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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16574538 times)
Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42675 on:
June 06, 2013, 08:10:31 PM »
Quote from: JaffaCake on June 06, 2013, 08:02:02 PM
Quote from: Chompy on June 06, 2013, 07:59:25 PM
Vallarta...beat none home, useless mincebag. You can't eat valoo.
U can eat horse tho. All that one's good for
Note to self: Virgin Atlantic's lasagne is to be avoided
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
JaffaCake
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Posts: 1884
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42676 on:
June 06, 2013, 08:16:26 PM »
In non Chompy is a bent bookie news, the NBA Finals start tonight. I've written a preview for BettingOn here:
http://bettingon.com/articles/2013/06/04/nba-finals-2013-betting-preview
Would love to rec a bet to give u a sweat but as one of my mates told me the other day when he text me to say we should bet on Lampard to score anytime as he'll be keen to get the Chelsea record (and he did) I've become a 'value bore' and nothing looks that exciting. The MVP market interests me, if only because the prices are better that betting on the team, yet Miami can't win without LeBron being MVP, and the Spurs can't win unless Parker or Duncan are MVP. Duncan at 8/1 I could make a case for...but not that much of one.
One of those sporting events that no bet is best idea I think, at least for now
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Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42677 on:
June 06, 2013, 08:57:07 PM »
Dauphine Stage 5.
Open stage but some decent value.
Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner
Sorry busy, more detail later
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They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42678 on:
June 06, 2013, 09:06:03 PM »
Quote from: Tonji on June 06, 2013, 08:57:07 PM
Dauphine Stage 5.
Open stage but some decent value.
Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner
Sorry busy, more detail later
Stage 5, or Stage 6?
The link takes me to Stage 6 prices. If so, the price is 40/1 now, and Bet365 are prepared to allow me.......£0.25 each way.
Will have a look elsewhere shortly, am multi-table grinding high stakes PLO8 right now.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42679 on:
June 06, 2013, 09:09:06 PM »
Sorry yes stage 6.
40/1 ok imo
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42680 on:
June 06, 2013, 09:18:55 PM »
Quote from: Tonji on June 06, 2013, 09:09:06 PM
Sorry yes stage 6.
40/1 ok imo
Thanks. Details to follow, but we filled our boots with Bet365 @ 40/1. £0.25 EW. Can't afford more, Chompy has sent me busto.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42681 on:
June 06, 2013, 09:58:10 PM »
10pm, ITV4, Joey Dunlop, The Man Who Conquered The TT.
Should be well worth watching.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42682 on:
June 07, 2013, 12:54:56 AM »
Quote from: tikay on June 06, 2013, 09:06:03 PM
Quote from: Tonji on June 06, 2013, 08:57:07 PM
Dauphine Stage 5.
Open stage but some decent value.
Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner
Sorry busy, more detail later
Stage 5, or Stage 6?
The link takes me to Stage 6 prices. If so, the price is 40/1 now, and Bet365 are prepared to allow me.......£0.25 each way.
Will have a look elsewhere shortly, am multi-table grinding high stakes PLO8 right now.
Stage is set for sprinters who can climb. Its possible QPQS will set a fast pace to drop the fat boys with chubby legs (Bouhanni & Viviani).
This leaves the likes of Meersman, EBH & Gazzavi to fight out the sprint. Gavazzi is always under the radar with the bookies despite some strong results on these types of stages. He must be in decent shape, coming in ahead of his fellow sprinters on todays mountain stage.
I'm also on Michael Matthews. OGE are looking for wins & Matthews is the best bet with a strong 2nd on stage 3, just mistiming the sprint. 18/1 ftw in a few places.
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They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42683 on:
June 07, 2013, 01:37:59 AM »
bit late for a posting for me but been one of those days and cant sleep
been waiting for all the books to price up the third leg of the triple crown and they now have
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/international/belmont-stakes/winner?selectionName=will-take-charge
Bet Suggestion £10 eway Overanalyze 16-1 corals or ladbrokes first 3 places 1/5th the odds
I have watched this years Kentucky Derby a good few times now and Overanalyze ran a lot better than the 11th finishing position suggests.
This view of mine has been backed up by the excellent trackus website which provides the facts behind the theory. Here is an extract
"A backpedaling Falling Sky may have forced him to slow, but no published video makes it entirely clear why he faded, falling well back to 18th passing the three-eighths pole. He then moves back inside and is on the rail for the next two furlongs, advancing past horses, angling around Charming Kitten, and running on to finish 11th in a scrum that included that rival, plus Lines of Battle, Will Take Charge, Giant Finish, and Palace Malice. Eventual Preakness winner Oxbow finished just 3 ¾ lengths in front of Overanalyze.
Add to all of this that Overanalyze ran the fifth-fastest final furlong of the Kentucky Derby (there’s that one meaningful element of data, and attempting to show that Overanalyze wasn’t just passing tiring horses, he was still lively at the end of an eventful run)."
The horse also is the only horse that is unbeaten at Belmont (1-1) at this stage it seems 50/50 whether the main track will be dry or an off track again. It will be a lot better for the bet if the track is dry but not a disaster if it goes sloppy again.
I expected 12-1 which is the american morning line price, the fact two big firms went 16-1 after the others priced up first at 12-1 worries me somewhat but i make it around a 10-1 shot on a dry track and 14-1 on a wet track.
I have take some small 16-1 today.
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Tal
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42684 on:
June 07, 2013, 06:53:08 AM »
£30m on a footballer who can't get in a Brazil squad.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
tikay
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42685 on:
June 07, 2013, 07:04:37 AM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 07, 2013, 01:37:59 AM
bit late for a posting for me but been one of those days and cant sleep
been waiting for all the books to price up the third leg of the triple crown and they now have
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/international/belmont-stakes/winner?selectionName=will-take-charge
Bet Suggestion £10 eway Overanalyze 16-1 corals or ladbrokes first 3 places 1/5th the odds
I have watched this years Kentucky Derby a good few times now and Overanalyze ran a lot better than the 11th finishing position suggests.
This view of mine has been backed up by the excellent trackus website which provides the facts behind the theory. Here is an extract
"A backpedaling Falling Sky may have forced him to slow, but no published video makes it entirely clear why he faded, falling well back to 18th passing the three-eighths pole. He then moves back inside and is on the rail for the next two furlongs, advancing past horses, angling around Charming Kitten, and running on to finish 11th in a scrum that included that rival, plus Lines of Battle, Will Take Charge, Giant Finish, and Palace Malice. Eventual Preakness winner Oxbow finished just 3 ¾ lengths in front of Overanalyze.
Add to all of this that Overanalyze ran the fifth-fastest final furlong of the Kentucky Derby (there’s that one meaningful element of data, and attempting to show that Overanalyze wasn’t just passing tiring horses, he was still lively at the end of an eventful run)."
The horse also is the only horse that is unbeaten at Belmont (1-1) at this stage it seems 50/50 whether the main track will be dry or an off track again. It will be a lot better for the bet if the track is dry but not a disaster if it goes sloppy again.
I expected 12-1 which is the american morning line price, the fact two big firms went 16-1 after the others priced up first at 12-1 worries me somewhat but i make it around a 10-1 shot on a dry track and 14-1 on a wet track.
I have take some small 16-1 today.
Done, thanks horsey.
When is the race, please?
We have £10 EW @ 16/1, Ladbrokes, Overanalyze, Belmont Stakes.
ON
Belmont Stakes Belmont Stakes
2013-06-07 17:30:00
Market: Non Runner No Bet|
Selection: Overanalyze @ 16/1
Receipt No.: O/142640973/0000355
Placed at: 07:02 07/06/2013
Stake Per Line: £10.00
Number of lines: 2
Total Paid: £20.00
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42686 on:
June 07, 2013, 07:28:55 AM »
Quote from: Tonji on June 06, 2013, 08:57:07 PM
Dauphine Stage 5.
Open stage but some decent value.
Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner
Sorry busy, more detail later
CONFIRMATION AND ADDITIONAL BET
As I stated at the time, Bet365 only allowed me £0.25 each way, which I took.
However, as of this morning, WmHill are offering 40/1, so I have plunged, & had a rather extravagent £10 EW with them, too. Balla.
£0.25 EW @ 40/1, Bet365, Gavazzi, Stage 6, Dauphine Bike Race Thing.
£10 EW @ 40/1, Wm Hill, Stage 6, Dauphine Bike Race Thing.
ON
Bet Confirmation - QT9222719210L Time of bet: 06/06/2013 21:15:49
Francesco Gavazzi
Criterium Du Dauphine 2013 - Stage 6
(To Win Stage)
07/06/2013
3 Places
1/4 Odds
40/1
To Run
Unit Stake: 0.25 EW Single Total Stake: 0.50
_______________
07 Jun 2013 - Dauphine Libere - Stage 6 Winner - Stage 6 Winner
Francesco Gavazzi @ 40/1 EW @ 1/4 1-3
Stake : £20.00 (£10.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
520.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000460/F
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42687 on:
June 07, 2013, 07:31:22 AM »
Quote from: Tonji on June 07, 2013, 12:54:56 AM
Quote from: tikay on June 06, 2013, 09:06:03 PM
Quote from: Tonji on June 06, 2013, 08:57:07 PM
Dauphine Stage 5.
Open stage but some decent value.
Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner
Sorry busy, more detail later
Stage 5, or Stage 6?
The link takes me to Stage 6 prices. If so, the price is 40/1 now, and Bet365 are prepared to allow me.......£0.25 each way.
Will have a look elsewhere shortly, am multi-table grinding high stakes PLO8 right now.
Stage is set for sprinters who can climb. Its possible QPQS will set a fast pace to drop the fat boys with chubby legs (Bouhanni & Viviani).
This leaves the likes of Meersman, EBH & Gazzavi to fight out the sprint. Gavazzi is always under the radar with the bookies despite some strong results on these types of stages. He must be in decent shape, coming in ahead of his fellow sprinters on todays mountain stage.
I'm also on Michael Matthews. OGE are looking for wins & Matthews is the best bet with a strong 2nd on stage 3, just mistiming the sprint. 18/1 ftw in a few places
.
Boat well & truly pushed out, we need to recover the Chompy losses.
£5 WIN (they don't offer EW) @ 18/1, BetVictor, Matthews, Stage 6, Dauphine Bike Race.
ON
Outright WinnerMichael Matthews (Stage 6 Winner)Odds: 18/1 Stake: 5.00Possible Return: 95.00
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42688 on:
June 07, 2013, 08:13:03 AM »
Quote from: tikay on June 07, 2013, 07:04:37 AM
Quote from: horseplayer on June 07, 2013, 01:37:59 AM
bit late for a posting for me but been one of those days and cant sleep
been waiting for all the books to price up the third leg of the triple crown and they now have
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/international/belmont-stakes/winner?selectionName=will-take-charge
Bet Suggestion £10 eway Overanalyze 16-1 corals or ladbrokes first 3 places 1/5th the odds
I have watched this years Kentucky Derby a good few times now and Overanalyze ran a lot better than the 11th finishing position suggests.
This view of mine has been backed up by the excellent trackus website which provides the facts behind the theory. Here is an extract
"A backpedaling Falling Sky may have forced him to slow, but no published video makes it entirely clear why he faded, falling well back to 18th passing the three-eighths pole. He then moves back inside and is on the rail for the next two furlongs, advancing past horses, angling around Charming Kitten, and running on to finish 11th in a scrum that included that rival, plus Lines of Battle, Will Take Charge, Giant Finish, and Palace Malice. Eventual Preakness winner Oxbow finished just 3 ¾ lengths in front of Overanalyze.
Add to all of this that Overanalyze ran the fifth-fastest final furlong of the Kentucky Derby (there’s that one meaningful element of data, and attempting to show that Overanalyze wasn’t just passing tiring horses, he was still lively at the end of an eventful run)."
The horse also is the only horse that is unbeaten at Belmont (1-1) at this stage it seems 50/50 whether the main track will be dry or an off track again. It will be a lot better for the bet if the track is dry but not a disaster if it goes sloppy again.
I expected 12-1 which is the american morning line price, the fact two big firms went 16-1 after the others priced up first at 12-1 worries me somewhat but i make it around a 10-1 shot on a dry track and 14-1 on a wet track.
I have take some small 16-1 today.
Done, thanks horsey.
When is the race, please?
We have £10 EW @ 16/1, Ladbrokes, Overanalyze, Belmont Stakes.
ON
Belmont Stakes Belmont Stakes
2013-06-07 17:30:00
Market: Non Runner No Bet|
Selection: Overanalyze @ 16/1
Receipt No.: O/142640973/0000355
Placed at: 07:02 07/06/2013
Stake Per Line: £10.00
Number of lines: 2
Total Paid: £20.00
Saturday night should be on atr as Belmont usually is
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tikay
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #42689 on:
June 07, 2013, 08:22:32 AM »
Temporary Service Interruption.
I will be Offline a large part of today & tomorrow, due to SPT Birmingham, & Tighty will be with me.
We are both working, (I am FRONT OF HOUSE) & the computers will be on throughout, so we may be able to action stuff as & when, but please Post suggestions as early as possible. (Except Chompy).
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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