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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16423243 times)
jakally
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« Reply #111705 on: January 10, 2016, 02:20:11 PM »

minnesota expected to be -1 at kick off....

Really? Doesn't that make them an automatic bet now?

sorry, temperature not points spread



 
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« Reply #111706 on: January 10, 2016, 02:26:04 PM »

minnesota expected to be -1 at kick off....

Really? Doesn't that make them an automatic bet now?

sorry, temperature not points spread



 

It's -9 now apparently! Could you imagine them playing premier league football in that? Even Balotelli would run around then.

apart from my peterson idea, did you have anything for either of tonight's games?

minnesota expected to be -1 at kick off....

What do you reckon to No Minnesota touchdown at 7/2 with Patrick Parr? Only got 7 points last time they played Seattle and Bridgwater is going to be tested heavily tonight. You'd rather Lynch was playing for that bet, perhaps, to enable Seattle to run down the clock.

I always look at tight ends against Seattle (their weakest area), although Kyle Rudolph is no more than a moderate pass catcher. When he does, it tends to be in the end zone. 14/1 first/last and 11/4 anytime touchdown scorer. It's free bet fodder but little more.

His line is 30 yards give or take tonight which is bang on his average for the season. Against an elite defense, no point at all betting the overs for value there.

Annoyed we didn't get a win with Miller last night. Game situation didn't help but still feel the red bookie made an error there.
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« Reply #111707 on: January 10, 2016, 03:15:38 PM »

Wimbledon fan...thoughts on Jake Reeves? Apparently he is on the Poshie radar.

Tottingham fans...David Pleat raving about Chris Forrester, will be another Dele Alli, but you can't have him till the summer ta.

Also, what did Mark Lawrenson just call Steven Pienaar?

We (Brentford) released him a couple of years back. Not good enough for league 1. Very average midfielder who is neat and tidy but not incisive enough going forward and not strong enough or disciplined enough defending.

thing he has improved a touch tbf

Agree though a safe player would not be near your first x1 what i have seen

Okies, ta. We really don't need a midfielder tbf, any of our current crop would walk into most Champo clubs. He's only 22, though, and sounds like he's found a burst of improvement.

He's definitely better than that assessment, but he did have injury problems while at Brentford. In a good run of form at the mo. Read a rumour on Twitter yesterday that we'd turned down an offer from Peterborough for him. Think it would be better all round if he stayed put - we need him more than you do!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #111708 on: January 10, 2016, 06:19:21 PM »

Currently -21C in Minneapolis

love a good cold game

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« Reply #111709 on: January 10, 2016, 06:22:46 PM »

Longest field goal team in the Seattle @ Minnesota ChillyBowl

Two of the best kickers in the league are on display tonight in Seattle's Stephen Hauschka and Minnesota's Blair Walsh.

Here are their stats:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/kicking/sort/longFieldGoalMade/seasontype/2

They've had a 54 yard kick each but Walsh has had notably more field goals this season, borne partly of a less dynamic offense and fewer options in the passing game. In a game predicted to have 40 points, field goals will matter and big kicks from distance are likely.

I'd rather be on the guy who is more used to these conditions and has had more kicks this season.

The bookies disagree, making Seattle's Hauschka 20/23 best favourite. We can get even money (shouty red man) on Walsh (20/21 with BMU)

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-minnesota-vikings/to-score-longest-field-goal

Seems to me to be at worst a flip. Danger is Seattle get ahead and consolidate but they're only 4 point favourites.

Recommend £30 on Minnesota longest field goal with whoever we can get that much on with.

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« Reply #111710 on: January 10, 2016, 06:32:25 PM »

give me five minutes, sir.

a tense five minutes
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« Reply #111711 on: January 10, 2016, 06:34:33 PM »

give me five minutes, sir.

a tense five minutes

Why?

Is there football on?


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« Reply #111712 on: January 10, 2016, 06:36:26 PM »

give me five minutes, sir.

a tense five minutes

Why?

Is there football on?




there is now. sigh.
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« Reply #111713 on: January 10, 2016, 06:38:58 PM »

Minnesota Vikings Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings To Score Longest Field Goal
1/1
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £40.00
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« Reply #111714 on: January 10, 2016, 06:40:43 PM »

While you are looking in a few minutes, Stan Jimmy has a market on the longest field goal being 44.5 yards over/under. With such cold weather, that's logical but a team may well have to try from further out.

30 degrees of temperature roughly equates to 5 yards of distance (the ball travels less far in denser, colder air)

http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2012/01/temperature-and-field-goals.html?m=1

What's the stadium like for kicking distances?
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« Reply #111715 on: January 10, 2016, 06:42:17 PM »

While you are looking in a few minutes, Stan Jimmy has a market on the longest field goal being 44.5 yards over/under. With such cold weather, that's logical but a team may well have to try from further out.

30 degrees of temperature roughly equates to 5 yards of distance (the ball travels less far in denser, colder air)

http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2012/01/temperature-and-field-goals.html?m=1

What's the stadium like for kicking distances?

its harder to kick long field goals with a cold heavy ball right?
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Tal
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« Reply #111716 on: January 10, 2016, 06:44:21 PM »

While you are looking in a few minutes, Stan Jimmy has a market on the longest field goal being 44.5 yards over/under. With such cold weather, that's logical but a team may well have to try from further out.

30 degrees of temperature roughly equates to 5 yards of distance (the ball travels less far in denser, colder air)

http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2012/01/temperature-and-field-goals.html?m=1

What's the stadium like for kicking distances?

its harder to kick long field goals with a cold heavy ball right?

Yes.

Any idea what a normal long kick would be at Minnesota? Just trying to work backwards.
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« Reply #111717 on: January 10, 2016, 06:45:29 PM »

While you are looking in a few minutes, Stan Jimmy has a market on the longest field goal being 44.5 yards over/under. With such cold weather, that's logical but a team may well have to try from further out.

30 degrees of temperature roughly equates to 5 yards of distance (the ball travels less far in denser, colder air)

http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2012/01/temperature-and-field-goals.html?m=1

What's the stadium like for kicking distances?

its harder to kick long field goals with a cold heavy ball right?

Yes.

Any idea what a normal long kick would be at Minnesota? Just trying to work backwards.

outdoors college stadium, smaller at one end. wind a factor anyway

think bobby1 was there a few weeks ago

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Tal
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« Reply #111718 on: January 10, 2016, 06:52:34 PM »

While you are looking in a few minutes, Stan Jimmy has a market on the longest field goal being 44.5 yards over/under. With such cold weather, that's logical but a team may well have to try from further out.

30 degrees of temperature roughly equates to 5 yards of distance (the ball travels less far in denser, colder air)

http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2012/01/temperature-and-field-goals.html?m=1

What's the stadium like for kicking distances?

its harder to kick long field goals with a cold heavy ball right?

Yes.

Any idea what a normal long kick would be at Minnesota? Just trying to work backwards.

outdoors college stadium, smaller at one end. wind a factor anyway

think bobby1 was there a few weeks ago



Have just checked. He says the line is fair so let's not play that then.
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Tal
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« Reply #111719 on: January 10, 2016, 07:15:34 PM »

Michael David Smith @MichaelDavSmith

Coldest games in NFL history:
-13 Ice Bowl 12/31/1967
-9 Freezer Bowl 1/10/1982
-6 Seahawks-Vikings 1/10/2016
-1 Giants-Packers 1/20/2008

6:02 PM - 10 Jan 2016

88 year old Bud Grant gives it the "-26 an wot?" in a polo shirt he didn't really need but wore it for the sake of it.



Must have Geordie blood in him.
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