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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16588214 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #42285 on: May 31, 2013, 11:46:47 PM »

Steve Clarke was interivewed today at Everton, and is the third man to be interviewed

A good friend of mine at WBA nibbled at 66-1 earlier

Not sure Martinez is the done deal assumed

Bit lost here?

Rangnick, Pereira and Martinez have all spoken to Kenwright too, so unless my maths is even worse than I thought...

Agree with you on the 'done deal' part though, going on what I've been reading they don't think Kenwright does either Cheesy

Clarke was apparently told he was the third person to be interviewed. Pereira, Martinez I thought would be the others

Its Bill Kenwright though, we don't really know do we?!
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« Reply #42286 on: May 31, 2013, 11:56:55 PM »

This is my attempt to make Chompy's yellow belly +EV

Totesport mobile offering money back if 2nd to new approach up to £200.  Suggest £40 Battle of Marengo at 11/2.Hills mobile offering money back as a free bet if horse finishes 2nd at Epsom.  Suggest £25 on Ruler of the World at 8/1.  Applies to first bet, so make sure you do this first.
We have a £25 free bet from Hills.  Suggest put this on Mars at 15/1 Put this bet on after the Ruler of the World bet.
Ladbrokes offering money back if Dawn Approach wins Derby.  Suggest £15 on Festive Cheer.




I failed on that one. I needed to Deposit to make the bet, & my Card has changed, after the Wonga affair. When I tried to Update my new Card Details with Totesport, I got this message......

 There's a problem:-

You cannot change your payment method online at this time.


I'll try again in the morning, in "office hours". Should be OK.
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tikay
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« Reply #42287 on: June 01, 2013, 12:01:17 AM »

This is my attempt to make Chompy's yellow belly +EV

 Totesport mobile offering money back if 2nd to new approach up to £200.  Suggest £40 Battle of Marengo at 11/2.
Hills mobile offering money back as a free bet if horse finishes 2nd at Epsom.  Suggest £25 on Ruler of the World at 8/1.  Applies to first bet, so make sure you do this first.We have a £25 free bet from Hills.  Suggest put this on Mars at 15/1 Put this bet on after the Ruler of the World bet.
Ladbrokes offering money back if Dawn Approach wins Derby.  Suggest £15 on Festive Cheer.




£25 @ 8/1, Wm Hil Mobile, Ruler of the World, Derby Stakes. MONEY BACK IF WE FINISH 2nd

ON

31 May 13 / 23:43  Single 1   4:00 Epsom Downs  –  Win Ruler Of The World @ Guaranteed Price (8/1)  – £25.00 – O/0457483/0000452/F  
« Last Edit: June 01, 2013, 12:05:25 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #42288 on: June 01, 2013, 12:04:47 AM »

This is my attempt to make Chompy's yellow belly +EV

 Totesport mobile offering money back if 2nd to new approach up to £200.  Suggest £40 Battle of Marengo at 11/2.
Hills mobile offering money back as a free bet if horse finishes 2nd at Epsom.  Suggest £25 on Ruler of the World at 8/1.  Applies to first bet, so make sure you do this first.
We have a £25 free bet from Hills.  Suggest put this on Mars at 15/1 Put this bet on after the Ruler of the World bet.
Ladbrokes offering money back if Dawn Approach wins Derby.  Suggest £15 on Festive Cheer.




£25 @ 15/1, Wm Hill Mobile, Mars, Derby Stakes. Used "FREE BET ADHOC TOKEN OFFER".

ON


31 May 13 / 23:46  Single 1   4:00 Epsom Downs  –  Win Mars @ Guaranteed Price (15/1)  – £25.00 – O/0457483/0000453/F 
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« Reply #42289 on: June 01, 2013, 12:08:09 AM »

Steve Clarke was interivewed today at Everton, and is the third man to be interviewed

A good friend of mine at WBA nibbled at 66-1 earlier

Not sure Martinez is the done deal assumed

Bit lost here?

Rangnick, Pereira and Martinez have all spoken to Kenwright too, so unless my maths is even worse than I thought...

Agree with you on the 'done deal' part though, going on what I've been reading they don't think Kenwright does either Cheesy

Clarke was apparently told he was the third person to be interviewed. Pereira, Martinez I thought would be the others

Its Bill Kenwright though, we don't really know do we?!


Haha, Sky Sports have been all over the fact that it's Pereira, Martinez and Rangnick... I guess it's just popcorn time until Kenwright spills the beans Smiley
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« Reply #42290 on: June 01, 2013, 12:13:01 AM »

This is my attempt to make Chompy's yellow belly +EV

 Totesport mobile offering money back if 2nd to new approach up to £200.  Suggest £40 Battle of Marengo at 11/2.
Hills mobile offering money back as a free bet if horse finishes 2nd at Epsom.  Suggest £25 on Ruler of the World at 8/1.  Applies to first bet, so make sure you do this first.
We have a £25 free bet from Hills.  Suggest put this on Mars at 15/1 Put this bet on after the Ruler of the World bet.
Ladbrokes offering money back if Dawn Approach wins Derby.  Suggest £15 on Festive Cheer.




£15 @ 20/1, Ladbrokes, Festive Cheer, Derby Stakes. £15 FREE BET if Dawn Approach wins.

ON


Festive Cheer
16:00

 Singles - Race Winner

1 line @ £15.0 per line
.
Total Stake £15.00

Potential Return £315.00

Receipt No: O/142640973/0000346
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« Reply #42291 on: June 01, 2013, 12:15:14 AM »


Except for the Totesport part, (£40 Battle of Merengo @ 11/2) that completes the Chompy Damage Limitation Exercise.
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« Reply #42292 on: June 01, 2013, 12:21:25 AM »


Miss Shin eventually returned to action today.

She went round in level par, with just one birdie, & one bogey.

The leaders are at 5 under, so we are still well in with a chance.

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« Reply #42293 on: June 01, 2013, 12:30:18 AM »

Afternoon Mr T.

I can't have Westwood as favourite to win his 3 ball this evening. I suggest backing the consistent and underrated Billy Horschel to beat Westwood and Laird.

Suggest Horschel £20 @ 15/8 with Corals.

The rugby league game tonight looks like being close, but I have a slight preference for Hull to beat Leeds, but a bigger liking for under 50 points.

After 16 holes & several weather delays, our "Round 2" golf bet is in a world of pain, with Laird 1 over, Westwood 2 over & oir man 4 over. Think we can kiss goodbye to that one.

On this occasion, we did the wrong bet, as hector also hinted at a RL bet, Hull to win (which they did, easily) & UNDER 50 points (24 points).

Hopefully, Team Hector & his band of blind followers took the hint. 
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« Reply #42294 on: June 01, 2013, 12:34:45 AM »

Jaytee Hellcat obliged in the 22.03

Yup, good time after coming from 2nd to win. Looked decent. Bad news is that Bridge Honcho is out!
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« Reply #42295 on: June 01, 2013, 12:37:50 AM »

Jaytee Hellcat obliged in the 22.03

Yup, good time after coming from 2nd to win. Looked decent. Bad news is that Bridge Honcho is out!

Yup, we looked ok coming off the last, but got pipped on the line.

Never mind, plenty of others running for us, & Jaytee had a good runout.
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« Reply #42296 on: June 01, 2013, 01:40:32 AM »

May 2013 Figures

Closed bets: 132
Amount wagered: £5,118.55
Profit/loss: £615.16
ROI: 12.00%

Number of "sports" bet on: 17
Most popular: Horses (49),  Football (23), Cricket (9).
Most profitable: Boxing (£265.00), Horses (£168.85), Golf (£165.00)
Least profitable: Snooker (-£110.00), Rugby League (-£66.00), Cricket (-£45.00)

Number of tipsters: 30 including 1 new tipster.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 1,619
Amount wagered: £55,128.76
Profit/loss: £1,777.63
ROI: 3.22%

Number of "sports" bet on: 28
Most popular:  Football (497), Horses(244), Golf (138), Cricket(119).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   1,330.51   17,344.97   7.67   497
NFL   724.25   2,935.00   24.68   77
RL   392.61   1,164.00   33.73   54

...
Formula1   -335.00   550.00   -60.91   22
Golf   -381.37   4,043.00   -9.43   138
Basketball   -1,018.12   2,733.66   -37.24   60



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 118


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 25

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
WilliamHill   983.34   6,846.00   14.36   185
Betfair   751.90   6,185.55   12.16   162
Ladbrokes   523.90   7,135.09   7.34   204

...
Coral   -287.33   3,065.00   -9.37   103
BetFred   -407.87   3,217.00   -12.68   102
PaddyPower   -542.98   4,844.76   -11.21   182



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7
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« Reply #42297 on: June 01, 2013, 06:57:12 AM »


Leaving aside - for the moment - the stats in there Vince, your efficiency is awesome. The Month ended at Midnight, & you had that Summary up less than 2 hours later.

I admire your efficiency, numeracy, presentation skills & attention to detail, in fact it is only your grumpyness that prevents me wanting to marry you, & bear your children.

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« Reply #42298 on: June 01, 2013, 07:05:30 AM »

Derby Stakes - Offers.

This came in overnight from Wm Hill.



The name on everybody’s lips is 2000 Guineas winner Dawn Approach so it’ll come as a huge boost that from 08:30am we are going
 

6/4 Dawn Approach in the Investec Derby.

Plus as part of our Channel 4 mobile offer, you can place your racing bet using your mobile and we’ll give your money back as a free bet on every single Channel 4 TV race if your horse finishes second.

The offer applies to bets placed on the mobile site using your mobile phone or tablet. Free bets will be credited to your account by 12:00pm on Sunday 2nd June. Terms and conditions apply.


As dawn approached this morning (ok, at 0630 this morning), Dawn Approach was generally available on Oddschecker @ between 5/4 & 11/8.
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« Reply #42299 on: June 01, 2013, 07:27:30 AM »

Steve Clarke was interivewed today at Everton, and is the third man to be interviewed

A good friend of mine at WBA nibbled at 66-1 earlier

Not sure Martinez is the done deal assumed

Bit lost here?

Rangnick, Pereira and Martinez have all spoken to Kenwright too, so unless my maths is even worse than I thought...

Agree with you on the 'done deal' part though, going on what I've been reading they don't think Kenwright does either Cheesy

I will say it again and probably again that gossip or rumour on these manager markets will send you skint quicker than anything

I had two Wolves fans one of whom is well connected to the club tell me that Jackett was not even on the interview shortlist 4 weeks ago and had and i quote "no chance" (i did tell this to marky via pm)

I am now personally quite convinced they had approached him a week or so before Saunders left and Jackett resigned, this ties in well to the original quotes of the club captain when he left Milwall at a fans forum online

"I have a lot of respect for Kenny but something was not right the last two weeks it was like he had another job lined up"

This along with Kennys i need " a new challenge" line all tied in with the Wolves job.

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