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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16571395 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #115065 on: March 17, 2016, 11:17:07 AM »

14:50 Road to Riches e/w @ 8/1  with everyday if anyone can for Fred, or 15/2 with baldfred, if not.

3rd in last GC on ground that won't have been in his favour. Today the ground will suit the horse much more, and I think it definitely has the pace for this trip at Cheltenham.

Can't see it out of the 3, and should Vautour not perform it's got a good shout of winning.

Feel free to wait for advice from the other nag guys first, though.

If fancied by any of the others, maybe 20ew?

you banned from 365 now?  think this must be a reasonable bet too.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #115066 on: March 17, 2016, 11:17:37 AM »



2.10  I am sure there are plenty more, but I really like Missed Approach (12/1 5 places only at 365).  You want £20 e/w Tighty?


yup will do the rest shortly

booked
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« Reply #115067 on: March 17, 2016, 11:20:36 AM »

14:50 Road to Riches e/w @ 8/1  with everyday if anyone can for Fred, or 15/2 with baldfred, if not.

3rd in last GC on ground that won't have been in his favour. Today the ground will suit the horse much more, and I think it definitely has the pace for this trip at Cheltenham.

Can't see it out of the 3, and should Vautour not perform it's got a good shout of winning.

Feel free to wait for advice from the other nag guys first, though.

If fancied by any of the others, maybe 20ew?

you banned from 365 now?  think this must be a reasonable bet too.

Yeah, got the email last month, and now restricted to a max £30 takeout on anything.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #115068 on: March 17, 2016, 11:21:01 AM »

14:50 Road to Riches e/w @ 8/1  with everyday if anyone can for Fred, or 15/2 with baldfred, if not.

3rd in last GC on ground that won't have been in his favour. Today the ground will suit the horse much more, and I think it definitely has the pace for this trip at Cheltenham.

Can't see it out of the 3, and should Vautour not perform it's got a good shout of winning.

Feel free to wait for advice from the other nag guys first, though.

If fancied by any of the others, maybe 20ew?

2m 5f Chase
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3   Road To Riches   15/2   
Total stake   40.00
Estimated return   227.50
Full stake   40.00
Full estimated return   227.50
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« Reply #115069 on: March 17, 2016, 11:25:10 AM »

Fingal Bay in the 4.10pm looks to have been given a good chance by the handicapper as it's on it's lowest mark for some considerable time, it's a course winner over 3M on good ground too.

Recommend £20EW @10/1+ wherever you can get 5 places.

 
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« Reply #115070 on: March 17, 2016, 11:28:14 AM »

The other obvious one is Smart Talk in the 4.50.   There are a few that 7/1, quarter first 3, and the place terms are fantastic in a race like this (odds on favourite, lots of also rans).  sugesst £25 e/w Smart Talk with Lads (or 365) at 7/1 if we can get on (others are a fifth first 3)

Will come back for the last two handicaps.
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« Reply #115071 on: March 17, 2016, 11:29:44 AM »

1.30  Am half tempted to give it a miss, as we have Garde La Victoire at a fantastic price.  But there are a couple of no hopers in, making each way a good bet,  and I am prepared to give L’ami Serge another chance.  Suggest £25e/w L’Ami Serge at 9/1 (shy, victor, bfsb.  Sporting are fifth the odds be careful).
Interestingly Shy laid me £50 e/w here.  Guess Cheltenham limits are much bigger, or they have taken their multiples off as I was expecting 1.25 e/w.   I would have gone a bit higher if I realised!

2.50  Has become disappointing is the Sporting life comment on this one.  Whilst there is a lot of truth in that.  He has only really run one decent race this season (at Wetherby),  and been 2nd and 3rd but 20 lengths back at Haydock and Ascot.   But the horse is best on good ground (see spring 2014), the each way terms are great and his trainer has had a patchy season (already one winner at cheltenham).  I think we hold our noses and put £20 e/w on Dynaste at 40/1 (b365, victor) 

3.30
Neil has been talking about Whisper everywhere, and  I wouldn’t put you off.  It was on the SB preview and I think he put it in a weekly column.    The each way terms mean that Cole Harden is also a bet at 7/1, quarter first 3 with several bookies (suggest 25 e/w)

I also had a bet on Saphir Du Rheu, but the horse has always been good to me, so think it is a heart one, so will give it a miss here.

LAmi Serge Cheltenham 13:30 Winner
9/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £331.25

Dynaste Cheltenham 14:50 Winner
40/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £30.00 (account needs a top up)
Potential Returns: £780.00

Cole Harden Cheltenham 15:30 Winner
7/1
Total Stake: £50.00
Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Returns: £268.75

3m Hurdle
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3   Whisper   11/1   
Total stake   £ 30.00
Estimated return   £ 236.25
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 236.25
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« Reply #115072 on: March 17, 2016, 11:32:36 AM »

Fingal Bay in the 4.10pm looks to have been given a good chance by the handicapper as it's on it's lowest mark for some considerable time, it's a course winner over 3M on good ground too.

Recommend £20EW @10/1+ wherever you can get 5 places.

 

struggling.

can anyone help bet365 or betvictor please?
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« Reply #115073 on: March 17, 2016, 11:33:19 AM »

Fingal Bay in the 4.10pm looks to have been given a good chance by the handicapper as it's on it's lowest mark for some considerable time, it's a course winner over 3M on good ground too.

Recommend £20EW @10/1+ wherever you can get 5 places.

 

struggling.

can anyone help bet365 or betvictor please?

ignore, bv sorted
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tikay
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« Reply #115074 on: March 17, 2016, 11:33:32 AM »

Fingal Bay in the 4.10pm looks to have been given a good chance by the handicapper as it's on it's lowest mark for some considerable time, it's a course winner over 3M on good ground too.

Recommend £20EW @10/1+ wherever you can get 5 places.

 

struggling.

can anyone help bet365 or betvictor please?

Rich,

Have just funded BMU. Did not realise we were empty there.
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« Reply #115075 on: March 17, 2016, 11:34:36 AM »

The other obvious one is Smart Talk in the 4.50.   There are a few that 7/1, quarter first 3, and the place terms are fantastic in a race like this (odds on favourite, lots of also rans).  sugesst £25 e/w Smart Talk with Lads (or 365) at 7/1 if we can get on (others are a fifth first 3)

Will come back for the last two handicaps.

Smart Talk Cheltenham 16:50 Winner
7/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £268.75
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« Reply #115076 on: March 17, 2016, 11:36:37 AM »

Fingal Bay Cheltenham 16:10 Winner
10/1 Each Way (4 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £290.00
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« Reply #115077 on: March 17, 2016, 11:39:17 AM »

14:50 Road to Riches e/w @ 8/1  with everyday if anyone can for Fred, or 15/2 with baldfred, if not.

3rd in last GC on ground that won't have been in his favour. Today the ground will suit the horse much more, and I think it definitely has the pace for this trip at Cheltenham.

Can't see it out of the 3, and should Vautour not perform it's got a good shout of winning.

Feel free to wait for advice from the other nag guys first, though.

If fancied by any of the others, maybe 20ew?

2m 5f Chase
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3   Road To Riches   15/2   
Total stake   40.00
Estimated return   227.50
Full stake   40.00
Full estimated return   227.50

Anon got us 8/1 e/w bet365 and i didn't see a message in time

so we will have the 8/1 on thread, same terms and the bet above off thread

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« Reply #115078 on: March 17, 2016, 12:01:19 PM »

1.30  Am half tempted to give it a miss, as we have Garde La Victoire at a fantastic price.  But there are a couple of no hopers in, making each way a good bet,  and I am prepared to give L’ami Serge another chance.  Suggest £25e/w L’Ami Serge at 9/1 (shy, victor, bfsb.  Sporting are fifth the odds be careful).
Interestingly Shy laid me £50 e/w here.  Guess Cheltenham limits are much bigger, or they have taken their multiples off as I was expecting 1.25 e/w.   I would have gone a bit higher if I realised!

2.10  I am sure there are plenty more, but I really like Missed Approach (12/1 5 places only at 365).  You want £20 e/w Tighty?

2.50  Has become disappointing is the Sporting life comment on this one.  Whilst there is a lot of truth in that.  He has only really run one decent race this season (at Wetherby),  and been 2nd and 3rd but 20 lengths back at Haydock and Ascot.   But the horse is best on good ground (see spring 2014), the each way terms are great and his trainer has had a patchy season (already one winner at cheltenham).  I think we hold our noses and put £20 e/w on Dynaste at 40/1 (b365, victor) . Robbie Power only road one at chelts so far 2nd in the mares race at 66/1. Looks like they arent wasting bullets and oscar sam at 28s is interesting.

3.30
Neil has been talking about Whisper everywhere, and  I wouldn’t put you off.  It was on the SB preview and I think he put it in a weekly column.    The each way terms mean that Cole Harden is also a bet at 7/1, quarter first 3 with several bookies (suggest 25 e/w)

I also had a bet on Saphir Du Rheu, but the horse has always been good to me, so think it is a heart one, so will give it a miss here.

Really like these so congrats on your first losing day.


Rolling Mall in the 2-10 is very interesting. He won a 3m handicap at chelts on new years day last year having been bet in from 33s to 10s. His next run all but means hes won off the mark he carries today. Tried chasing, didnt take so bowen got him qualified for today. Hes porbably best with a bit more give, but has a fair bit of summer form. All his runs been on heavy this year, think the monkey will like good ground today. At 50/1 willling to take the chance.

Also think taking a pull on kilfinichen bay was a mistake from johnson last time out, he wants to be pushing the pace and may run a big race if he can keep up. Handicapper may have him, but the horse he beat on his penultimate start by a nose made a mockery of a similar weight increase next time out.
« Last Edit: March 17, 2016, 12:19:40 PM by JohnCharver » Logged
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« Reply #115079 on: March 17, 2016, 12:19:32 PM »

1.30  Am half tempted to give it a miss, as we have Garde La Victoire at a fantastic price.  But there are a couple of no hopers in, making each way a good bet,  and I am prepared to give L’ami Serge another chance.  Suggest £25e/w L’Ami Serge at 9/1 (shy, victor, bfsb.  Sporting are fifth the odds be careful).
Interestingly Shy laid me £50 e/w here.  Guess Cheltenham limits are much bigger, or they have taken their multiples off as I was expecting 1.25 e/w.   I would have gone a bit higher if I realised!

2.10  I am sure there are plenty more, but I really like Missed Approach (12/1 5 places only at 365).  You want £20 e/w Tighty?

2.50  Has become disappointing is the Sporting life comment on this one.  Whilst there is a lot of truth in that.  He has only really run one decent race this season (at Wetherby),  and been 2nd and 3rd but 20 lengths back at Haydock and Ascot.   But the horse is best on good ground (see spring 2014), the each way terms are great and his trainer has had a patchy season (already one winner at cheltenham).  I think we hold our noses and put £20 e/w on Dynaste at 40/1 (b365, victor) 

3.30
Neil has been talking about Whisper everywhere, and  I wouldn’t put you off.  It was on the SB preview and I think he put it in a weekly column.    The each way terms mean that Cole Harden is also a bet at 7/1, quarter first 3 with several bookies (suggest 25 e/w)

I also had a bet on Saphir Du Rheu, but the horse has always been good to me, so think it is a heart one, so will give it a miss here.

Really like these so congrats on your first losing day.


Rolling Mall in the 2-10 is very interesting. He won a 3m handicap at chelts on new years day last year having been bet in from 33s to 10s. His next run all but means hes won off the mark he carries today. Tried chasing, didnt take so bowen got him qualified for today. Hes porbably best with a bit more give, but has a fair bit of summer form. All his runs been on heavy this year, think the monkey will like good ground today. At 50/1 willling to take the chance.

Also think taking a pull on kilfinichen bay was a mistake from johnson last time out, he wants to be pushing the pace and may run a big race if he can keep up. Handicapper may have him, but the horse he beat on his penultimate start by a nose made a mockery of a similar weight increase next time out.

50-1 and 66-1

i cant resist (would love recommended bet sizes, price limits, each way place instructions and odds checker links next time please, thanks)

Rolling Maul Cheltenham 14:10 Winner
50/1 Each Way (5 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £645.00

can't get the 66-1 here, coral limited to £1.50, and the rest of the fancy prices are 4 places

3m Handicap Hurdle
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3,4,5   Kilfinichen Bay   50/1   
Total stake   20.00
Estimated return   645.00
Full stake   20.00
Full estimated return   645.00
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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