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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16421122 times)
Ant040689
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« Reply #48465 on: August 15, 2013, 06:38:48 PM »

I wouldn't be comfortable with fred backing Chamakh against Gayle if it was an evens proposition, however it is 3/1. Don't know how Gayle is going to react to the step up and Chamakh is a solid assists man. Gayle scored 13 last season in the league in 29 appearances, granted it was in the championship. I know Harry Redknapp was glowing about Gayle and suggests he could be great. Chompy is of that opinion too.

3/1 though seems like too big a price to miss out on in a two horse race.

Would say £50 at 3/1 for Chamakh to be Palace top goalscorer

http://www.betvictor.com/sports/en/football-specials/crystal-palace-specials/coupons/982100/36430910/411466500/0/0/PE/0/0/0/0/0

and £100 on 1/1 with bet365 on Chamakh over 7.5 goals

http://www.bet365.com/home/FlashGen4/WebConsoleApp.asp?&cb=10881525436

Obv alter bet size to whatever you guys see fit.
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tikay
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« Reply #48466 on: August 15, 2013, 06:39:12 PM »

If you are going to get on him in some way, 3's for Top Palace scorer has to be better than over 7.5 goals imo.
Your basically saying your confident enough he gets 8 but your tipping it up at evens so are pretty confident, so you probably think 10+ and i dont see Gayle also getting 10+ aswell as Chamakh.

btw, how many goals do you think Palace will score this season?



Personally, this looks the best value to me, but I'll go with the experts.
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ChipRich
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« Reply #48467 on: August 15, 2013, 06:40:02 PM »

btw, not touching either. But if i had to id absolutely be betting the 3's.

Gutted to have missed out on the 13/5 Palace to finish Bottom!
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Marky147
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« Reply #48468 on: August 15, 2013, 06:42:21 PM »

btw, not touching either. But if i had to id absolutely be betting the 3's.

Gutted to have missed out on the 13/5 Palace to finish Bottom!

You can get 12/5 with Laddies Rich, not sure if that's big enough?
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Ant040689
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« Reply #48469 on: August 15, 2013, 06:45:52 PM »

If you are going to get on him in some way, 3's for Top Palace scorer has to be better than over 7.5 goals imo.
Your basically saying your confident enough he gets 8 but your tipping it up at evens so are pretty confident, so you probably think 10+ and i dont see Gayle also getting 10+ aswell as Chamakh.

btw, how many goals do you think Palace will score this season?



I think both bets are value, and the season could turn out where one comes in and the other doesn't so separately both are worth doing imo.

I am not sure how many we are going to score but I do think that our goals are coming from Gayle and Chamakh mainly. To the point where I wouldn't be surprised if both score over 10 each. I think Murray is back by xmas, and with his form from the back end of last season in mind I think he will be a bit part player with us. However, he could kick on and take goals away from both of these guys.

I think 45 goals at least, from looking at the strugglers from last season.
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ChipRich
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« Reply #48470 on: August 15, 2013, 06:50:10 PM »

btw, not touching either. But if i had to id absolutely be betting the 3's.

Gutted to have missed out on the 13/5 Palace to finish Bottom!

You can get 12/5 with Laddies Rich, not sure if that's big enough?

yeah, saw that mate. Not sure yet, not a fan of taking worse prices! Possibly tho, think should be much shorter
« Last Edit: August 15, 2013, 06:56:31 PM by ChipRich » Logged

exstream
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« Reply #48471 on: August 15, 2013, 06:54:38 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?
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BigAdz
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« Reply #48472 on: August 15, 2013, 06:56:02 PM »


Chris Stroud finished at 6 under, & is temporarily leader in the clubhouse. We are on at 125/1, so at least we'll get a bit of a sweat.


Great stuff. Chucked a couple o quid on last nite. Quite a pick indeedy. GL.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #48473 on: August 15, 2013, 08:15:03 PM »

was quite sweet on ANOTHER SQUEEZE 8.15 CHEPSTOW tonight

drifted a bit of late and i think at 6.8 (or anything 5-1+) is worth a bet of £20 win

Sire does much better on softer ground, ran fine all 3 starts here less exposed than most of these that can win and hopefully the slightly strange removal of the hood will be more than compensated with the ground.

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McGlashan
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« Reply #48474 on: August 15, 2013, 08:15:40 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #48475 on: August 15, 2013, 08:23:09 PM »

well avoided

needs the hood back i think
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tikay
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« Reply #48476 on: August 15, 2013, 08:49:01 PM »

well avoided

needs the hood back i think

I got lucky there - never saw it, was pokering.

Hope your bet was small.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #48477 on: August 15, 2013, 08:50:41 PM »

always is Smiley

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tikay
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« Reply #48478 on: August 15, 2013, 08:51:04 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.
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tikay
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« Reply #48479 on: August 15, 2013, 08:51:46 PM »

always is Smiley



Ha!

 
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