Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Saracens v Toulouse Heineken Cup Fri @ Wembley Stadium

French teams set the standard in European rugby these days: no salary cap in operation, a lucrative TV deal and they are awash with money, to cause a perpetual talent drain away from the UK and Ireland, and Southern Hemisphere into French domestic rugby

Saracens though are one of the English teams that can compete with the French. Saracens are amongst the most, ahem, creative of clubs within the English salary cap which allows them a big squad, full of stars, and typically a big influx from South Africa

Saracens play Toulouse in the Heineken Cup on Friday night (Sky Sports 1, 7.45pm).

The match is one of two games that Saracens will play at Wembley Stadium this season and they are 8/15 favourites for this Pool 3 clash.

Last weekend's opening round of games in the Heineken Cup saw Saracens secure a hard fought 23-17 winaway at Connacht and Toulouse  demolished Zebre 38-5, which saw them run in four tries for a bonus point.

Saracens have started the new season in electric fashion as they have won all six of their matches in all competitions, which is a run that has been good enough to see them sit five points clear at the top of the Aviva Premiership table. In domestic rugby, their skill with the salary cap gives them a real advantage, and it shows more than ever this season. Even when off-form Owen Farrell is one of the best kickers around and will keep them in contention in most games this season

They are so strong physically and they will be confident of over-powering a Toulouse side that don't quite boast the same creative flair of other top French sides like Toulon and Clermont. Saracens are 10/11 -4 point handicap and I think they will cover this

Toulouse, missed out on a place in the quarter-finals of this competition by just one point last season. They started this new season in woeful fashion but they have improved of late to move up to third in their domestic league. The French side have won four of their last five matches in all competitions but they have been absolutely abysmal on their travels, having lost all four of their away games in the Top-14 and going to Wembley and winning is a big ask.

Recommendation

£55 Saracens to cover a -4 point handicap @ 10/11 with a number of firms

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/heineken-cup/saracens-v-toulouse/handicaps

Stan James in a valiant attempt to win ice cream rugby punter market share go Evens across both sides of Rugby handicaps at the moment, if you can get on

[horseplayer]

courtesy of Alan Alger on twitter

"108 of 168 matches is the sample size"

Pretty sufficient i would suggest i have had a small bet

[tikay]

Saracens v Toulouse Heineken Cup Fri @ Wembley Stadium

French teams set the standard in European rugby these days: no salary cap in operation, a lucrative TV deal and they are awash with money, to cause a perpetual talent drain away from the UK and Ireland, and Southern Hemisphere into French domestic rugby

Saracens though are one of the English teams that can compete with the French. Saracens are amongst the most, ahem, creative of clubs within the English salary cap which allows them a big squad, full of stars, and typically a big influx from South Africa

Saracens play Toulouse in the Heineken Cup on Friday night (Sky Sports 1, 7.45pm).

The match is one of two games that Saracens will play at Wembley Stadium this season and they are 8/15 favourites for this Pool 3 clash.

Last weekend's opening round of games in the Heineken Cup saw Saracens secure a hard fought 23-17 winaway at Connacht and Toulouse  demolished Zebre 38-5, which saw them run in four tries for a bonus point.

Saracens have started the new season in electric fashion as they have won all six of their matches in all competitions, which is a run that has been good enough to see them sit five points clear at the top of the Aviva Premiership table. In domestic rugby, their skill with the salary cap gives them a real advantage, and it shows more than ever this season. Even when off-form Owen Farrell is one of the best kickers around and will keep them in contention in most games this season

They are so strong physically and they will be confident of over-powering a Toulouse side that don't quite boast the same creative flair of other top French sides like Toulon and Clermont. Saracens are 10/11 -4 point handicap and I think they will cover this

Toulouse, missed out on a place in the quarter-finals of this competition by just one point last season. They started this new season in woeful fashion but they have improved of late to move up to third in their domestic league. The French side have won four of their last five matches in all competitions but they have been absolutely abysmal on their travels, having lost all four of their away games in the Top-14 and going to Wembley and winning is a big ask.

Recommendation

£55 Saracens to cover a -4 point handicap @ 10/11 with a number of firms

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/heineken-cup/saracens-v-toulouse/handicaps

Stan James in a valiant attempt to win ice cream rugby punter market share go Evens across both sides of Rugby handicaps at the moment, if you can get on

Good work, Rich, thanks.

Nice diplomartic wordage there, I assume.....


Saracens are amongst the most, ahem, creative of clubs within the English salary cap

BET PLACED

[tikay]

courtesy of Alan Alger on twitter

"108 of 168 matches is the sample size"

Pretty sufficient i would suggest i have had a small bet

Good Lord.

108 Red Cards in 168 games? That's incredible.

We'd better have a dabble then.

Thanks John.

[Doobs]

I do confess to not having seen Crewe this season, but know they had a very unexpected win last time out.  I'm just basing it off how morbid the Bristol City forums are really and the fact they haven't won.


 

People in Bristol tend to be morbid generally though, much the same as Birmingham folk really.

Has anything happened to Rachel Riley? She's drifted to 46 on Betty. Perhaps people have started accidentally to take notice of me. Doobs will put them right, I'm sure and she'll be 7/2 by Monday (She won't. She really won't)

 I am on Nat at 8/1 and Sophie at 7/2.  Rachel seems the correct price.  

[horseplayer]

courtesy of Alan Alger on twitter

"108 of 168 matches is the sample size"

Pretty sufficient i would suggest i have had a small bet

Good Lord.

108 Red Cards in 168 games? That's incredible.

We'd better have a dabble then.

Thanks John.

The first person i saw quoting the 60 odd % was not Alan i believe Alans records a lot more (not that i dont believe the other tweeter just not to sure who he is)

On the same basis i see paddy power are offering 50/1 both sides to have a red card which on the figures above also looks worth an interest

[tikay]

courtesy of Alan Alger on twitter

"108 of 168 matches is the sample size"

Pretty sufficient i would suggest i have had a small bet

BET PLACED

[Chompy]

Mukhadram runs in the Champion Stakes.

The ground at Ascot is soft at the moment but only the odd shower is forecast for the next two days, so it should dry out a bit.

We're not going to be left in a terrible spot with the 12-1. At worst we'll be able to lay it back at the same price, either most of it or all of it. Leave till Saturday morning imo.

I'm not a fan of stats but would suggest we ought to be having more than a nibble on the red card bet given those numbers.

[tikay]

Saracens v Toulouse Heineken Cup Fri @ Wembley Stadium

French teams set the standard in European rugby these days: no salary cap in operation, a lucrative TV deal and they are awash with money, to cause a perpetual talent drain away from the UK and Ireland, and Southern Hemisphere into French domestic rugby

Saracens though are one of the English teams that can compete with the French. Saracens are amongst the most, ahem, creative of clubs within the English salary cap which allows them a big squad, full of stars, and typically a big influx from South Africa

Saracens play Toulouse in the Heineken Cup on Friday night (Sky Sports 1, 7.45pm).

The match is one of two games that Saracens will play at Wembley Stadium this season and they are 8/15 favourites for this Pool 3 clash.

Last weekend's opening round of games in the Heineken Cup saw Saracens secure a hard fought 23-17 winaway at Connacht and Toulouse  demolished Zebre 38-5, which saw them run in four tries for a bonus point.

Saracens have started the new season in electric fashion as they have won all six of their matches in all competitions, which is a run that has been good enough to see them sit five points clear at the top of the Aviva Premiership table. In domestic rugby, their skill with the salary cap gives them a real advantage, and it shows more than ever this season. Even when off-form Owen Farrell is one of the best kickers around and will keep them in contention in most games this season

They are so strong physically and they will be confident of over-powering a Toulouse side that don't quite boast the same creative flair of other top French sides like Toulon and Clermont. Saracens are 10/11 -4 point handicap and I think they will cover this

Toulouse, missed out on a place in the quarter-finals of this competition by just one point last season. They started this new season in woeful fashion but they have improved of late to move up to third in their domestic league. The French side have won four of their last five matches in all competitions but they have been absolutely abysmal on their travels, having lost all four of their away games in the Top-14 and going to Wembley and winning is a big ask.

Recommendation

£55 Saracens to cover a -4 point handicap @ 10/11 with a number of firms

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/heineken-cup/saracens-v-toulouse/handicaps

Stan James in a valiant attempt to win ice cream rugby punter market share go Evens across both sides of Rugby handicaps at the moment, if you can get on

We have the two cover bets for "Top Try Scorer" playing for Toulouse in this, too, I think?

[tikay]

Mukhadram runs in the Champion Stakes.

The ground at Ascot is soft at the moment but only the odd shower is forecast for the next two days, so it should dry out a bit.

We're not going to be left in a terrible spot with the 12-1. At worst we'll be able to lay it back at the same price, either most of it or all of it. Leave till Saturday morning imo.

I'm not a fan of stats but would suggest we ought to be having more than a nibble on the red card bet given those numbers.

What would you suggest, then? We could use a nice winner, my horses have all run bad this week.

[Chompy]

Shouldn't back horses - mug's game.

£50 @ 4-1 seems sensible, and a chuckaway fiver at 50s on both losing a player.

[tikay]

Shouldn't back horses - mug's game.

£50 @ 4-1 seems sensible, and a chuckaway fiver at 50s on both losing a player.

Tell me about it. They look so good in the paddock, & cantering down, too. They must talk a good game.

£50? FIFTY QUID?

Are you mad?

Sheesh.

[tikay]

Shouldn't back horses - mug's game.

£50 @ 4-1 seems sensible, and a chuckaway fiver at 50s on both losing a player.

Sigh.

Glory be for PP Restricting us.

BETS PLACED

[TightEnd]

Saracens v Toulouse Heineken Cup Fri @ Wembley Stadium

French teams set the standard in European rugby these days: no salary cap in operation, a lucrative TV deal and they are awash with money, to cause a perpetual talent drain away from the UK and Ireland, and Southern Hemisphere into French domestic rugby

Saracens though are one of the English teams that can compete with the French. Saracens are amongst the most, ahem, creative of clubs within the English salary cap which allows them a big squad, full of stars, and typically a big influx from South Africa

Saracens play Toulouse in the Heineken Cup on Friday night (Sky Sports 1, 7.45pm).

The match is one of two games that Saracens will play at Wembley Stadium this season and they are 8/15 favourites for this Pool 3 clash.

Last weekend's opening round of games in the Heineken Cup saw Saracens secure a hard fought 23-17 winaway at Connacht and Toulouse  demolished Zebre 38-5, which saw them run in four tries for a bonus point.

Saracens have started the new season in electric fashion as they have won all six of their matches in all competitions, which is a run that has been good enough to see them sit five points clear at the top of the Aviva Premiership table. In domestic rugby, their skill with the salary cap gives them a real advantage, and it shows more than ever this season. Even when off-form Owen Farrell is one of the best kickers around and will keep them in contention in most games this season

They are so strong physically and they will be confident of over-powering a Toulouse side that don't quite boast the same creative flair of other top French sides like Toulon and Clermont. Saracens are 10/11 -4 point handicap and I think they will cover this

Toulouse, missed out on a place in the quarter-finals of this competition by just one point last season. They started this new season in woeful fashion but they have improved of late to move up to third in their domestic league. The French side have won four of their last five matches in all competitions but they have been absolutely abysmal on their travels, having lost all four of their away games in the Top-14 and going to Wembley and winning is a big ask.

Recommendation

£55 Saracens to cover a -4 point handicap @ 10/11 with a number of firms

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/heineken-cup/saracens-v-toulouse/handicaps

Stan James in a valiant attempt to win ice cream rugby punter market share go Evens across both sides of Rugby handicaps at the moment, if you can get on

We have the two cover bets for "Top Try Scorer" playing for Toulouse in this, too, I think?

We do.Medard who opened with 2 against Zebre, and Gear

In truth, this might be a game of penalty kicks.

The essence of the try bet on those two was the four games against the two weaker sides in the Pool, Connacht and Zebre, which might see a lot of tries and increase the chances of two teams, Saracens and Toulouse going through from the group compared to other more equal groups where teams will be taking points off each other

Medard and Gear are worth a watch tomorrow thoug

[Chompy]

Shouldn't back horses - mug's game.

£50 @ 4-1 seems sensible, and a chuckaway fiver at 50s on both losing a player.

Sigh.

Glory be for PP Restricting us.

BETS PLACED

Tiddlearsey £20 or a respectable £50?