Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Finns won it two years ago (same pairing).

Lots of variance in these things; race to 9 racks is not a lot.

20/1 with each way terms 1/2 odds for final. Interested in views but I'd venture we plump for the Finns (plus any others?). Tenner each way?

Is it alternate break or winner breaks?

Winner breaks.

Having a good partnership is critical if you're hoping to run racks.

[david3103]

Finns won it two years ago (same pairing).

Lots of variance in these things; race to 9 racks is not a lot.

20/1 with each way terms 1/2 odds for final. Interested in views but I'd venture we plump for the Finns (plus any others?). Tenner each way?

How is this a Fred bet? Looks more like a punt for interest.

[Peter-27]

Just at Bombay International Airport waiting for a flight, got a few more bet suggestions for you!

(Isn't it nice that I still think of you guys when I'm busy travelling - or maybe I'm just a gambling addict!)  

Group B (ALO/BOT/MAS/RAI) - Felipe Massa @ 4/1 with Bet365. This bet is by no means a sure thing, but I do think it's worth backing given the price. Williams were way down the order in the two practice sessions yesterday, but they were heavy on fuel. On the other hand, Ferrari were at the sharp end of the field, but light on fuel I'm told. In qualifying and race trim it should be close. Massa has been ahead of Bottas in both practice sessions so far this weekend, so I really think 4/1 is as a good opportunity. Recommend £5.

Group D (VER/KVY/GRO/MAL) - Daniil Kvyat @ EVS with Bet365 OR Daniil Kyvat as Bet365 have decided to call him! This is becoming a common bet, the bookies seem to consistently over-rate Vergne and the two Lotus drivers for some reason. Daniil is the quickest driver in this group without doubt - he should come out on top under normal circumstances, why he isn't the favourite is beyond me. Recommend £10.

[horseplayer]

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Feel better now!


 

[superwomble]

Finns won it two years ago (same pairing).

Lots of variance in these things; race to 9 racks is not a lot.

20/1 with each way terms 1/2 odds for final. Interested in views but I'd venture we plump for the Finns (plus any others?). Tenner each way?

So why are they 20/1? Surely the bookies know all the facts you've mentioned?

[tikay]

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We are contacting you today in regard to your Betway account - jbxxxxxx.

After a careful review by our senior trading team, we have taken the decision to exclude your account jbxxxxxx from receiving any future promotions from Betway. Let us assure you this action has been taken only after much consideration by our senior trading team. This decision is final and will not be overturned.

You are welcome to continue using your account with us recreationally, however any bonuses, free bets, ex gratia payments or reward points will no longer be redeemable.

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Feel better now!


 

The only people to have escaped the Betway cull seem to be Marky & chompy.


Betway, we love ice-creams.

[tikay]

Finns won it two years ago (same pairing).

Lots of variance in these things; race to 9 racks is not a lot.

20/1 with each way terms 1/2 odds for final. Interested in views but I'd venture we plump for the Finns (plus any others?). Tenner each way?

So why are they 20/1? Surely the bookies know all the facts you've mentioned?

Given that in punting terms Pool is pretty obscure, & the Bookies won't have too many experts readily to hand, I wouild think there is room for some price ricks in a market such as this. I also think they are likely to limit bet sizes though, quite reasonably imo.

[tikay]

Any pool fans?

World Cup starts next week and plenty of scope for some fun:

https://m.oddschecker.com/m/pool/world-cup-of-pool/winner

I'll do a little research as this is a sport I followed quite closely about ten years ago and keep only a passing eye on these days.

Has Fred had a bet on 9ball pool, yet?

 

Not that I recall. We've had a really eclectic portfolio of sports bets, but I doubt it has included pool. For the fun aspect, I like these oddbods. Think my fave current Fred bet is on a football team from the Channel Islands. Tighty The Geek loves these weird bets, too. Probably.   

[horseplayer]

I didnt back Guernsey

I did have an each way bet on the race last weekend (the same bet Chompy had that was voided)

They did not void mine!

[superwomble]

Finns won it two years ago (same pairing).

Lots of variance in these things; race to 9 racks is not a lot.

20/1 with each way terms 1/2 odds for final. Interested in views but I'd venture we plump for the Finns (plus any others?). Tenner each way?

So why are they 20/1? Surely the bookies know all the facts you've mentioned?

Given that in punting terms Pool is pretty obscure, & the Bookies won't have too many experts readily to hand, I wouild think there is room for some price ricks in a market such as this. I also think they are likely to limit bet sizes though, quite reasonably imo.

I agree with that in general, but you'd think they'd know stuff like who's won it before?

However, I see 366 are 12/2 so 20/1 could well be value.

[tikay]

Finns won it two years ago (same pairing).

Lots of variance in these things; race to 9 racks is not a lot.

20/1 with each way terms 1/2 odds for final. Interested in views but I'd venture we plump for the Finns (plus any others?). Tenner each way?

So why are they 20/1? Surely the bookies know all the facts you've mentioned?

Given that in punting terms Pool is pretty obscure, & the Bookies won't have too many experts readily to hand, I wouild think there is room for some price ricks in a market such as this. I also think they are likely to limit bet sizes though, quite reasonably imo.

I agree with that in general, but you'd think they'd know stuff like who's won it before?

However, I see 366 are 12/2 so 20/1 could well be value.

I would think that is all they do know.

I am not saying it is a good or a bad bet, I have no idea, but for Fred, I do like the idea of leaving room for the occasional fun bet. We have to have a bit of fun along the road.

[tikay]

shouldn't 1/4 be 1/10 for those who like a shortie?

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-snp-leader

Basically a bet not to get hit by a bus before the SNP convention in November?

Pretty much.

Billy's have gone @1/3 on her.

Tighty,

May I suggest if you think it's a bet at 1/4 then Fred gets on at 1/3 please.
£100

Logically, yes, ditto others who suggested more.

My nitty side keeps saying "where do we draw the line?" though.

We have forward investments/liabilities of over £4,000 now, & that blows me away.

In theory, based on our previous 4,000+ bets, that £4,000 investment should yield about £120 of profit. Variance being what it is, we may come up £500 short, or make a grand, we don't know.

There must be a point though at which we have to put a limit on how much we invest, & over what period. I'm not being morbid, but if we had a bet that matured in one year's time, there must be an x% chance I'll not be around, so a discount has to be built into the equation, surely?

I very much doubt many regulars here have invested the same £4,000, though I'm sure many have invested even more.

I remember when I played my first ever £100 Poker Tourney, thinking £100, "what WOULD my Dad say?"

Scary stuff. That Hawkins bloke has led me badly astray. Not have missed it for the world, though, jeez I've had some fun.     

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £22.54

Outstanding bets £4,265.15

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=29

No bets completed yesterday

It was a balmy night in Kansas City

Click to see full-size image.

The Kaufman stadium was packed to the rafters

Click to see full-size image.

Excitement was as fever pitch, as the Royals began their crucial three match series against the Tigers, hoping for their first divisional title since 1982

Jason Vargas took the mound, up against star Detroit pitcher Justin Verlander. Justin is a lucky man

Click to see full-size image.

Jason faced an onerous responsibility. Detroit are a powerful hitting line up, and the Royals can't hit



Detroit scores 3 runs in the first inning to take the early lead

"never mind, plenty of time yet" i said to myself under the duvet, alarm set to check the score on the hour every hour. I need a life

Tigers add another run on Torii Hunter's RBI double.....

Tigers add another run on Ian Kinsler's RBI double. Royals trail 5-0 after 3 1/2 innings

"never mind..."

Vargas is replaced after 5 innings, every Detroit player has a hit against him

He trudges off, forlorn ( I would imagine) the hopes of a success starved baseball public a heavy weight on his shoulders (i would think)

I check the score again

"Royals fall in the opener, 10-1. KC drops to 83-69 on the season and 1 1/2 games behind the Tigers"

Tonight i won't be setting the alarm. The Royals top pitcher James Shields comes out against Max Scherzer needing to get the win, the Royals aren't coming back from 2 or 3 games behind with only 9 games of the season to go

Go James




Earlier this week the New York Yankees needed to win their last 12 on the trot to deny us a winning season unders bet. Last night they beat the Blue Jays 5-3 to win their third on the trot. 9 from 9 needed now. They couldn't, could they?

Away from baseball, sadly as i know it grips you,

Strictly starts next week. Our boy is getting jiggy, with the spirit of Max Cifford living on in planted stories.....

Click to see full-size image.

The Singapore Grand Prix this weekend. Sebastian Vettel believes Red Bull could threaten Mercedes this weekend. Nico Rosberg only managed 13th place in second practice after his qualifying simulation lap was ruined by Pastor Maldonado's heavy crash (Maldonado? crash? thats a surprise)

Click to see full-size image.

It’s hard to see anyone other than Nicola Sturgeon winning the SNP leadership http://bit.ly/1DnAIzp



Ectot is hands down the most popular winner from Arc Trials Day and is now 6/1 (from 7 s) for The Arc at Longchamp, chances of going off favourite at this rate....

[Marky147]

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We are contacting you today in regard to your Betway account - jbxxxxxx.

After a careful review by our senior trading team, we have taken the decision to exclude your account jbxxxxxx from receiving any future promotions from Betway. Let us assure you this action has been taken only after much consideration by our senior trading team. This decision is final and will not be overturned.

You are welcome to continue using your account with us recreationally, however any bonuses, free bets, ex gratia payments or reward points will no longer be redeemable.

The Betway Team
    


Feel better now!


 

The only people to have escaped the Betway cull seem to be Marky & chompy.


Betway, we love ice-creams.

Haha, confirmed ice cream... Account in full working order  

[TightEnd]

shouldn't 1/4 be 1/10 for those who like a shortie?

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-snp-leader

Basically a bet not to get hit by a bus before the SNP convention in November?

Pretty much.

Billy's have gone @1/3 on her.

Tighty,

May I suggest if you think it's a bet at 1/4 then Fred gets on at 1/3 please.
£100

Logically, yes, ditto others who suggested more.

My nitty side keeps saying "where do we draw the line?" though.

We have forward investments/liabilities of over £4,000 now, & that blows me away.

In theory, based on our previous 4,000+ bets, that £4,000 investment should yield about £120 of profit. Variance being what it is, we may come up £500 short, or make a grand, we don't know.

There must be a point though at which we have to put a limit on how much we invest, & over what period. I'm not being morbid, but if we had a bet that matured in one year's time, there must be an x% chance I'll not be around, so a discount has to be built into the equation, surely?

I very much doubt many regulars here have invested the same £4,000, though I'm sure many have invested even more.

I remember when I played my first ever £100 Poker Tourney, thinking £100, "what WOULD my Dad say?"

Scary stuff. That Hawkins bloke has led me badly astray. Not have missed it for the world, though, jeez I've had some fun.     

i won't be Sturgeoning for the thread

the William Hill balance doesn't allow for £300 to be plonked on a 1/3 shot for three months, without risk of re-depositing in the meantime

i do think its a near certainty, but really i suggested it for those who don't mind a shortie to lock away for a few months...better return than a building scoiety etc etc

we tend to need the working capital especially in william hill