Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Prepare the Viota Cake Mix.

[tikay]

Hector is back.

We win 22-14.

[hector62]

Connacht  22  Biarritz Chocolate Eating Surrender Monkeys  14   F/T



Victory dance will now commence.

[Tal]

[TheDazzler]

West Ham play Liverpool on Sunday and we already have a bet on WH to win the game.
There may however still be some value to be had in the 1st goalscorer market.
Liverpool face a dilemma in who who to field up front in the absence of the suspended Suarez.
There seems to be 3 possibilities. Adam Morgan, Jonjo Shelvey and Stephen Gerrard.
Morgan is a young, inexperienced reserve team player who is a natural striker but at a best priced 7/1 doesn't really interest us much.
Jonjo Shelvey is more experienced, and although not a natural striker, has played that role this season in a European game. He is generally priced 6/1 to 13/2 but Coral are standout @ 9/1. If he is chosen, that looks a good price.
Gerrard is not a striker but has played that position before. He is generally priced at 7/1 to 8/1 but BetVictor do go 11/1, which if he is chosen, would certainly be value.

So the problem is deciding who is going to play there? If we wait until the day of the game and the teams are announced, the prices will surely tumble on either Shelvey or Gerrard if they are picked in the forward spot. So can we get the jump on the bookies?
Yes, I hope that we can.
Red and White Kop (http://www.redandwhitekop.com/forum/index.php?topic=300616.00) have been very accurate in predicting Pool lineups and got last weeks (rather surprising lineup) spot on. They predicted that Lucas would start (most had expected him to be on the bench) and that Enrique would be at LB and Shelvey would be left sided midfield. Enrique had impressed at left midfield in previous matches and it was assumed that he would continue there.
How did they do it?
Well fans are able to watch Pool training sessions and it turns out that when playing practice matches, the team to start on the weekend plays in bibs against the rest of the players in non bibs. As simple as that.
Normally that training session would have been this morning but as Pool play on Sunday, it should be tomorrow morning instead.
So I'd advise keeping an eye on that forum tomorrow and see what it tells us.
Hopefully Gerrard is picked to play up front and we should back him at 11/1. In truth, 11/1 might be a decent price on him even if he doesn't as he is on freekicks and pens and the return of Lucas will allow him more attacking licence in any case.
If RAWK tells us he is upfront, I would suggest that 11/1 is going to be a very tasty bet indeed.

[bobby1]

Carter   

"I've nothing against carter but the amount of luck he's getting is scandalous. He doesn't deserve to be winning this match, far from it. "

Eurosport

abs incredible snooker from Murphy mate, Carter only had about 3 chances in 5 frames but to get in first in the last frame and get stuck on 32 was a blow.

[Ant040689]

ty for the rugby bet, had to do it as my family are from Galway.

[tikay]

Lakers 108


Thunder 114


141 - 108 = 6.


Good grief.

I was supposed to bet £110 @ -6, but missed one point of the line, so halved the bet to £55, which then lost.

If we had bet @ -6, would we have won, or pushed? I'm trying to see if my delay cost us money, or saved us a few bob!

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0835, Saturday December 8th   

LOSS on Month = £366.34

Unsettled Bets  - £1,051.50



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=15

[TightEnd]

Lakers 108


Thunder 114


141 - 108 = 6.


Good grief.

I was supposed to bet £110 @ -6, but missed one point of the line, so halved the bet to £55, which then lost.

If we had bet @ -6, would we have won, or pushed? I'm trying to see if my delay cost us money, or saved us a few bob!

You would have pushed on -6

[tikay]

Thanks Rich. I cost us by delaying £55 then.

[tikay]

Daily Summary as at 0900, Saturday 8th December

We lost £5 yesterday.

£55 went south when the Lakers won by 6, but we were on at -7. TL900 had recommernded a £110 bet @ -6, but I halved it because the line moved against us by one point. I suppose it could have been worse. Or better.

hector found us a corking little RU bet, which made us £50. 

[tikay]

Don't forget, we have laid Arsenal today.

I'll try & work through the bet recommends for today shortly, of which I think there are a goodly number.

[tikay]

Trivia fact for the future:

Sanfreece Hiroshima 1-0 Auckland City

The first time goal-line technology has been employed in a Fifa-sanctioned event (Club World Cup)


Odds Tikay slips that in tonight?

Yup, I did.

If only Fred could have got on.

[tikay]

Bristol C play at Sheff Wed tomorrow

Sheff Wed have 1 clean sheat in 20 games

Bristol C have no clean sheets in 20 games

Two poor sides, though Bristol C do score goals recently. Combined negative goal difference this year is -27


Both teams to score has been a complete bonanza this season in the Championship, as we have discussed on here

I am thinking that BTTS at 8/13 for this game might be a genuine 1/2 shot

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/sheffield-wednesday-v-bristol-city/both-teams-to-score




In League One I continue to oppose a poor Carlisle side sliding towards the bottom 4 and threatening our Walsall slide

Tomorrow they host Sheff U, who concede few goals away, only 7 in 10 games and are needing a result after a loss last league game took them out of the top two

Carlisle have lost 6 at home, conceding 25 goals in the 10 home games

Sheff U are 13/10 in two spots and to my mind are odds on at Carlisle

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/carlisle-v-sheffield-utd/winner

 

I'm a bit wobbly on this, especially the 8/13, assuming it is still available.

Butter me up, go on, butter, butter.....