trip to oldham, orginally scheduled to be with Corbyn)

"In Oldham West, despite Corbyn no-show. Labour councillors admit backlash on doorstep to military/monarchy comments."

"Labour source just told me OldhamWest canvas returns are dreadful. A minimum of 50% of Labour voters in May will not vote Labour next week."

"Another Labour source in OldhamWest I've spoken to says that non-voters are telling party representatives they will vote UKIP/Conservative."

"OldhamWest source tells me that Labour expect to retain the vote by 100 votes at best, original majority was 14,738."

you can currently just about get 11/4 UKIP

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/oldham-west-and-royton/winning-party

In May labour polled 23,500 votes, UKIP 8,892 votes on a 60% turnout

if we take 50% off the labour vote and put it in the region of 11,700-11,800 then the question is how many of their lost votes don't vote or go UKIP, as you would expect turnout to be lower. As it stands around 25% of the loss would have to switch to ukip, only, for them to have a real chance

This is a big working class area where immigration plays a big role

this article gives a lot of the background

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34919236

obviously on monday we have a labour party decision on the syria vote. corbyn has cancelled his trip to the constituency today

on monday corbyn might whip labour to vote against. this would trigger shadow cabinet resignations

he could opt for a free vote, this would highlight up to 12 of the 16 shadow cabinet members voting against their leader

there isn't a great option for PR with the leader and Parliamentary labour party so opposed

the news flow for labour ahead of the by-election next thursday will get worse

i think ukip will go off on the day shorter than 11/4, possibly a lot shorter  

[TightEnd]

FP1 in Abu Dhabi is one of the worst sessions of the year in terms of the relevance to the actual pecking order. Due to being held at a different time of day, and with teams focussing on 2016 development - it basically has NO validity at all. Therefore my bets below are based on my own thoughts and any value spots:

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 15/8 with hills. I would expect at least one of them to manage this. Suggest £20 per driver.

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean at 5/4 with brokes & Carlos Sainz at 13/8 with caddyflower. Prices just too high basically, suggest £20 on both.

Ahh, thought I had posted this already but forgot to actually hit post .. 

Will have to wait til after FP2

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/abu-dhabi-grand-prix/top-6-finish    for my use

we can't do ladbrokes at the moment, or paddy power at all, so will be doing the top six finish bets only as it stands

[Doobs]

this is a touch speculative, as i think ultimately labour will squeak home but anyway

from national journos on the ground in Oldham west and royton today (there on a labour orgainsed trip to oldham, orginally scheduled to be with Corbyn)

"In Oldham West, despite Corbyn no-show. Labour councillors admit backlash on doorstep to military/monarchy comments."

"Labour source just told me OldhamWest canvas returns are dreadful. A minimum of 50% of Labour voters in May will not vote Labour next week."

"Another Labour source in OldhamWest I've spoken to says that non-voters are telling party representatives they will vote UKIP/Conservative."

"OldhamWest source tells me that Labour expect to retain the vote by 100 votes at best, original majority was 14,738."

you can currently just about get 11/4 UKIP

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/oldham-west-and-royton/winning-party

In May labour polled 23,500 votes, UKIP 8,892 votes on a 60% turnout

if we take 50% off the labour vote and put it in the region of 11,700-11,800 then the question is how many of their lost votes don't vote or go UKIP, as you would expect turnout to be lower. As it stands around 25% of the loss would have to switch to ukip, only, for them to have a real chance

This is a big working class area where immigration plays a big role

this article gives a lot of the background

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34919236

obviously on monday we have a labour party decision on the syria vote. corbyn has cancelled his trip to the constituency today

on monday corbyn might whip labour to vote against. this would trigger shadow cabinet resignations

he could opt for a free vote, this would highlight up to 12 of the 16 shadow cabinet members voting against their leader

there isn't a great option for PR with the leader and Parliamentary labour party so opposed

the news flow for labour ahead of the by-election next thursday will get worse

i think ukip will go off on the day shorter than 11/4, possibly a lot shorter  

These early by elections are always hard to win for the party of Government opposition.  Really is a shambles.  At least we can be happy a few thousand people got to feel happy about themselves for a few weeks.

[TightEnd]

only just seen this

"

    ‘Labour have huge problems with their working class vote from what I have seen. These results were essentially reflected across the board by the 100 other campaigners over the last 2 weeks. Ukip is more popular than Farage though very few actively dislike him. But Corbyn has completely turned off his vote.

    ‘Ukip are still going to struggle because near 30% (south east Asian electorate) actively dislike Ukip and are certain to vote Labour if they come out to vote. Ukip will win comfortably in Royton South…the question really is, whether the south east Asian vote turns out. If they do and Ukip fail to turn 30-40% of the Tories, Ukip won’t gain more than 35% and will lose.

    ‘It all depends on the turnout, but in my honest opinion, at 3/1 it represents a ridiculous value for money as I’d put them both at evens. Ukip can win here, they are getting a very warm welcome and Corbyn is destroying his core vote.’

which is in this http://blogs.new.spectator.co.uk/2015/11/will-labours-civil-war-over-bombing-syria-cause-problems-in-oldham-west/

[horseplayer]

Not sure if fred can still bet with sportsbook but if they can

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/hong-kong-cup/winner

Nuovo Record £20 win at 10/1 sportsbook

365 7/2 is very short but Ryan Moore has been confirmed to ride expect the price nearer the day to be more 5/6/1.

Not an each way heat so just a small win only bet if you can

not at the moment, sorry. a bad run has nuked the account until reloaded

Np

Worth a small bet if anyway can

[Peter-27]

Perez 3rd, Hulkenberg 8th in FP2.

Very encouraging for our Force India season points bet

[TightEnd]

Perez 3rd, Hulkenberg 8th in FP2.

Very encouraging for our Force India season points bet

Minimum price you will take on each for the top six please?

recommended at 15/8, early prices going up are 11/8 and 13/8

[TightEnd]

7/4 lab under 2000 ladbrokes is interesting for oldham too if you expect them to cling on

[exstream]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/lma-manager-of-the-year-14-15

Ranieri, surely all Leicester have to do is finish top 6 for him to win it. It doesn't often go to the winner of the league, I guess Wenger will get it if Arsenal win the title though.
Pochettino surely big too.

[TightEnd]

FP1 in Abu Dhabi is one of the worst sessions of the year in terms of the relevance to the actual pecking order. Due to being held at a different time of day, and with teams focussing on 2016 development - it basically has NO validity at all. Therefore my bets below are based on my own thoughts and any value spots:

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 15/8 with hills. I would expect at least one of them to manage this. Suggest £20 per driver.

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean at 5/4 with brokes & Carlos Sainz at 13/8 with caddyflower. Prices just too high basically, suggest £20 on both.

Ahh, thought I had posted this already but forgot to actually hit post .. 

HILLS 11/8 Hulk and Perez

please advise

[BigAdz]

If anyone can get the 8-1 on Aloomomo in the 1.15 @ news tomorrow, take it.

Much improved for stable switch and probably still on improve for stable in form. Probably more a 4-1 shot later.