Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

I think Camel's spider got lucky there.

Give me another example, on a lesser traded market.

Hahaha

Ok

Man City to beat Hull 6-1

Your max bet will be:


£5

OK, on my way.....

[The Camel]

I am hugely surprised with all the great gambling brains on here that no one had worked this out before now!

Pretty big chance I'm being whooshed here though.

If so wpwpwp

[The Camel]

I just tested it on the SAME game.

On Man City to BEAT Hull @ 1/6, I can get £600.

On Hull to beat Man City @ 16/1 I can get £6.25

On the Draw, @ 6/1, I can get £16.67.

So what is the algorithm there?

It LOOKS like max win liability of £100, but they allowed me £50 @ 12/5 on the Man U-Chelsea game earlier, which is a £120 liability.

As I said - the limits increase on gameday.

I'm pretty surprised you couldn't get more than that on to be honest.

[tikay]

I think Camel's spider got lucky there.

Give me another example, on a lesser traded market.

Hahaha

Ok

Man City to beat Hull 6-1

Your max bet will be:


£5

And they permitted me precisely........



£5

[tikay]

I just tested it on the SAME game.

On Man City to BEAT Hull @ 1/6, I can get £600.

On Hull to beat Man City @ 16/1 I can get £6.25

On the Draw, @ 6/1, I can get £16.67.

So what is the algorithm there?

It LOOKS like max win liability of £100, but they allowed me £50 @ 12/5 on the Man U-Chelsea game earlier, which is a £120 liability.

As I said - the limits increase on gameday.

I'm pretty surprised you couldn't get more than that on to be honest.

Well I must correct myself - they allowed me £85, but I only sought £50.

[tikay]

I am hugely surprised with all the great gambling brains on here that no one had worked this out before now!

Pretty big chance I'm being whooshed here though.

If so wpwpwp

No, it's me being whooshed.

How the hell can you assess what my limits are?

[tikay]

I still reckon Camel got lucky. Twice.

He borrowed the sensei spider imo.

[TheDazzler]

I'm kinda glad it didn't come in as I might be accused of aftertiming but I think Fred was remiss not to back the recommendation of Schurrle FGS @ 18/1.
If you saw Hull come to Old Trafford playing 1 man up front and he was 18/1 to score first, I couldn't put you off backing him. And this was Chelsea!

As the game played out, Schurrle hardly had a sniff but we didn't know the game would play out like that. The point was he was mispriced. He was priced as a midfielder and he was a lone striker.
I also put up Rooney @ 10/1 and that's fine to rebuff it, it's a judgement call. But the Schurrle bet imo should have been taken. As I mentioned, I think it should have been a big bet (~£100) but for not it not to be taken for even £10?
I'm not annoyed or anything or taking it personally and I know Tikay was busy and he has a tough job deciding which bets to do or not. I'm just saying I think we missed a lot of value there.
If anyone disagrees, I'd be interested in hearing why.

[The Camel]

I am hugely surprised with all the great gambling brains on here that no one had worked this out before now!

Pretty big chance I'm being whooshed here though.

If so wpwpwp

No, it's me being whooshed.

How the hell can you assess what my limits are?

I used a very complicated algorithm:

Dividing the normal limits by 100.

[Tal]

"'Old stiw, Bran. I'm tryin' to get to tha top deck of tha' bass tikay's parked in midfiewd"

[The Camel]

I just tested it on the SAME game.

On Man City to BEAT Hull @ 1/6, I can get £600.

On Hull to beat Man City @ 16/1 I can get £6.25

On the Draw, @ 6/1, I can get £16.67.

So what is the algorithm there?

It LOOKS like max win liability of £100, but they allowed me £50 @ 12/5 on the Man U-Chelsea game earlier, which is a £120 liability.

As I said - the limits increase on gameday.

I'm pretty surprised you couldn't get more than that on to be honest.

Well I must correct myself - they allowed me £85, but I only sought £50.

Doubt it was £85, something like £83 and few pence is my *educated* guess

[Doobs]

grats fred and draw backers.

Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?

Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.

Happy days.

The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.

You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.

Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.

He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.  

The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me).   So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.  

I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy.  ie just double up on the draw or similar.

He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread!

yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies.  Obviously, we have a much better idea now we have seen what happened tonight.

But the draw pre match is still better than the no scorer pre match though.

It wasn't better to have the draw bet pre match if you can't use the whole of the free £50 free bet in running!

I haven't been keeping up with thread as much as I used to - but "yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies" just doesn't make sense, virtually all bookies don't differentiate between sports. Once you are restricted - you are restricted.

As I said in the earlier post, I think Tony is on 1% of the normal stake as his maximum bet.

If he cares to look now, I reckon his maximum on Man City to beat Hull next weekend will be £600.

This will increase on gameday.

The draw was better pre because the bet365 price was within a whisker of Betfair, the nil goal scorer wasn't.  So one he loses a couple of quid pre, one loses more than a tenner.  Of couse knowing it ended 0-0 makes a difference to this reasoning.

If he gets resticted on the draw in game because he has bet it pre, he should switch to either Man U win or Chelsea win.  

[horseplayer]

Dazzler fwiw i agree and backed him small myself

Think Tikay was busy and wants to keep his powder dry in the early weeks (long season and all that)

Having said that the price was to big for a starting striker in a top 4 side against anybody even if he is a bit makeshift

[tikay]

I just tested it on the SAME game.

On Man City to BEAT Hull @ 1/6, I can get £600.

On Hull to beat Man City @ 16/1 I can get £6.25

On the Draw, @ 6/1, I can get £16.67.

So what is the algorithm there?

It LOOKS like max win liability of £100, but they allowed me £50 @ 12/5 on the Man U-Chelsea game earlier, which is a £120 liability.

As I said - the limits increase on gameday.

I'm pretty surprised you couldn't get more than that on to be honest.

Well I must correct myself - they allowed me £85, but I only sought £50.

Doubt it was £85, something like £83 and few pence is my *educated* guess

Camel gets the three-timer home.

[The Camel]

grats fred and draw backers.

Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?

Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.

Happy days.

The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.

You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.

Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.

He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.  

The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me).   So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.  

I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy.  ie just double up on the draw or similar.

He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread!

yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies.  Obviously, we have a much better idea now we have seen what happened tonight.

But the draw pre match is still better than the no scorer pre match though.

It wasn't better to have the draw bet pre match if you can't use the whole of the free £50 free bet in running!

I haven't been keeping up with thread as much as I used to - but "yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies" just doesn't make sense, virtually all bookies don't differentiate between sports. Once you are restricted - you are restricted.

As I said in the earlier post, I think Tony is on 1% of the normal stake as his maximum bet.

If he cares to look now, I reckon his maximum on Man City to beat Hull next weekend will be £600.

This will increase on gameday.

The draw was better pre because the bet365 price was within a whisker of Betfair, the nil goal scorer wasn't.  So one he loses a couple of quid pre, one loses more than a tenner.  Of couse knowing it ended 0-0 makes a difference to this reasoning.

If he gets resticted on the draw in game because he has bet it pre, he should switch to either Man U win or Chelsea win.  

Still, I thought we knew (now we definitely know anyway) that he wouldn't be able to get his whole £50 free bet on first goalscorer in running.

Sure we would have lost a tenner on betting first goalscorer prematch - but we lost £40 of our free bet by not taking them up on the entire extent of the offer.