Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Casper also first time out this season and for a new trainer. Its defo the interesting horse in the race.

[Doobs]

Think we should just put the one bet on Goodwood tomorrow for now.  We should back Aljamaaheer in the 15.05 at Goodwood with Paddy Power and William Hill mobile.   Paddy Power are money back if 2nd.  I know we are already restricted, so can't see much harm in hitting the max button and taking as much as we can (up to £100).  We are effectively getting 7/2 on a horse that is just shy of 3/1 on Betfair with the best price guarantee on top.   If we can't get that, we should take the £25 with Hills mobile at the same price.

In all the other races the prices aren't that great at William Hill or Paddy Power, so everything looks a bit marginal maths wise.  I will wait to see if anything crops up tomorrow. 

In other news, Ladbrokes are offering money back as a free bet on match betting if Root top scores for England.  Given they are top price about the draw and beat Betfair.   There is a possibility of some rain, given it is in Manchester and it needs no excuse to rain there at the best of times.  I think we should put £50 on the draw in the next test match at Ladbrokes (9/4).  Root is about 4/1 general to top score, so we get a refund 15 to 20% of the time we get a result.  £50 is the max refund).

£25 ew Anticipated at 4/1 for the bet365 offer seems mandatory.

I think we missed this for Camel.  It won first time out on soft going.  You can still get 100/30 Paddy Power with the money back which is the equvalent of over 4/1 anyway.  Not sure I'd still do the each way, as we are sat on 8 runners, and we could easily lose another.  Would appreciate thoughts on that part.

[The Camel]

i hate this thread

officially it sucks i just cant keep up with it 5 pages can go up in a cpl of hours and i miss the tips

no really great thread is there any stats on how you are doing since the thread started?

have many bookies restricted your bets?

This is actually a decent point.

I guess we have all missed decent bets amongst all the banter.

How about a Tips for Tikay Lite?

With just bets placed.

Regards

Camel

[The Camel]

Think we should just put the one bet on Goodwood tomorrow for now.  We should back Aljamaaheer in the 15.05 at Goodwood with Paddy Power and William Hill mobile.   Paddy Power are money back if 2nd.  I know we are already restricted, so can't see much harm in hitting the max button and taking as much as we can (up to £100).  We are effectively getting 7/2 on a horse that is just shy of 3/1 on Betfair with the best price guarantee on top.   If we can't get that, we should take the £25 with Hills mobile at the same price.

In all the other races the prices aren't that great at William Hill or Paddy Power, so everything looks a bit marginal maths wise.  I will wait to see if anything crops up tomorrow. 

In other news, Ladbrokes are offering money back as a free bet on match betting if Root top scores for England.  Given they are top price about the draw and beat Betfair.   There is a possibility of some rain, given it is in Manchester and it needs no excuse to rain there at the best of times.  I think we should put £50 on the draw in the next test match at Ladbrokes (9/4).  Root is about 4/1 general to top score, so we get a refund 15 to 20% of the time we get a result.  £50 is the max refund).

£25 ew Anticipated at 4/1 for the bet365 offer seems mandatory.

I think we missed this for Camel.  It won first time out on soft going.  You can still get 100/30 Paddy Power with the money back which is the equvalent of over 4/1 anyway.  Not sure I'd still do the each way, as we are sat on 8 runners, and we could easily lose another.  Would appreciate thoughts on that part.

5/6 to place is still marginal value.

[tikay]

Think we should just put the one bet on Goodwood tomorrow for now.  We should back Aljamaaheer in the 15.05 at Goodwood with Paddy Power and William Hill mobile.   Paddy Power are money back if 2nd.  I know we are already restricted, so can't see much harm in hitting the max button and taking as much as we can (up to £100).  We are effectively getting 7/2 on a horse that is just shy of 3/1 on Betfair with the best price guarantee on top.   If we can't get that, we should take the £25 with Hills mobile at the same price.

In all the other races the prices aren't that great at William Hill or Paddy Power, so everything looks a bit marginal maths wise.  I will wait to see if anything crops up tomorrow. 

In other news, Ladbrokes are offering money back as a free bet on match betting if Root top scores for England.  Given they are top price about the draw and beat Betfair.   There is a possibility of some rain, given it is in Manchester and it needs no excuse to rain there at the best of times.  I think we should put £50 on the draw in the next test match at Ladbrokes (9/4).  Root is about 4/1 general to top score, so we get a refund 15 to 20% of the time we get a result.  £50 is the max refund).

£25 ew Anticipated at 4/1 for the bet365 offer seems mandatory.

I think we missed this for Camel.  It won first time out on soft going.  You can still get 100/30 Paddy Power with the money back which is the equvalent of over 4/1 anyway.  Not sure I'd still do the each way, as we are sat on 8 runners, and we could easily lose another.  Would appreciate thoughts on that part.

No, I never missed it as such, I Posted about it this morning.

The 365 offer ONLY applied if the SP was 4/1 or greater, and it was 7/2 this morning.

Happy to get on with PP if you think the maths still work, and more importantly, if PP do not silly restrict me.

Yes, no?

[TightEnd]

i hate this thread

officially it sucks i just cant keep up with it 5 pages can go up in a cpl of hours and i miss the tips

no really great thread is there any stats on how you are doing since the thread started?

have many bookies restricted your bets?

This is actually a decent point.

I guess we have all missed decent bets amongst all the banter.

How about a Tips for Tikay Lite?

With just bets placed.

Regards

Camel

Just check/bookmark

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=27

Has all the open bets on under the current month tab

[The Camel]

Think we should just put the one bet on Goodwood tomorrow for now.  We should back Aljamaaheer in the 15.05 at Goodwood with Paddy Power and William Hill mobile.   Paddy Power are money back if 2nd.  I know we are already restricted, so can't see much harm in hitting the max button and taking as much as we can (up to £100).  We are effectively getting 7/2 on a horse that is just shy of 3/1 on Betfair with the best price guarantee on top.   If we can't get that, we should take the £25 with Hills mobile at the same price.

In all the other races the prices aren't that great at William Hill or Paddy Power, so everything looks a bit marginal maths wise.  I will wait to see if anything crops up tomorrow. 

In other news, Ladbrokes are offering money back as a free bet on match betting if Root top scores for England.  Given they are top price about the draw and beat Betfair.   There is a possibility of some rain, given it is in Manchester and it needs no excuse to rain there at the best of times.  I think we should put £50 on the draw in the next test match at Ladbrokes (9/4).  Root is about 4/1 general to top score, so we get a refund 15 to 20% of the time we get a result.  £50 is the max refund).

£25 ew Anticipated at 4/1 for the bet365 offer seems mandatory.

I think we missed this for Camel.  It won first time out on soft going.  You can still get 100/30 Paddy Power with the money back which is the equvalent of over 4/1 anyway.  Not sure I'd still do the each way, as we are sat on 8 runners, and we could easily lose another.  Would appreciate thoughts on that part.

5/6 to place is still marginal value.

Although money back for coming second clouds the issue.

I'll leave it to the maths gurus

[tikay]

makes a lot of sense Tal. I think Aljamaaheer is almost certain to be a non-runner so a big rule 4. I guess Caspar will go off about 8/1 in the new market and Garswood will be the hot favourite at around 11/4 maybe shorter.

Super. Thanks.

Tikay won't back it, though. 100% guarantee that. Value or no value

Art bollox, see.

What exactly has this German horse got to do with Arty Farty stuff? Is the Owner an artist?

Happy to dabble, and I note it is not friendless amongst the Elders.

Will go have a look at rices shortly.

For now, Spirit of the Law is my main pre-occupation.....

[Doobs]

Casper also first time out this season and for a new trainer. Its defo the interesting horse in the race.

Now badbeat and Adz have backed him up, think we should get some of that 12/1 at bet365 for the thread?

[horseplayer]

Ran well enough

[tikay]

Ran well enough

Yes, ended up 4th, and we are on EW at a big price, with 4 places paid.

Well done!

[tikay]

Richard Hughes got our Top Jockey bet off to a great start, too.

Well pleased.

[tikay]

Casper also first time out this season and for a new trainer. Its defo the interesting horse in the race.

Now badbeat and Adz have backed him up, think we should get some of that 12/1 at bet365 for the thread?

Win only, yes?

[TightEnd]

Ran well enough

Yes, ended up 4th, and we are on EW at a big price, with 4 places paid.

Well done!

Profit of £89.90 on the race

very well done

[JaffaCake]

Coral have pushed Chelski out to 3/1 as a price boost. At the same time that nice man Dale Tempest is on SSN telling us Chelski are now the 9/4 faves with SlyBet