Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Meanwhile I have two banzais....

[tikay]

I have backed overs in the MU game.  I have also bet over MU goals and like them both.  I will be backing Stoke too although think I prefer +1 on handicaps or laying Liverpool to actually backing Stoke but any which way is fine I think.

Any other views on Stoke for this, as to how best to proceed? Straight win, or +1 on Handicap?

Personally, I think there may be some Liverpool "rebound" today, after Brendan's rocket following the midweek debacle.

[tikay]

Abyone any info on Knockaert? (Tighty?) 12/1 FGS in a few places and 33/1 to score a brace. Has to be worth a tenna on each no?

35 yard belter and an impossible back heel at ours midweek, I'm on.

Me too. Prices range from 12-1 to 11/2 FGS.. Bristol City did the double on Leicester last season but Foxes are smashing atm and should win comfortably today imo. If he starts then these prices are massive.

Good luck!

I am on Marshall FGS every Leicester home game I attend

Today you can get 11/1 for the penalty taker, free kick taker and all round emerging player, for a team 4/7 at home

Lets hope he is selected :-)

Rich, is that a suggestion to bet?

[tikay]

Meanwhile I have two banzais....

Oh Dear God......

OK, banzai mode engaged.......

[tikay]

League 2. Oxford are 16th, and not very good. They only just beat Wimbledon 3-2 midweek, and we are shockingly bad. At home Oxford have lost 2 and won 3.

Gillingham are 5 points clear at the top, and have won all 5 of their away games.

But you can get 6/4 on a Gillingham win at Billy Hill's. This looks too high for me so suggest a decent sized bet on this one.

That looks WAY too good to be true, & I fear a Brighton or Barnsley style banana skin awaits.

The 6/4 has gone, too, but we will have a small speculation.

We have £25 @ 7/5 with Mr Joseph Coral, Gillingham to beat Oxford. Be rather nice if Danny Kedwell scored, too, which is one of those Chompy shockers we fell for.

ON

Single(s) - Win Receipt No.: 33643299 
Oxford v Gillingham - Match (90 Minutes Play) 
Gillingham @ 7/5 
 
Stake: £25.00 (£25.00 x 1 line) 
Estimated Returns: £ 60.00 

[TightEnd]

1. Southampton to beat Fulham at 1.30pm tomorrow 17/10 Ladbrokes

Southampton have a lot of firepower, but are suspect at the back particularly to pace. However Fulham are less likely to take advantage of this without, most likely, Berbatov (to prompt) and Petric (to finish the prompts)

I'll take my chances on Ramirez, Lambert and Rodriguez for a team I think is better than their very tough start suggests.

Southampton have won their last two at home, Aston Villa 3-0 in the elague got them up and running, and Fulham have never won at St Marys. Less so this season, but Fulham are usually far worse away from Craven Cottage too

I have them nearer a 5/4 shot myself

Recommend £50 win at 17/10


2. Bury to beat Swindon at 3/1 Paddy Power or Bet Victor

This one will seem odd

Bury are bottom, 4 points and no wins all season

However things are changing

New manager, kevin Blackwell, and in his first game they got a great point at Stevenage (very tough place to go,play big and direct) having been 2-1 up.

Blackwell is not a fashionable name, but knows his stuff at these levels and a bit of defensive organisation goes a long way...

Got a really good kid of ours up top on loan, Tom Hopper, who scored last week and just brought in a Wolves CB matt Doherty on loan this week. Furthermore they have just brought back their striker Bishop from Wrexham, who has 65 goals for Bury and was not in the previous managers plans

Swindon lost at home to Colchester midweek, 1-0, to another team just changed manager and three days later have to make a long trip to Bury with DiCanio claiming the players "had no passion or desire" in midweek.

We have a chance here to play a mean reversion ahead of the crowd, and get a team in a very competitive division at 3-1 at home. Don't see that too often

Recommend £20 win Banzaiiiii at 3/1

[TightEnd]

Abyone any info on Knockaert? (Tighty?) 12/1 FGS in a few places and 33/1 to score a brace. Has to be worth a tenna on each no?

35 yard belter and an impossible back heel at ours midweek, I'm on.

Me too. Prices range from 12-1 to 11/2 FGS.. Bristol City did the double on Leicester last season but Foxes are smashing atm and should win comfortably today imo. If he starts then these prices are massive.

Good luck!

I am on Marshall FGS every Leicester home game I attend

Today you can get 11/1 for the penalty taker, free kick taker and all round emerging player, for a team 4/7 at home

Lets hope he is selected :-)

Rich, is that a suggestion to bet?

Nope, just an observation that I prefer him to the French lad, giving mr Marshall's dead ball prowess.

[tikay]

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.

I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.

This is what it would have looked like

You did well Sir!

[tikay]

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.

5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner

Afternoon to you too, David, yes, it was good to bump into you yesterday. So many friends there yesterday, it was a wonderful day. I ended up with 92,000 chippies, with blinds @ 1,200-2,400 I believe, so I have a bit of play tomorrow, & can happily sit quietly & pass for a few hours.

I must say, 16/1 seems ludicrous ANY Team for any Premiership match. 5/1 the draw looks big, too.

11/2 DNB is available, too.

Any thoughts from others on this, & if so, the best way to engage? 

[TightEnd]

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.

5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner

Afternoon to you too, David, yes, it was good to bump into you yesterday. So many friends there yesterday, it was a wonderful day. I ended up with 92,000 chippies, with blinds @ 1,200-2,400 I believe, so I have a bit of play tomorrow, & can happily sit quietly & pass for a few hours.

I must say, 16/1 seems ludicrous ANY Team for any Premiership match. 5/1 the draw looks big, too.

11/2 DNB is available, too.

Any thoughts from others on this, & if so, the best way to engage? 

Norwich have four wins and three draws at Stamford Bridge in 16 games over the last twenty-five years

Granted pre-Abramovic Chelsea were no great shakes, but it is interesting.

[tikay]

1. Southampton to beat Fulham at 1.30pm tomorrow 17/10 Ladbrokes

Southampton have a lot of firepower, but are suspect at the back particularly to pace. However Fulham are less likely to take advantage of this without, most likely, Berbatov (to prompt) and Petric (to finish the prompts)

I'll take my chances on Ramirez, Lambert and Rodriguez for a team I think is better than their very tough start suggests.

Southampton have won their last two at home, Aston Villa 3-0 in the elague got them up and running, and Fulham have never won at St Marys. Less so this season, but Fulham are usually far worse away from Craven Cottage too

I have them nearer a 5/4 shot myself

Recommend £50 win at 17/10


2. Bury to beat Swindon at 3/1 Paddy Power or Bet Victor

This one will seem odd

Bury are bottom, 4 points and no wins all season

However things are changing

New manager, kevin Blackwell, and in his first game they got a great point at Stevenage (very tough place to go,play big and direct) having been 2-1 up.

Blackwell is not a fashionable name, but knows his stuff at these levels and a bit of defensive organisation goes a long way...

Got a really good kid of ours up top on loan, Tom Hopper, who scored last week and just brought in a Wolves CB matt Doherty on loan this week. Furthermore they have just brought back their striker Bishop from Wrexham, who has 65 goals for Bury and was not in the previous managers plans

Swindon lost at home to Colchester midweek, 1-0, to another team just changed manager and three days later have to make a long trip to Bury with DiCanio claiming the players "had no passion or desire" in midweek.

We have a chance here to play a mean reversion ahead of the crowd, and get a team in a very competitive division at 3-1 at home. Don't see that too often

Recommend £20 win Banzaiiiii at 3/1

Thanks Baron Banzai.

I'm running short of time here, as I want to watch the 12.45 Man City game, so I'll do today's game now, & the other one a bit later.


We have £20 @ 3/1 with Paddy Power, Bury to beat Swindon today.

ON


Npower League 1 Matches Bury v Swindon
06-10-2012 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Bury @ 3/1
 
Your Bets Win
Single: Bury @ 3/1
1 line at £20.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential returns: £80.00
No: O/23146337/0000161
 

[tikay]

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.

5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner

Afternoon to you too, David, yes, it was good to bump into you yesterday. So many friends there yesterday, it was a wonderful day. I ended up with 92,000 chippies, with blinds @ 1,200-2,400 I believe, so I have a bit of play tomorrow, & can happily sit quietly & pass for a few hours.

I must say, 16/1 seems ludicrous ANY Team for any Premiership match. 5/1 the draw looks big, too.

11/2 DNB is available, too.

Any thoughts from others on this, & if so, the best way to engage? 

Norwich have four wins and three draws at Stamford Bridge in 16 games over the last twenty-five years
Granted pre-Abramovic Chelsea were no great shakes, but it is interesting.

I often wonder at the relevance of stats like that, there seems no logic to them. It does seem to happen, though, but I'm just not sure why.

[TightEnd]

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.

5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner

Afternoon to you too, David, yes, it was good to bump into you yesterday. So many friends there yesterday, it was a wonderful day. I ended up with 92,000 chippies, with blinds @ 1,200-2,400 I believe, so I have a bit of play tomorrow, & can happily sit quietly & pass for a few hours.

I must say, 16/1 seems ludicrous ANY Team for any Premiership match. 5/1 the draw looks big, too.

11/2 DNB is available, too.

Any thoughts from others on this, & if so, the best way to engage? 

Norwich have four wins and three draws at Stamford Bridge in 16 games over the last twenty-five years
Granted pre-Abramovic Chelsea were no great shakes, but it is interesting.

I often wonder at the relevance of stats like that, there seems no logic to them. It does seem to happen, though, but I'm just not sure why.

No relevance really, just thought it was interesting.

I like a bit of £5 at 16-1 and £10 at 5-1 the draw. Pretty unlikely you'd say, but not sure any team is really a 16-1 shot are they in this league?

[RickBFA]

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.
L
5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner

Afternoon to you too, David, yes, it was good to bump into you yesterday. So many friends there yesterday, it was a wonderful day. I ended up with 92,000 chippies, with blinds @ 1,200-2,400 I believe, so I have a bit of play tomorrow, & can happily sit quietly & pass for a few hours.

I must say, 16/1 seems ludicrous ANY Team for any Premiership match. 5/1 the draw looks big, too.

11/2 DNB is available, too.

Any thoughts from others on this, & if so, the best way to engage? 

Norwich have four wins and three draws at Stamford Bridge in 16 games over the last twenty-five years
Granted pre-Abramovic Chelsea were no great shakes, but it is interesting.

I often wonder at the relevance of stats like that, there seems no logic to them. It does seem to happen, though, but I'm just not sure why.

Funny I almost posted about Norwich at 16/1 or 11/1 DNB earlier.

They do have a habit of raising their game sometimes against bigger teams, Spurs, Arsenal and Liverpool away last season. Spurs this season.

I had some 11/1 DNB this morning.

[RickBFA]

Whilst talking about over priced teams, I've also backed Portsmouth at 13/2.

They signed that guy Buzsaky this week. Excellent player for League One.

Even though they play MK Dons, 13/2 is definately value.