Tips for Tikay

[Nico29]

Premier League Darts tonight. Really like a couple of bets in the 180's markets involving the Hamilton V Barneveld match.

In the 3 weeks of the league so far the hammer has hit 5,5 and 6 180's respectively. The fact that he hit 5 in the match where he lost 8-2 and thus only played ten legs, says a great deal. Should be nearer the maximum 14 legs tonight as well. I think the layers are still underestimating the hammer.

I expected the line for his total 180's to be around the over/under 4.5 mark.

However, the layers have gone for a conservative over/under 3.5 for Hamilton, and the Hamilton+3.5 180's@6/5 with paddy power for the hammer imo is a cracking bet.

The same bet is a general 10/11 with more sensible bookies and even a paltry 4/5 with some cheapskates, mentioning no names...cough,cough...skybet.

Apparently Barney's beaten Andy in every game they've played since 06 but many have been close games. Barney himself has been pounding the 180's recently and they could inspire each other to produce a cracking match.

Barney's has averaged 4.33 max's so far and therefore I also like paddy's generous offer of +7.5 180's in the match@11/10 for the total 180's too. This is 5/6 with ladbrokes.

Of the two bets I prefer the Hamilton one as Barney has been known to have the odd off night on the red bit, saying this Hamilton could mostly cover the match line himself.

I'd advise two points on the Hamilton +3.5 bet and 1 on the +7.5 match bet. Perhaps £50 on one and £25 on the other, not sure of your staking plan.

[tikay]

Premier League Darts tonight. Really like a couple of bets in the 180's markets involving the Hamilton V Barneveld match.

In the 3 weeks of the league so far the hammer has hit 5,5 and 6 180's respectively. The fact that he hit 5 in the match where he lost 8-2 and thus only played ten legs, says a great deal. Should be nearer the maximum 14 legs tonight as well. I think the layers are still underestimating the hammer.

I expected the line for his total 180's to be around the over/under 4.5 mark.

However, the layers have gone for a conservative over/under 3.5 for Hamilton, and the Hamilton+3.5 180's@6/5 with paddy power for the hammer imo is a cracking bet.

The same bet is a general 10/11 with more sensible bookies and even a paltry 4/5 with some cheapskates, mentioning no names...cough,cough...skybet.

Apparently Barney's beaten Andy in every game they've played since 06 but many have been close games. Barney himself has been pounding the 180's recently and they could inspire each other to produce a cracking match.

Barney's has averaged 4.33 max's so far and therefore I also like paddy's generous offer of +7.5 180's in the match@11/10 for the total 180's too. This is 5/6 with ladbrokes.

Of the two bets I prefer the Hamilton one as Barney has been known to have the odd off night on the red bit, saying this Hamilton could mostly cover the match line himself.

I'd advise two points on the Hamilton +3.5 bet and 1 on the +7.5 match bet. Perhaps £50 on one and £25 on the other, not sure of your staking plan.

Thanks Dom, & you have ticked all the boxes there with justification for value, etc. Unfortunately, I think we are already maxed up on this event tonight, we have wagered around 30% of the roll! - see Dubai's first post on this page.....

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56581.930

So, I'd need to be very careful that I was not betting against myself, & losing my value. Plus, I already got a slap round the chops from Dubs for taking a wrong price! Nits gonna nit, eh?

I'll also be offline shortly, & all evening, so I am afraid I will have to forego any more punting for the evening.

Keep these recommendations coming, though, & thank you.

[Nico29]

No problemo.

Wow the Wade painter bet at evens is an amazing bet, best price now around 1.75. Doubt there should more than 4 180's in that game.

Oops didn't see Dave had already advised almost the same bet, yeah 4-5 was a very good price for the +6.5 match bet.

Good luck with them all. Winnnnnnnnnnnnnnn.

[tikay]

No problemo.

Wow the Wade painter bet at evens is an amazing bet, best price now around 1.75. Doubt there should more than 4 180's in that game.

Oops didn't see Dave had already advised almost the same bet, yeah 4-5 was a very good price for the +6.5 match bet.

Good luck with them all. Winnnnnnnnnnnnnnn.

Thanks Dom, & yes, Dubai comes up with some triff valooooooo

He gave us a dog earlier in the week @9/4, it skated home by 6+ lengths @ 6/5, never headed, we never even had a sweat!

I'll reply to your PM later, gotta go to work now, take care fella.

[Snowball]

Hamilton to me is overperforming around the treble 20 Bed, he usually covers more in other Tournaments so it's been a bit of a surprise to see hit hit so many.
The Premier League is hard to predict espeacially at this early stage tho I do like the Taylor average to be high as he's at the top of his game at the moment.
Painter v Wade 180 bet is a coin toss as I expect this to go 13+ legs.
Barney is threatening to get back to his form of Old, interesting to see how long his resurrgence lasts.

[Snowball]

First Bet wins easy, went the max legs but it was a 140 fest and only the 1 180, good start.

[Snowball]

As I thought, Hamilton had an off night around the Treble 20, missed a few with the last Dart and went for T19 a couple of times, Barney hit 5 so he kept up his side of the bargain but not enough for you to get paid.

[Snowball]

Wow, Taylor creates a Premier League record average with a 117 3 Dart average, safe to say that over 104.5 won.

[Snowball]

Don't know if you will be on in time but if you are

Over 4.5  Sixes in the Austrialia v Sri Lanka ODI Skybet, this is a dead rubber for Austrialia so they could throw the Bat about.
The last 5 out of 6 50 over matches at the MCG have produced over 4 in the past year including the last 2 ODI albeit the last one was reduced to 32 Overs.
Seemingly a good batting pitch with the likes of Dilshan, Sangakara, Hussey x 2, Forrest, Wade and Warner all capable of smashing the Ball around.

[MereNovice]

The weather has been a bit wet in Melbourne for a couple of days but it's expected to be clear and they are likely to have a full game.
Kick-off is at 3:20am if you want to get your bet on.

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/vic/melbourne/melbourne

[tikay]

Morning (0020).

Anyone happen to know how our 4 Darts bets got on?

[MereNovice]

As above, 2 wins two losses.


Under 5.5 180s Painter v Wade £50@ evens bodog or £48 @5-6 corals                                                 WIN
Over 6.5 180s Barneveld v Hamilton £80@4-5 blue square or £66@8-11Boyles/hills                                LOSS
Over 7.5 180s Lewis v Anderson £110@8-11 Lads, Bfred or Hills                                                           LOSS
Taylor to average higher than 104.50 £48@ 5-6 VC                                                                             WIN

[Dubai]

2 smaller bets won easily- other 2 lost. Badbeat stories but no need to tell them in full.........however  Anderson Lewis bet I would consider a very unlucky loser given there was a 180 every 1.5 legs meaning an expectancy of winning the bet if the game went 12 legs. Something which would happen 85%+ of the time. In better longterm news Anderson is hitting 180s and that bet is far from dead

[tikay]

As above, 2 wins two losses.


Under 5.5 180s Painter v Wade £50@ evens bodog or £48 @5-6 corals                                                 WIN
Over 6.5 180s Barneveld v Hamilton £80@4-5 blue square or £66@8-11Boyles/hills                                LOSS
Over 7.5 180s Lewis v Anderson £110@8-11 Lads, Bfred or Hills                                                           LOSS
Taylor to average higher than 104.50 £48@ 5-6 VC                                                                             WIN

Thank you Vincent!

[Dubai]

If you are betting the cricket tip advised and have spare money in sky i will take whatever more u can get on and put 10% of my winnings back in the fund