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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16420418 times)
Killerkilsby
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« Reply #111660 on: January 09, 2016, 05:06:33 PM »

I really disagree with views on Headman.

She is world ranked number 1 and won countless events this year thats far from being a bottler (admit shes had past problems on this stage)

Gulliver is ranked 16th and hasnt played that great to get here imo shes been handed a couple of wins by superior players.

Yes shes won it many times before but for me its priced perfectly.
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atdc21
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« Reply #111661 on: January 09, 2016, 05:07:49 PM »

ok as you were then Smiley Smiley
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« Reply #111662 on: January 09, 2016, 05:10:48 PM »

from what ive seen the BDO games have been much more unpredictable in general than the PDC.
Makes you think you would have achance against em down the pub Cheesy
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JohnCharver
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« Reply #111663 on: January 09, 2016, 06:47:40 PM »

I really disagree with views on Headman.

She is world ranked number 1 and won countless events this year thats far from being a bottler (admit shes had past problems on this stage)

Gulliver is ranked 16th and hasnt played that great to get here imo shes been handed a couple of wins by superior players.

Yes shes won it many times before but for me its priced perfectly.

She bottled that.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #111664 on: January 09, 2016, 07:36:12 PM »

this was put up by stopsley earlier

Over 50.5 Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals Total Rushing Yds - Jeremy Hill
10/11
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £38.20



we don't have anything for the first game

i like first scoring play field goal a lot 5/4 with bookies we can't use

no idea which team (could dutch it at 100/30 and 7/2 the pair) , but two strong defenses and unprolific offenses suggest to me it could well be a field goal to kick us off

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-houston-texans/first-scoring-play
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #111665 on: January 09, 2016, 07:51:04 PM »

I really disagree with views on Headman.

She is world ranked number 1 and won countless events this year thats far from being a bottler (admit shes had past problems on this stage)

Gulliver is ranked 16th and hasnt played that great to get here imo shes been handed a couple of wins by superior players.

Yes shes won it many times before but for me its priced perfectly.

She bottled that.

Indeed. Quite remarkable how 1 stage can really do that.

Sorry for disagreeing.
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nellberg
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« Reply #111666 on: January 09, 2016, 08:24:49 PM »

Some Big bash bet at real bookmakers this time  Cheesy

Boyce to beat hogg. We did Rashid to beat Hogg, Boyce was only a push against Faulkner but no reason not to be keen on Boyce again today. He had an off-day last time, striving too hard for wickets due to having a low total to defend. He has 10 wickets in 6 games, taking at least a wicket in 5 of those games. Hoggy has 3 wickets from his 6 games, with 4 games where he failed to take a wicket. Same theory, Boyce is used as an attacking bowler, Hogg is used to dry the runs up with being much of a threat, as the stats show. Can't find an oddschecker link, bet is with Korral, 4/5.

In the Sixers v Heat game I can't have Bollinger being put up against Cutting here. They basically don't know who the Heat will pick as a bowler so picked Cutting for this market as they know he'll definitely play.  Bollinger is a strong new ball bowler, tons of experience, used to be a international quick for Australia. Cutting is a 2nd/3rd change seamer for a side who have taken the fewest wickets in the competition so far. They've bowled a similar amount of overs, Bollinger has less wickets than I'd expected (just the 5) but Cutting has taken only 2 all season. Bollinger bowls up front with the new ball, so has the chance to sneak a few early ones, then will come back at the death. Cutting is just trying to get a few overs in whilst the batsman are setting themselves for the late burst, doesn't have any decent variety and has regressed as a bowler as his batting has become more of a focus. They are chalk and cheese when it comes to bowling ability, Bollinger is 4/5 with Korral also. Again no link is up at the moment, sorry.
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Tal
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« Reply #111667 on: January 09, 2016, 09:00:50 PM »

Deleted the post where I completely misread a price. 

As you were...
« Last Edit: January 09, 2016, 09:07:27 PM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #111668 on: January 09, 2016, 09:06:21 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-houston-texans/most-turnovers

Billy Mountains is the only bookie offering this one. The Texans are more likely to give the ball away but are 13/8 in this three horse race (the draw being a possibility).

Here are the stats:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/givetake

Houston are just off a game where they marmalised the Jaguars and secured a whopping 8 sacks. The incomparable, monstrous JJ Watt and his partner in crime Whitney Mercilus (real name - how good is the NFL for stuff like this?). I think there's a little recency bias because the turnover differential difference between the two in the Steelers v Bengals game is a little wider and they go:

5/4 Bengals
29/20 Steelers
3/1 Draw

The Texans have had an injury to pass rusher Jadevon Clowney, too.

It's not miles out of line, given the overround, but there may be a smidge there. Kansas City are better at managing the ball when they have it and are favoured to win the game.

If we fancy it, £20 on the Texans for the most turnovers at 13/8.

How much did you put on this Tal?  Market now 23/20
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Tal
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« Reply #111669 on: January 09, 2016, 09:08:00 PM »

Damn ninja response!

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« Reply #111670 on: January 09, 2016, 09:14:01 PM »

this was put up by stopsley earlier

Over 50.5 Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals Total Rushing Yds - Jeremy Hill
10/11
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £38.20



we don't have anything for the first game

i like first scoring play field goal a lot 5/4 with bookies we can't use

no idea which team (could dutch it at 100/30 and 7/2 the pair) , but two strong defenses and unprolific offenses suggest to me it could well be a field goal to kick us off

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-houston-texans/first-scoring-play

Going to a bar to watch this match, so I'm on 15/4 on a Houston field goal first score with Party! Thanks Tighty!

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Tal
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« Reply #111671 on: January 09, 2016, 10:25:59 PM »

That's one way to lose a bet!

The opening kick off was returned 105 yards for a Kansas City touchdown
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tikay
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« Reply #111672 on: January 09, 2016, 11:53:26 PM »


Why is Kevin Cadle not Presenting the NFL coverage?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #111673 on: January 09, 2016, 11:57:36 PM »

That's one way to lose a bet!

The opening kick off was returned 105 yards for a Kansas City touchdown
And si x points of offense since!
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Tal
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« Reply #111674 on: January 09, 2016, 11:58:25 PM »


Why is Kevin Cadle not Presenting the NFL coverage?

He's been having a break for a month or so, but has tweeted today that he's back tomorrow.

Fair to say he's not a universally popular presenter but he is a Bills fan, so he's fine with me.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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