Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Hamilton was on the wrong tyres at the end due to conservatism in qualifiying

so he ran soft-hard-soft-hard and ros ran soft-hard--soft-soft? (vett ran soft-soft-hard) think thats coreect

he's further ahead with the right boots on at the end, yes?

i wondered, poor strategy aside, if mercedes were set up for the wet a bit

edit

both ran the hards twice, so not that

[Doobs]

F1's a sport now?

Think we need to flick a few quid in on Sarah-Jane Crawford to be next X Factor presenter @ 25-1 with Lads. Rec a throwaway tenner.

Flick?

Throwaway?

my first thought was "who?"

Click to see full-size image.

then my second thought was "who"?

http://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/simon-cowell-wants-sarah-jane-crawford-5419277

tried for a tenner, got offered a pound

declined

Maybe we should punt a tenner with Hills at 20/1?  It still seems solid if there is any truth in the story.

[Peter-27]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Hamilton was on the wrong tyres at the end due to conservatism in qualifiying

so he ran soft-hard-soft-hard and ros ran soft-hard--soft-soft? (vett ran soft-soft-hard) think thats coreect

he's further ahead with the right boots on at the end, yes?

i wondered, poor strategy aside, if mercedes were set up for the wet a bit

You have the compounds they ran a little mixed up. Nevertheless, it can be argued that both drivers were on a sub-optimal strategy. Will take time to go through the data to see what the minimum and maximum gaps could have been. I don't really think there's much in it over a race distance. In qualifying though, Hamilton is dominating - pretty unbeatable right now in that respect!

With regard to a wet set-up, I guess it's a possibility, but seems unlikely given the advantage (they thought) they had.

[TightEnd]

29 Mar 2015 - Who Will Host The X Factor 2015 - To Replace Dermot O'Leary as Host of the X Factor
Tip It

Sarah-Jane Crawford @ 20/1

Stake : £10.00
Estimated Returns : £
210.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001253/F
Total Stake : £10.00

Chompy can keep us in touch

[Doobs]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Hamilton was on the wrong tyres at the end due to conservatism in qualifiying

so he ran soft-hard-soft-hard and ros ran soft-hard--soft-soft? (vett ran soft-soft-hard) think thats coreect

he's further ahead with the right boots on at the end, yes?

i wondered, poor strategy aside, if mercedes were set up for the wet a bit

You have the compounds they ran a little mixed up. Nevertheless, it can be argued that both drivers were on a sub-optimal strategy. Will take time to go through the data to see what the minimum and maximum gaps could have been. I don't really think there's much in it over a race distance. In qualifying though, Hamilton is dominating - pretty unbeatable right now in that respect!

With regard to a wet set-up, I guess it's a possibility, but seems unlikely given the advantage (they thought) they had.

But Hamilton had the measure of him over race distance all last season too.  If you chuck out the retirements and races where one had no chance for whatever reason, Hamilton won them all bar one or two.  He is already 2-0 up this season.  The fact it is 3 seconds doesn't mean much.  Did Rosberg ever look like beating him is the important thing?

Anyway seems we both got the Ferraris wrong, it seems eminently possible they could catch up some stage this season.  6/1 Vettel or 9/2 Rosberg the best bet now.  I wouldn't do either, because I think Hamilton still better than both, but would choose the Vettel bet if forced.

[tikay]

29 Mar 2015 - Who Will Host The X Factor 2015 - To Replace Dermot O'Leary as Host of the X Factor
Tip It

Sarah-Jane Crawford @ 20/1

Stake : £10.00
Estimated Returns : £
210.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001253/F
Total Stake : £10.00

Chompy can keep us in touch

X Factor is a sport now?

[Chompy]

More competitive than F1 tbf.

[KarmaDope]

tried for a tenner, got offered a pound

declined

This might be a silly question - but if we're on 10% restriction and we know its a restricted market...is it worth retrying for a ton knowing we'll get a tenner, or are we guaranteed to get the offer of a quid?

[TightEnd]

tried for a tenner, got offered a pound

declined

This might be a silly question - but if we're on 10% restriction and we know its a restricted market...is it worth retrying for a ton knowing we'll get a tenner, or are we guaranteed to get the offer of a quid?

we're not on a blanket restriction, and we didn't know it was a restricted market, for starters...

with ladbrokes we can get a lot of stuff on in full

on this they probably have a very small win liability per customer, £25 for us..

[rfgqqabc]

tried for a tenner, got offered a pound

declined

This might be a silly question - but if we're on 10% restriction and we know its a restricted market...is it worth retrying for a ton knowing we'll get a tenner, or are we guaranteed to get the offer of a quid?

Accounts have a mythical restriction % that is related to the maximum liability the company are willing to face. For example in the Premier League they might be willing to lose £50k. So they will lay Mark the Shark on his 1% account for a liability of £500. They might have some customers with a 1000% limit!

(so yeah guaranteed a quid)

[tikay]

tried for a tenner, got offered a pound

declined

This might be a silly question - but if we're on 10% restriction and we know its a restricted market...is it worth retrying for a ton knowing we'll get a tenner, or are we guaranteed to get the offer of a quid?

Does not work like they Adam. They have a pre-determined Max, it does not matter what sum we type in on the FRED account the Max is the same.

[Chompy]

Would definitely get a tenner with Laddies over the blower. Weird it should be that way but it's how it is with the Harrovian rofflers.

[Tal]

Arrived at t'Doncaster to find a load of golfists in't'middle of the track.

Fifth green is good, good to soft in places.

[Kmac84]

Arrived at t'Doncaster to find a load of golfists in't'middle of the track.

Fifth green is good, good to soft in places.

Post any feelers you get, I'm watching on telly and will pretty much be backing at least one in every race.  Sunday funday.

[KarmaDope]

tried for a tenner, got offered a pound

declined

This might be a silly question - but if we're on 10% restriction and we know its a restricted market...is it worth retrying for a ton knowing we'll get a tenner, or are we guaranteed to get the offer of a quid?

Does not work like they Adam. They have a pre-determined Max, it does not matter what sum we type in on the FRED account the Max is the same.

Ah, ok, this makes sense. I just see people post things like "10% restricted account" and just assumed that this meant you get 10% of what you ask for.