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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16036356 times)
WellChief
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« Reply #96600 on: March 13, 2015, 11:13:41 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.

Wish I knew the formula but these odds come to : 25740/1980 , 25740/2860, 25740/2340, 25740/2574, 25740/1287

Which when added together make :  25740/11041 = 2.33  , which makes it a great bet I think!

Feel free to correct the high school maths workings :p
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TightEnd
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« Reply #96601 on: March 13, 2015, 11:13:47 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

i can see this which prices him evens or 6/4

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival-day-4/a-p-mccoy-to-ride-at-least-1-winner

3-1 would have gone by now? if not someone pop a link up please
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #96602 on: March 13, 2015, 11:13:56 AM »

Quite surprised SPIN only docked McLaren 7 points or so following tha debacle.  They've hit Red Bull quite hard and boosted Ferrari.

Verging on complete incompetence from the McLaren squad!
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superwomble
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« Reply #96603 on: March 13, 2015, 11:15:39 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

i can see this which prices him evens or 6/4

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival-day-4/a-p-mccoy-to-ride-at-least-1-winner

3-1 would have gone by now? if not someone pop a link up please

It's still there, under Today's Specials on the right-hand side: https://www.betfair.com/sport
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TightEnd
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« Reply #96604 on: March 13, 2015, 11:15:53 AM »

mickyp is reading

come on Mr Paterson, my anticipation is high...!
Running short on time, heading to a gold cup brunch. My fancy in the fox hunters is CURRENT EVENT, the most unexposed horse imo,  ticks all the boxes on the stats front. Rain would be a concern, currently 11/1 best price.Dont think the price will contract much and expect a few horses to attract support. Can suggest 10ew at sp. First thread bet  ( properly last)

thanks, no turning back now. more tips required

3 Mar 2015 - 4:00 Cheltenham - Win

Current Event @ 11/1  EW @ 1/4 1-4

Stake : £20.00 (£10.00 x 2)

Estimated Returns : £157.50
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tikay
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« Reply #96605 on: March 13, 2015, 11:16:13 AM »

Quite surprised SPIN only docked McLaren 7 points or so following tha debacle.  They've hit Red Bull quite hard and boosted Ferrari.

Verging on complete incompetence from the McLaren squad!

What happened?

Not like Dear Ron to be incompetent.
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Nico29
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« Reply #96606 on: March 13, 2015, 11:16:30 AM »

https://www.betfair.com/sport/?gaMod=featured&eventId=27088631&bseId=27088631&bssId=71139893&action=addSelection&bsmId=924.23084294&modules=betslip&bsmSt=1426253400000&isSP=false&bsUUID=4641b5536e727603eaff98881b13c7116ccdc1e6&xsrftoken=8bfb4be0-c366-11e4-a48e-a0369f0e8960&bsGroup=27088631-1426253400000
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TightEnd
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« Reply #96607 on: March 13, 2015, 11:17:29 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

i can see this which prices him evens or 6/4

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival-day-4/a-p-mccoy-to-ride-at-least-1-winner

3-1 would have gone by now? if not someone pop a link up please

It's still there, under Today's Specials on the right-hand side: https://www.betfair.com/sport

fantastic

pop £50 into the box, 3/1 about an evens shot

brilliant

oh.


13:30 Special Bets

£5
3/1
£20.00
AP Mc Coy To Ride A Cheltenham Winner On The Final Day
The Real Mc Coy Bows Out
Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000127

limited to a fiver
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Doobs
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« Reply #96608 on: March 13, 2015, 11:20:41 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

Have it at 53% chance at these prices. About 10/11.

Think 3/1 is fine, but those prices are sentimental ones.  Eg his horse should never be 9/2 in the last.  It may win obviously but a horse like that should really be 8/1 or so.  It could be a handicap Rick but we have seen those types starting at 7/1 or 10/1 earlier in the week.  

We should be thinking of backing up the truck and laying...
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #96609 on: March 13, 2015, 11:22:50 AM »

Quite surprised SPIN only docked McLaren 7 points or so following tha debacle.  They've hit Red Bull quite hard and boosted Ferrari.

Verging on complete incompetence from the McLaren squad!

What happened?

Not like Dear Ron to be incompetent.

Well I appreciate teething problems but their car seems unable to complete many laps without packing in and on top of that is 5 seconds off the pace!  Probably have more chance of points in a Nissan Micra.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #96610 on: March 13, 2015, 11:23:55 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

Have it at 53% chance at these prices. About 10/11.

Think 3/1 is fine, but those prices are sentimental ones.  Eg his horse should never be 9/2 in the last.  It may win obviously but a horse like that should really be 8/1 or so.  It could be a handicap Rick but we have seen those types starting at 7/1 or 10/1 earlier in the week.  

We should be thinking of backing up the truck and laying...

Thats what Fatty wiltshire thought!!!
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Doobs
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« Reply #96611 on: March 13, 2015, 11:27:26 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

Have it at 53% chance at these prices. About 10/11.

Think 3/1 is fine, but those prices are sentimental ones.  Eg his horse should never be 9/2 in the last.  It may win obviously but a horse like that should really be 8/1 or so.  It could be a handicap Rick but we have seen those types starting at 7/1 or 10/1 earlier in the week.  

We should be thinking of backing up the truck and laying...

Thats what Fatty wiltshire thought!!!

Results orientated thinking.  He needed better risk management though.  I wasn't suggesting throwing a mill ball at it.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #96612 on: March 13, 2015, 11:28:53 AM »

Quite surprised SPIN only docked McLaren 7 points or so following tha debacle.  They've hit Red Bull quite hard and boosted Ferrari.

Verging on complete incompetence from the McLaren squad!

What happened?

Not like Dear Ron to be incompetent.

its Honda's first F1 engine for 5 years, and the spec is very different from the regulations of 2009-10

they've hardly tested, with no reliability and even before the free practice performance this weekend weren't expecting to win any points before they got back to Europe 5 races in

only so much you can do in Australisia when the test beds are in Woking....
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Chompy
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« Reply #96613 on: March 13, 2015, 11:30:17 AM »

Hills are 8-11 McCoy having no winners. If anyone can get on on behalf of thread, it's obv a max job.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #96614 on: March 13, 2015, 11:32:29 AM »

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.


At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

Have it at 53% chance at these prices. About 10/11.

Think 3/1 is fine, but those prices are sentimental ones.  Eg his horse should never be 9/2 in the last.  It may win obviously but a horse like that should really be 8/1 or so.  It could be a handicap Rick but we have seen those types starting at 7/1 or 10/1 earlier in the week.  

We should be thinking of backing up the truck and laying...

Thats what Fatty wiltshire thought!!!

Results orientated thinking.  He needed better risk management though.  I wasn't suggesting throwing a mill ball at it.

And i was only joking
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