Tips for Tikay

[Bazzaboy]

I had a bit of a 'mare last weekend but there is a bet I like tomorrow. Calum Smith is the latest British Super-Middleweight prospect and has looked impressive so far taking out his last 4 opponents in the first round. He takes a big step up in class though against Patrick Mendy who is better than his 14-6-1 record suggests. Importantly he also has a great chin and has never been stopped in his 6 defeats. He is also awkward and difficult to catch cleanly.  They obviously think a lot of Smith to be stepping him up so quickly but I think this will be a tricky nights work and the 5/2 on Smith by points is too big. Recommend £30.

Bazza, a buzz going about for Blackwell to beat Bursak tomorrow at 8/1 any views on that fight?

Blackwell is a tough strong kid and will be in Bursak's face all night. He gave BJS his only tough night so far and is a step up on Arron. If the fight was over here I'd be all over him at that price. Getting a decision over there will be easier said than done though and I don't think he has the power to trouble Bursak. I've had a small interest on him as the price just looks a touch big.

[aaron1867]

Sharestan in the 2.05 looks a good place for a bet with free bet offer.

Suggest £25 @ 11/4 with only 7 runners

Good luck today!

[OverTheBorder]

I had a bit of a 'mare last weekend but there is a bet I like tomorrow. Calum Smith is the latest British Super-Middleweight prospect and has looked impressive so far taking out his last 4 opponents in the first round. He takes a big step up in class though against Patrick Mendy who is better than his 14-6-1 record suggests. Importantly he also has a great chin and has never been stopped in his 6 defeats. He is also awkward and difficult to catch cleanly.  They obviously think a lot of Smith to be stepping him up so quickly but I think this will be a tricky nights work and the 5/2 on Smith by points is too big. Recommend £30.

Bazza, a buzz going about for Blackwell to beat Bursak tomorrow at 8/1 any views on that fight?

Blackwell is a tough strong kid and will be in Bursak's face all night. He gave BJS his only tough night so far and is a step up on Arron. If the fight was over here I'd be all over him at that price. Getting a decision over there will be easier said than done though and I don't think he has the power to trouble Bursak. I've had a small interest on him as the price just looks a touch big.

Cheers mate, I had a small interest, also the draw for Lols if Blackwell looks to have won it easy, they may decide the draw is the acceptable screw!

[Doobs]

Sharestan in the 2.05 looks a good place for a bet with free bet offer.

Suggest £25 @ 11/4 with only 7 runners

Good luck today!

And Valonia in the 3.15 at 5/2.  Has Adz favourite jockey on board.

[Tal]

Chapter Seven at Newbury in the wet?

Been waiting for this ground, I would imagine.

Thoughts?

[horseplayer]

3.40 market taking shape nicely

Looks like Brockwell may go of at least joint fav

[BigAdz]

Sharestan in the 2.05 looks a good place for a bet with free bet offer.

Suggest £25 @ 11/4 with only 7 runners

Good luck today!

And Valonia in the 3.15 at 5/2.  Has Adz favourite jockey on board.

You can preach, but some will never convert.

[BigAdz]

Chapter Seven at Newbury in the wet?

Been waiting for this ground, I would imagine.

Thoughts?

Always felt this distance stretches him, and a mile suits best.

Williams has maintained the Cambridgeshire is the main target,fwiw

[gouty]

Sharestan in the 2.05 looks a good place for a bet with free bet offer.

Suggest £25 @ 11/4 with only 7 runners

Good luck today!

And Valonia in the 3.15 at 5/2.  Has Adz favourite jockey on board.

Bet this at Goodwood and we were gonna lump on today but we're hoping for 4 to 1. Not sure now. See what happens later as pretty good layers at Ayr so it could well drift before race if they want to get it. Really nice horse Valonia.

[Tal]

Chapter Seven at Newbury in the wet?

Been waiting for this ground, I would imagine.

Thoughts?

Always felt this distance stretches him, and a mile suits best.

Williams has maintained the Cambridgeshire is the main target,fwiw

A little knowledge remains a dangerous thing, doesn't it?!



Thanks, Adz

[BigAdz]

Probs dot up now Tal.

But with a strongly fancied Irish raider, Trade Commissioner and Trader Jack, both due, Even though CS was a fav when with Fahey, I wont be playing it. GL mate

[anthonyl]

Don't make this the fourth winning tip you miss out on from me....

Bolton to beat Brighton - 3.1/1. Incredible value. Bolton are playing better than results suggest, and we can't score to save our lives. Freedman ex Palarse will want to get one over us too.

We have NINE players out injured (We have the third smallest squad in the league as it is), including our WHOLE midfield!

Andrews - first 11 CM
Bridcutt - first 11 DM
Orlandi - first 11 AM
Kemy - first 11 CM
JFC - back-up behind Orlandi
Ulloa - first 11 FW
CMS - back up striker
Hoskins - reserve striker
Ankergen - reserve gk

Cheeky £10er can pay for your wine and dinner tonight

[aaron1867]

Sharestan in the 2.05 looks a good place for a bet with free bet offer.

Suggest £25 @ 11/4 with only 7 runners

Good luck today!

And Valonia in the 3.15 at 5/2.  Has Adz favourite jockey on board.

Bet this at Goodwood and we were gonna lump on today but we're hoping for 4 to 1. Not sure now. See what happens later as pretty good layers at Ayr so it could well drift before race if they want to get it. Really nice horse Valonia.

don't see either drifting out too much, but if it does get bigger at start, then you have bigger price with Hills and if 3/1 and offer, looks ok

just depends on how much you want to get on

[tikay]

Don't make this the fourth winning tip you miss out on from me....

Bolton to beat Brighton - 3.1/1. Incredible value. Bolton are playing better than results suggest, and we can't score to save our lives. Freedman ex Palarse will want to get one over us too.

We have NINE players out injured (We have the third smallest squad in the league as it is), including our WHOLE midfield!

Andrews - first 11 CM
Bridcutt - first 11 DM
Orlandi - first 11 AM
Kemy - first 11 CM
JFC - back-up behind Orlandi
Ulloa - first 11 FW
CMS - back up striker
Hoskins - reserve striker
Ankergen - reserve gk

Cheeky £10er can pay for your wine and dinner tonight

Thanks Anthony.

On the face of it, over 3/1 looks big, though the bookies surely know all this.

Any views anyone?

Seems a reasonable tenner.  

Sorry we missed your 4 straight winners. We did get on the two before though, which both lost.

[tikay]

We've done the two Wm Hill Offer things, put up by Aaron & Doobs, thanks guys.

Both £25 Win, Wm Hill Mobile, Money Back as Free Bet if 2nd.


2.05 Ayr, Sharestan, @ 11/4, Guaranteed Price

3.15 Ayr, Valonia @ 5/2, Guaranteed Price

ON


21 Sep 13 / 12:16

Stake

3:15 Ayr – Valonia @ Guaranteed Price (5/2)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000661/F



21 Sep 13 / 12:15

Stake

2:05 Ayr – Sharestan @ Guaranteed Price (11/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000660/F