Tips for Tikay

[Peter-27]

no bets completed yesterday

one piece of activity on our bets

Roma 4-1 Fiorentina

Roma are 3rd, 5 points behind Juve

--

Nico Rosberg: "We know it is close but we are not sure if we are ahead or behind" http://skysports.tv/PMEszc 

--

So, it turns out Ferrari might have caught up after all... http://bbc.in/1RMQmuI 

Vettel is 11/2 in a spot, still

You have mentioned Ferrari & Vettel several times, Tighty.

Is there a way we can get with them/him which affords us some value, & a season long sweat? If so, let's consider it. Peter will be along with a raft of season bets soon I expect, & it'd be good to build a little F1 2016 book.

Nirvana loves the sheer excitement of F1, too, he may have some suggestions.

We're on Rosberg

I expect Peter will say that we shouldn't do anything with Vettel as he expects Mercedes to dominate again. I just pop up the links for discussion

there are no sub-markets up yet, i have been looking every day. For example driver match bets wbhere we did well last year

I also wanted to look at possible markets ex-mercedes/ferrari. i had in mind that a team might overtake williams and be consistently third quickest.

I have also been looking out every day, not many markets out there just yet.

Although not covered by the media, this weekend is one of the biggest in the F1 season - this is where the teams all have a full data set from testing and will be going through every lap set in order to determine the strengths/weaknesses of their car, as well as the other team's machines too. Of course, I will be doing the same.

I do believe Mercedes are considerably ahead of the field here, but who knows what analysis will throw up, I'm working on it.

It's interesting that you said a team might overtake Williams for third. It looks incredibly tight in that area at the moment, and I think you could well be right also.

no bets completed yesterday

one piece of activity on our bets

Roma 4-1 Fiorentina

Roma are 3rd, 5 points behind Juve

--

Nico Rosberg: "We know it is close but we are not sure if we are ahead or behind" http://skysports.tv/PMEszc  

--

So, it turns out Ferrari might have caught up after all... http://bbc.in/1RMQmuI  
H
Vettel is 11/2 in a spot, still

You have mentioned Ferrari & Vettel several times, Tighty.

Is there a way we can get with them/him which affords us some value, & a season long sweat? If so, let's consider it. Peter will be along with a raft of season bets soon I expect, & it'd be good to build a little F1 2016 book.

Nirvana loves the sheer excitement of F1, too, he may have some suggestions.

We're on Rosberg

I expect Peter will say that we shouldn't do anything with Vettel as he expects Mercedes to dominate again. I just pop up the links for discussion

there are no sub-markets up yet, i have been looking every day. For example driver match bets wbhere we did well last year

I also wanted to look at possible markets ex-mercedes/ferrari. i had in mind that a team might overtake williams and be consistently third quickest.

For those that can get on with PP: Vettel is 11/2, which is bang on Betfair, but they give you a third top 2.  So you are getting 11/6 on the top 2.  Backing Vettel each way in the circumstances looks like it must be a good bet.  This assumes Ferrari is close to Mercedes as the betting suggests and not some way behind (peter's view).   If you are going to back Vettel, you should definitely go each way.

I agree, if you are going to bet on Vettel (which is NOT something I recommend), then this is your best spot.

[Tonji]

Although not covered by the media, this weekend is one of the biggest in the F1 season - this is where the teams all have a full data set from testing and will be going through every lap set in order to determine the strengths/weaknesses of their car, as well as the other team's machines too. Of course, I will be doing the same.

Curious about this Peter. Is this just all the teams lap & sector times from testing, or full telemetry (which each team I would assume keep as a closely guarded secret)?

[Peter-27]

Although not covered by the media, this weekend is one of the biggest in the F1 season - this is where the teams all have a full data set from testing and will be going through every lap set in order to determine the strengths/weaknesses of their car, as well as the other team's machines too. Of course, I will be doing the same.

Curious about this Peter. Is this just all the teams lap & sector times from testing, or full telemetry (which each team I would assume keep as a closely guarded secret)?

What I use to place my bets is lap times & sector times, as well as environmental conditions (e.g. humidty, wind speed etc.) and video footage. All of which is publicly available. Would be insider trading otherwise! 

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

Today in the rugby union premiership Sale host Harlequins. Sale are unbeaten at home in 11 months and this match does look like it will be a home win as Harlequins seem to travel like the French do. With Sale odds on to win I need to look deeper to find a bet i like. This season Sale have won 4 games at home by less than 12 points, had 2 draws, and stuffed London Irish by 28 points. As long s Harlequins don't capitulate, which they have done this season on several occasions, then I like Sale to win by this margin. We get 28/17 on a Sale win by  1-12 or 11/4 by 13+. Of the 2 I prefer the former and hope that Harlequins try harder than the French.

Suggest Sale to win by 1-12 points £15 @ 28/17 with 888.

By the way Tighty, even though the Salford lost to a last minute drop goal, I really liked the photo you put up.

[TightEnd]

Morning Tighty.

Today in the rugby union premiership Sale host Harlequins. Sale are unbeaten at home in 11 months and this match does look like it will be a home win as Harlequins seem to travel like the French do. With Sale odds on to win I need to look deeper to find a bet i like. This season Sale have won 4 games at home by less than 12 points, had 2 draws, and stuffed London Irish by 28 points. As long s Harlequins don't capitulate, which they have done this season on several occasions, then I like Sale to win by this margin. We get 28/17 on a Sale win by  1-12 or 11/4 by 13+. Of the 2 I prefer the former and hope that Harlequins try harder than the French.

Suggest Sale to win by 1-12 points £15 @ 28/17 with 888.

By the way Tighty, even though the Salford lost to a last minute drop goal, I really liked the photo you put up.

can't do 888 at the moment


Sale v Harlequins

    6/4
    £15
    £37.50
    Sale Sharks 1-12
    Winning Margin (1-12)

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000202

 

[McGlashan]

There's an American heavyweight bout between Luis Ortiz and Tony Thompson that I've got my eye on.

Ortiz is easily the best non champion out there and should be giving Thompson a straight up beat down from the opening bell. Stylistically he's like David Haye, a speed banger but with a legit 6'4” heavyweight frame.

Thompson is known for challenging Vladimir Klitschko at 41 years of age and then twice upsetting the great British hope David Price. He began looking real languid against Carlos Takam almost 2 years ago and now at 44 years old he looks painfully slow. Like Kevin Johnson against Anthony Joshua type inactive, beaten to every punch , moving underwater type slow.

I'd hoped Thompson would face Anthony Joshua as he'd be bludgeon within one and a half rounds. Ortiz may take a little longer to set up his power shots but it's hard to imagine any scenario where Thompson lasts the distance.

Rec £165 at 4/11 on Ortiz by stoppage with bald fred  http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/luis-ortiz-v-tony-thompson/method-of-victory alternatively would take £140 @3/10.

[RobbieP]

Hi
I've also been lurking for a while after a recommendation for my mate stumpy the fish to follow this site .

Novice in sports betting like most sport mainly footie supported Newcastle Utd for yrs but gave up and started to support another crap team Gateshead FC watch and bet mainly on national league level
No tips today but will try and get some up

Just wanted to say hi and thank people for some tips I've picked up over the last few months lurking

[TightEnd]

There's an American heavyweight bout between Luis Ortiz and Tony Thompson that I've got my eye on.

Ortiz is easily the best non champion out there and should be giving Thompson a straight up beat down from the opening bell. Stylistically he's like David Haye, a speed banger but with a legit 6'4” heavyweight frame.

Thompson is known for challenging Vladimir Klitschko at 41 years of age and then twice upsetting the great British hope David Price. He began looking real languid against Carlos Takam almost 2 years ago and now at 44 years old he looks painfully slow. Like Kevin Johnson against Anthony Joshua type inactive, beaten to every punch , moving underwater type slow.

I'd hoped Thompson would face Anthony Joshua as he'd be bludgeon within one and a half rounds. Ortiz may take a little longer to set up his power shots but it's hard to imagine any scenario where Thompson lasts the distance.

Rec £165 at 4/11 on Ortiz by stoppage with bald fred  http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/luis-ortiz-v-tony-thompson/method-of-victory alternatively would take £140 @3/10.

hi i had to downscale a bit due to account balance (just as well cheltenham is coming up.)

£110.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Ortiz v Thompson
Method of Victory
   Ortiz, Luis KO, TKO or Disqualification   4/11   
Total stake   £ 110.00
Estimated return   £ 150.00
Full stake   £ 110.00
Full estimated return   £ 150.00

[TightEnd]

Hi
I've also been lurking for a while after a recommendation for my mate stumpy the fish to follow this site .

Novice in sports betting like most sport mainly footie supported Newcastle Utd for yrs but gave up and started to support another crap team Gateshead FC watch and bet mainly on national league level
No tips today but will try and get some up

Just wanted to say hi and thank people for some tips I've picked up over the last few months lurking

hello, welcome along

Gary Mills fan?

[exstream]

my matey has said watching last weeks arsenal game, elneny looked rash in challenges and picked up a booking, whether hes not up to speed with the league yet or eagerness, 11/4 looks decent to be carded http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/tottenham-v-arsenal/to-be-shown-a-card
big derby and all that too
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/tottenham-v-arsenal/first-player-booking 14/1 first

[RobbieP]

Hi
I've also been lurking for a while after a recommendation for my mate stumpy the fish to follow this site .

Novice in sports betting like most sport mainly footie supported Newcastle Utd for yrs but gave up and started to support another crap team Gateshead FC watch and bet mainly on national league level
No tips today but will try and get some up

Just wanted to say hi and thank people for some tips I've picked up over the last few months lurking

hello, welcome along

Gary Mills fan?

I was he took us to another level got a shed full of money to move to Wrexham who can blame him
Aspin has came in and made the heed hard to beat
Both now look like they are fighting with a few others for the final play off positions

[TightEnd]

he is 23

has been booked 17 times in 125 games and never sent off

so about 1 in 7 games.

11/4 looks short doesnt it?

accept adjusting to a new league

[TightEnd]

Paddy Power have gone money back as a free bet if your horse is second at any cheltenham festival race

now then, do we know anyone who can get us on?

perhaps the answer will come after the NLD.

[exstream]

probably, just repeating what he said to me lol


the final of the jump is tomorrow
im on tom parker through this thread

[BigAdz]

1 shot

1 goal.

Go Goooners!