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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16381632 times)
claypole
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« Reply #10530 on: July 14, 2012, 01:18:22 PM »

It's a quiet afternoon in Fred.  I suggest a small ew investment at 14/1 ew with Bet365 (a prerequisite as EW terms are 1/4 1,2,3,4) at Liber in the Super Sprint at Newbury.  Clearly its a tricky race, however the horse has been working well at home, and will run through the mud.  Not sure how the draw pans out in heavy - could go high and we get beaten a length in 5th.  Think its probably nearer a 8-9/1 shot.  I rarely post the horses we get here as I'd stop getting info, however as its the Super Sprint and an open market and a quiet afternoon figured I'd share one today.

£10 ew reccommended
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nirvana
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« Reply #10531 on: July 14, 2012, 01:36:43 PM »

Worth checking with Chompy on the effects of the draw - it's he's specialist subject
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« Reply #10532 on: July 14, 2012, 01:41:44 PM »

It's a quiet afternoon in Fred.  I suggest a small ew investment at 14/1 ew with Bet365 (a prerequisite as EW terms are 1/4 1,2,3,4) at Liber in the Super Sprint at Newbury.  Clearly its a tricky race, however the horse has been working well at home, and will run through the mud.  Not sure how the draw pans out in heavy - could go high and we get beaten a length in 5th.  Think its probably nearer a 8-9/1 shot.  I rarely post the horses we get here as I'd stop getting info, however as its the Super Sprint and an open market and a quiet afternoon figured I'd share one today.

£10 ew reccommended

On.

I'm swayed by your infrequent tipping.

claypole   Bet365   Horses   Newbury 15:50   Liber - e/w   14/1   20

Liber   3.50 Newbury
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream    14/07/2012   4 Places
1/4 Odds   14/1
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claypole
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« Reply #10533 on: July 14, 2012, 01:42:27 PM »

Yeah - generally favours high without a huge bias, its less clear cut in soft or worse going; looking at SuperSprint suggest low may be better - its a bit of a muddle draw wise, just staing that it could go against us - equally in our favour
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rfgqqabc
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« Reply #10534 on: July 14, 2012, 01:42:39 PM »

Over 14 lengths @ Chester with Coral at 7/4. Spin have a quote of 12.7-14.2- 7/4 a cracking price with that quote.

10 mins to the off.
« Last Edit: July 14, 2012, 02:06:53 PM by rfgqqabc » Logged

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« Reply #10535 on: July 14, 2012, 02:34:50 PM »

Over 14 lengths @ Chester with Coral at 7/4. Spin have a quote of 12.7-14.2- 7/4 a cracking price with that quote.

10 mins to the off.

Sorry, I'm not even sure what this bet is.
Was it the winning distance in the 2:15 race?
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claypole
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« Reply #10536 on: July 14, 2012, 02:40:34 PM »

Over 14 lengths @ Chester with Coral at 7/4. Spin have a quote of 12.7-14.2- 7/4 a cracking price with that quote.

10 mins to the off.

Sorry, I'm not even sure what this bet is.
Was it the winning distance in the 2:15 race?

Total at meeting; a little late now.  Think it wasnt a bad spot
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Chompy
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« Reply #10537 on: July 14, 2012, 02:42:05 PM »

Yeah - generally favours high without a huge bias, its less clear cut in soft or worse going; looking at SuperSprint suggest low may be better - its a bit of a muddle draw wise, just staing that it could go against us - equally in our favour

What's going on here please?
Used to be a mahoosive high bias on soft ground, had to be right on the stands' rail, but that's not the case any more. The draw won't play any part here and, if there is a bias, it'll be down to pace imo.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
rfgqqabc
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« Reply #10538 on: July 14, 2012, 02:48:54 PM »

Over 14 lengths @ Chester with Coral at 7/4. Spin have a quote of 12.7-14.2- 7/4 a cracking price with that quote.

10 mins to the off.

Sorry, I'm not even sure what this bet is.
Was it the winning distance in the 2:15 race?

Total at meeting; a little late now.  Think it wasnt a bad spot

yeah total at meeting, bit of a dodge as first race was short but definite +ev bet Sad
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claypole
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« Reply #10539 on: July 14, 2012, 03:13:04 PM »

Yeah - generally favours high without a huge bias, its less clear cut in soft or worse going; looking at SuperSprint suggest low may be better - its a bit of a muddle draw wise, just staing that it could go against us - equally in our favour

What's going on here please?
Used to be a mahoosive high bias on soft ground, had to be right on the stands' rail, but that's not the case any more. The draw won't play any part here and, if there is a bias, it'll be down to pace imo.

Thats what I though boss Wink - youre a pro
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claypole
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« Reply #10540 on: July 14, 2012, 03:53:12 PM »

Soory Fred, ran a solid race - just not good enough
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MereNovice
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« Reply #10541 on: July 14, 2012, 07:33:41 PM »

The speedway is a bit tense.
Denmark lead Australia by 1 point after 13 heats.
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« Reply #10542 on: July 14, 2012, 07:36:12 PM »

The speedway is a bit tense.
Denmark lead Australia by 1 point after 13 heats.

Oops.
Denmark lead by 3 points after 14 heats.
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« Reply #10543 on: July 14, 2012, 07:40:18 PM »

Denmark lead by 5 points after 15 heats.
Looking bleak!
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« Reply #10544 on: July 14, 2012, 07:57:54 PM »

Speedway is fun.
Both Denmark and Australia are trying to lose in the current heats.
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