Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Do we have any bets on the Footy tonight or rec's

The 9/2 on Chelski with Hills looks massive for a one off, but what was the trend of views if anyone can help please, before I dive in?

views, such as they were were expressed on unders, the draw..tight low scoring affair due to a) Bayern not yet gelling under Pep's 4-1-4-1 b) Mourinho pragmatic approach

Thought it was interesting that this season under 2.5 has come in 3 of 3 for Bayern and 2 of 3 for Chelsea

thread doesn't have a bet though

[BigAdz]

Cheers guys. Like the unders angle. TY

[Doobs]

ok i spotted what i think is value in a bet long term today but again fred is long term against it
so this bet is again not recomended but i will find one too recomend before end of month

W/O top 6 in epl

betfair has southampton at 6.5 with all other places 7.5 too 8
now southampton are unlikely too finish best of rest but 8 is a fair price
but bet365 are offering 8 1/4 for 3 places which is top 9
trying too work out is this a better bet than even money on top 10
if any maths guru can work that out for me please

laddies are only offering 6.0 for this bet btw

You are getting 2/1 top 9 with bet365, which must be better than evens top 10.  If the 8/1 7th is a little bad then the place must make up for it.

If the poker accounts are dormant and you have moved since then, probably better to just get a new account and get the free bets on joining. 

Bump, I don't think anyone ever said we shouldn't back it because we had previous bets.  I think it was just one that was missed.  When bets get missed, it is best to just let them go.  Sometimes they come good, sometimes they go bad. 

[tikay]

Schurrrrrrrle is 23-1 on Betty FGS, where the fk he playin, in goal?!

I thought that was a rick. Fred is not on, but I have had a few bets on the game, including Schuurle FGS. Ignore me though, I also had, amongst others, Torres.

Anyway, whoever is on whatever, good luck.

I had a bit on Hector's RL bet too, on St. Helens.

Poorhouse tomorrow. Not a problem, I know the address, am on first name terms there.

[JaffaCake]

Schurrrrrrrle is 23-1 on Betty FGS, where the fk he playin, in goal?!

I thought that was a rick. Fred is not on, but I have had a few bets on the game, including Schuurle FGS. Ignore me though, I also had, amongst others, Torres.

Anyway, whoever is on whatever, good luck.

I had a bit on Hector's RL bet too, on St. Helens.

Poorhouse tomorrow. Not a problem, I know the address, am on first name terms there.

What do u get for an assist?

[tikay]

ok i spotted what i think is value in a bet long term today but again fred is long term against it
so this bet is again not recomended but i will find one too recomend before end of month

W/O top 6 in epl

betfair has southampton at 6.5 with all other places 7.5 too 8
now southampton are unlikely too finish best of rest but 8 is a fair price
but bet365 are offering 8 1/4 for 3 places which is top 9
trying too work out is this a better bet than even money on top 10
if any maths guru can work that out for me please

laddies are only offering 6.0 for this bet btw

You are getting 2/1 top 9 with bet365, which must be better than evens top 10.  If the 8/1 7th is a little bad then the place must make up for it.

If the poker accounts are dormant and you have moved since then, probably better to just get a new account and get the free bets on joining. 

Bump, I don't think anyone ever said we shouldn't back it because we had previous bets.  I think it was just one that was missed.  When bets get missed, it is best to just let them go.  Sometimes they come good, sometimes they go bad. 

Yup. We must have missed thousands of winners, and good bets. Best not to look back too often, it is like folding 7-2 then seeing a 7-7-2 flop. Impossible to do them all.

"Ooh, I would have won if I called",

[McGlashan]

Btw what interest does Fred have in the Champions league? There's probably some but i cannot find it on the spreadsheet.

[tikay]

Schurrrrrrrle is 23-1 on Betty FGS, where the fk he playin, in goal?!

I thought that was a rick. Fred is not on, but I have had a few bets on the game, including Schuurle FGS. Ignore me though, I also had, amongst others, Torres.

Anyway, whoever is on whatever, good luck.

I had a bit on Hector's RL bet too, on St. Helens.

Poorhouse tomorrow. Not a problem, I know the address, am on first name terms there.

Ha! You could not make it up!

[tikay]

Football Sweats

With the season starting proper today, our Term bets are......




Premier League

Southampton to be Relegated, £30 @ 10/1

First Premier League Manager to exit, Malky Mackay, £10 @ 40/1

Premier League Worst Disciplined Player, Jordi Amat (Swansea), £10 @ 66/1

Premier League Most Assists, Jesus Navas (Man C), £5 EW @ 25/1

Premier League Most Assists, Jesus Navas, £1.96 @ 25/1

Premier League Most Assists, SAnti Cazorla, £10 EW @ 20/1

Wayne Rooney to STAY @ Man U (by end of tx window), £66 @ 10/11

Arsenal Top 3, £60 @ 15/8

Liverpool Bottom Half, £25 @ 20/1

Premier League Handicap, Cardiff (+47), £20 EW @ 15/1

Premier League Handicap, Hull (+49), £10 EW @ 25/1

Premier League Top Newcomer, Hull, £50 @ 13/5

Palace to finish Bottom, £50 @ 13/5

Premier League Top Scorer, Jay Rodriguez (Southampton), £5 EW @ 200/1

Premier League Top Scorer, Darren Bent, £5 EW @ 80/1

Non Premier League

Watford to be Promoted, £50 @ 5/1

Watford to finish Top Half, £350 @ 2/7

Reading to win Championship, £20 @ 10/1

Barnsley to finish Top Half, £100 @ 6/1

League One Top Scorer, Nikhi Nakhi Wells, £20 @ 25/1

League One Top Scorer, Conga Assombolonga, £12.50 @ 40/1

Conference (Handicap), Kidderminster, +7, £20 EW @ 18/1

European Football

Napoli to win Champions League, £10 @ 66/1

Napoli to win Serie A, £20 @ 8/1

La Liga WITHOUT Top Two, Athletic Bilbao, £10 @ 20/1

LaLiga WITHOUT Top Two, VillaReal, £4 @ 200/1

BUMPED for Mr McGlashan

May not be up to date though.

[LeedsRhodesy]

Hull 6-0

[tikay]

Schurrrrrrrle is 23-1 on Betty FGS, where the fk he playin, in goal?!

I thought that was a rick. Fred is not on, but I have had a few bets on the game, including Schuurle FGS. Ignore me though, I also had, amongst others, Torres.

Anyway, whoever is on whatever, good luck.

I had a bit on Hector's RL bet too, on St. Helens.

Poorhouse tomorrow. Not a problem, I know the address, am on first name terms there.

For balance.....

St Helen's 0 Warrington 16 after 15 minutes.

Win some, lose some....

[Eso Kral]

The problem with bigger stakes is will it not invalidate the previous strong track record (as our total return will be so dependent on how the bigger bets do) and make historical comparisons difficult?  Not to mention you will get shut down by bookies quicker.

Well......

redarmi suggested we should worry LESS about ROI, & more about making more money. So we could make more money with a lesser ROI. Which would be.....good. I think.

Historical comparisons? Not really more difficult, no. We measure ROI as our yardstick at present. There is no reason why we should not use "total profit" as the default.

Shut down quicker? Yes, probably. But we are going to be Restricted or closed by them all eventually, no? I tried for a medium sized bet on Sporting Bet this week, & got Restricted. Another one on the ever-growing list. Seems inevitable.

Better to get closed down, because we are profitable, then keep our accounts & lose money.

Anyway, when that happens, there is a Plan B - I know a guy that has a whole bunch of "clean" (ice-cream) Accounts, he'll take over.

#confirmedhero

[tikay]

So many heroes.......

[LeedsRhodesy]

 
anyone have a stream for the Hull game please

[Waz1892]

12-6 Hull