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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13438374 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #136440 on: July 29, 2019, 09:49:59 AM »

Just got the last one in my local shop.    Amazing how the post don't send out 5 times more copies to every shop for a normal Monday.   They must lose a fortune.
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Chompy
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« Reply #136441 on: July 29, 2019, 12:23:14 PM »

Man City off scratch 15-1 with 365 is golden, quarter four spots.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
arbboy
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« Reply #136442 on: July 29, 2019, 03:07:46 PM »

molly and tommy the long time long odds on favs have finally gone odds against as the show finishes toniight.   Viewer fatigue setting in i think and Amber and greg look a bet at evens or bigger if you can still get it.   Will suit a lot of firms to lay this as they will have huge green on this new couple and be happy to 'give it away' over the odds.

https://www.oddschecker.com/tv/love-island/winning-couple?selectionName=amber-gill-and-greg-oshea

Evens is fine at bald for fred to get on.  £200 please
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arbboy
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« Reply #136443 on: July 29, 2019, 03:51:17 PM »

6/5 at slybet is obviously even stronger bet for tthose that can get it.   Clearly the skybet loltrader is greening up on a skinner.   The fact skybet have two price boosts and they both involve tommy and molly winning states they want to oppose the original fav but the lol is still squirreling away greening up his outright book to secure his bonus giving it away at 6/5.   Fill your boots.



https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-7297185/Love-Island-SPOILER-four-FINAL-couples-declarations-love.html

Go to the best rated comments on this article and the DM punters (who are the types to vote for this stuff) can't get enough of Greg and Amber and there isn't much mention of Tommy and Molly.   Greg is just a smooth as silk charming Irish rugby player who the typical voters for this will love.  Amber been through the mill and finally found her prince.   Just a textbook late surge against a vunerable early big odds on fav suffering from voter fatigue.   Molly been accused of being fake and faking tears the whole series and Tommy isn't in Greg's league when it comes to being smooth.

No betfair market for this as well helps make it lol v lol with the firms and they will trade to money and liablities rather than the right price.  No one wants to get a bollocking on losing on a novelty market when you had the chance to green up and look like a genius when the figures are reviewed.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greg_O%27Shea_(rugby_union)

This is Greg btw for anyone not following it.
« Last Edit: July 29, 2019, 04:20:18 PM by arbboy » Logged
Chompy
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« Reply #136444 on: July 29, 2019, 04:34:52 PM »

Damnit Arb, now I'll have to watch

Greg O'Shea & Amber Gill  52.07%  (2,143 votes)
Tommy Fury & Molly-Mae Hague  21.62%  (890 votes)
Ovie Soko & India Reynolds  15.79%  (650 votes)
Curtis Pritchard & Maura Higgins  10.52%  (433 votes)
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
arbboy
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« Reply #136445 on: July 29, 2019, 04:40:10 PM »

Damnit Arb, now I'll have to watch

Greg O'Shea & Amber Gill  52.07%  (2,143 votes)
Tommy Fury & Molly-Mae Hague  21.62%  (890 votes)
Ovie Soko & India Reynolds  15.79%  (650 votes)
Curtis Pritchard & Maura Higgins  10.52%  (433 votes)

You watched worse at London Road for an hour before on a midweek evening without having this value.   Where is that poll from ? 
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Chompy
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« Reply #136446 on: July 29, 2019, 04:47:14 PM »

Tellymix. Stick it in a double with Pompey top six at 4-5, job's a goodun, oi oi.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #136447 on: July 29, 2019, 04:51:15 PM »

molly and tommy the long time long odds on favs have finally gone odds against as the show finishes toniight.   Viewer fatigue setting in i think and Amber and greg look a bet at evens or bigger if you can still get it.   Will suit a lot of firms to lay this as they will have huge green on this new couple and be happy to 'give it away' over the odds.

https://www.oddschecker.com/tv/love-island/winning-couple?selectionName=amber-gill-and-greg-oshea

Evens is fine at bald for fred to get on.  £200 please

Missed the boat I'm afraid - 8/11 now.

Struggled with this at first, had no idea who or what Amber/Greg/Molly/Tommy are, but it seems it's a TV Show with very high ratings in the Fens.
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arbboy
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« Reply #136448 on: July 29, 2019, 04:51:29 PM »

the greg x ovie straight forecast at 10/1 with slybet seems a huge play to me as well at the price.   Probably a good value loser but i can see Molly tanking.  They are 6/1 to finish 3rd which is effectively the same bet based on that poll.
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arbboy
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« Reply #136449 on: July 29, 2019, 04:52:43 PM »

molly and tommy the long time long odds on favs have finally gone odds against as the show finishes toniight.   Viewer fatigue setting in i think and Amber and greg look a bet at evens or bigger if you can still get it.   Will suit a lot of firms to lay this as they will have huge green on this new couple and be happy to 'give it away' over the odds.

https://www.oddschecker.com/tv/love-island/winning-couple?selectionName=amber-gill-and-greg-oshea

Evens is fine at bald for fred to get on.  £200 please

Missed the boat I'm afraid - 8/11 now.

Struggled with this at first, had no idea who or what Amber/Greg/Molly/Tommy are, but it seems it's a TV Show with very high ratings in the Fens.

Do we still have Victor?  £220 at 10/11 is more than acceptable given the additional evidence posted in the last hour.   
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Chompy
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« Reply #136450 on: July 29, 2019, 04:54:08 PM »

Those straight forecast prices are a shambles. 8-1+ arb's tip is a must bet.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
arbboy
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« Reply #136451 on: July 29, 2019, 04:56:01 PM »

Those straight forecast prices are a shambles. 8-1+ arb's tip is a must bet.

3/1 Greg to get more than 50% of the votee seems large as well.   Skybet loltrader doesn't seem to have a spreadsheet to adjust his specials as the outright is collapsing.   Bring back Flint.   Wouldn't have happened in his day. 
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tikay
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« Reply #136452 on: July 29, 2019, 05:12:17 PM »

molly and tommy the long time long odds on favs have finally gone odds against as the show finishes toniight.   Viewer fatigue setting in i think and Amber and greg look a bet at evens or bigger if you can still get it.   Will suit a lot of firms to lay this as they will have huge green on this new couple and be happy to 'give it away' over the odds.

https://www.oddschecker.com/tv/love-island/winning-couple?selectionName=amber-gill-and-greg-oshea

Evens is fine at bald for fred to get on.  £200 please

Missed the boat I'm afraid - 8/11 now.

Struggled with this at first, had no idea who or what Amber/Greg/Molly/Tommy are, but it seems it's a TV Show with very high ratings in the Fens.

Do we still have Victor?  £220 at 10/11 is more than acceptable given the additional evidence posted in the last hour.  

Butter Me Up closed us ages ago I'm afraid.


Happy memories of that Ad campaign, though this one is not the real deal.


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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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« Reply #136453 on: July 29, 2019, 05:14:37 PM »

Just went round to Baldie to have a bit on....8/11 behind the counter!...but 4/5 on their shop "betting machine"!.
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arbboy
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« Reply #136454 on: July 29, 2019, 05:16:14 PM »

Just went round to Baldie to have a bit on....8/11 behind the counter!...but 4/5 on their shop "betting machine"!.

WAL
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