Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

Or just lay the extra hundo on Sundo back on Betunfair. That's what it's there for innit. And to rip off longstanding customers obv.

[Teacake]

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

I would agree with that, the form book going out the window is a lazy cliche used by the mainstream media up here. Rangers would need a lot of things to go for them to win this game, Celtic losing last week will not have helped. I would steer clear of this game tbh but can understand Hairy wanting to back his own team at those odds.

[horseplayer]

and me

for me it goes in the pile with "new manager" syndrome

often used by lazy reporters as if they always win there first few games in charge


they dont

[ACE2M]

ignore any posts i made while 3 sheets last night. regards.

[Hairydude]

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

But surely this is an awful way of punting? Celtic are rightfully favourites but from an odds perspective I see us winning this game at home a lot more than 1 in 4- I would say 2 in 5 or even 1 in 2 even with current situation

[TightEnd]

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

But surely this is an awful way of punting? Celtic are rightfully favourites but from an odds perspective I see us winning this game at home a lot more than 1 in 4- I would say 2 in 5 or even 1 in 2 even with current situation

I was just arguing the point that "form goes out of the window in these games" I don't think it necessarily does

In normal circumstances Rangers obviously huge at 3-1. These are about as far removed from normal circumstances as you are going to get, though!

 

[horseplayer]

have a good day all off to lingers for the real derby

shame its run there but should be a good race

[redarmi]

No idea whether 3/1 Rangers is a big price or not but the idea that form goes out of the window in these games has been proven to be a myth.

[redarmi]

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

But surely this is an awful way of punting? Celtic are rightfully favourites but from an odds perspective I see us winning this game at home a lot more than 1 in 4- I would say 2 in 5 or even 1 in 2 even with current situation

Sorry but you are way out here.  There is absolutely no chance that Rangers have anything like a 40% chance of winning this game.  If they had a 28% chance of winning this game it would be a massive rick by most odds compilers standards.  To put it into perspective the 'correct price' for a home team in most cases when the teams are of an equal standard on a neutral pitch would be 6/5.  In a game like this home advantage may be worth slightly more than is usual (although there are compelling arguments to the contrary) but Rangers are 11 points behind in ability terms and have gone into administration so there is almost no chance of this and saying they could win 1 in 2 games is effectively saying that Rangers are a better team than Celtic which is simply unarguable.  To say they have a 40% chance of winning is like saying Celtic would only be a slight favourite if the game was played at Hampden Park.....again this isn't even close to being true.

[mondatoo]

Will you not be reloading if you busto ? If yes then what does it matter regards the Mackems bet ? I can't wish you gl with this one 

[Graham C]

0-1 to Wigan

[TheDazzler]

2-0 Sunderland and QPR down to 10 men.

[gatso]

" Attitude is A Little thing That makes a Big Difference "          Winston Churchill 1943 (during the 2nd world war)


Positive Thoughts To this Thread & Blonde Members .

just opened the thread and glanced at part of this post. thought it was the ultimate aftertiming and you were tipping churchill to win ww2

[TheDazzler]

" Attitude is A Little thing That makes a Big Difference "          Winston Churchill 1943 (during the 2nd world war)


Positive Thoughts To this Thread & Blonde Members .

just opened the thread and glanced at part of this post. thought it was the ultimate aftertiming and you were tipping churchill to win ww2

He was a good price in 1940, Hitler was being backed off the boards.

[henrik777]

hi mate,

Brentford v Rochdale tomorrow. Have £100 on Rochdale + 1/2 on the Asian handicap with VC at 1.98( 1.99) with Pinnacle Sports, but I'm guessing you don't bet there.

Since Brentford let their top scorer leave they haven't scored a goal in three games, they have signed Clinton Morrison on loan to give them  more options up front but he isn't better then they already have. They are now stuck mid table and are one of those teams that seem to be fighting for nothing between now an the end of the season.

Rochdale are in the bottom 4 but have improved a little since Coleman took over but it is their recent run of games that catches my eye. In their last 7 games they have played 5 teams in the current top 8 in the Div. They lost by one goal to Notts County and Carlisle.

They drew with Charlton, Sheff Weds and Huddersfield. Their two other games were a 3-2 win in their local derby against Oldham and a 2-0 defeat to Tranmere who are one of the form teams in the league now they have a new manager in.

I think getting Rochdale and the draw on your side is good, so betting the + 1/2 on the Asian is the way to go. Taking 1.98 you are basically laying Brentford at just over evens, which is now the lay price on Betfair if you were to lay Brentford there, but on the Asian you are not paying any commission.

cheers, good luck with your footy mate

Thanks Phil.

ON, £100 @ 1.970 with Betvictor.


23/03/2012 GBP 100.00 Single: ROCHDALE (+0.5) @ 1.970
Brentford v Rochdale ENG League One
Asian Handicap (-0.5) - Current Score (0:0)
 Rochdale (+0.5)  1.970  Win only  Unsettled  

2-0 Brentford

Sandy