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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16575544 times)
tikay
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« Reply #58965 on: November 09, 2013, 04:07:53 PM »

We gave "Four Winds" in the 4.05 @ 10/1, it is now 5/1 favourite.
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« Reply #58966 on: November 09, 2013, 04:09:35 PM »

My NFL Column this week talks about the Bengals. We are well placed, but there are clouds on the horizon due to injuries

"Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

Every team is dealing with injuries at this point in the season, but the Bengals have been hit with huge injury problems.

All-Pro defensive tackle Geno Atkins went down with a season-ending ACL injury last week to become the fourth defensive starter (along with No. 1 corner Leon Hall, safety Taylor Mays and Defensive End Robert Geathers) to land on the Injured Reserve. Starting middle linebacker Rey Maualuga and Andy Dalton’s blind-side Andrew Whitworth missed last week’s game and will both probably be on the sidelines again this Sunday when the Bengals visit the Ravens.

That said, the Bengals are in a relatively comfortable place in the AFC North standings. They’re 6-3, and the rest of the division — Browns (4-5), Ravens (3-5) and Steelers (2-6) — is a mess. However, a loss on Sunday might open the door for Baltimore to sneak back into the race, especially with a second Bengals/Ravens game on the last game of the season.

The biggest thing working against that potential Ravens revival? They’re just not that good this season. Their biggest issue is the running game which  has resulted in Baltimore averaging a league-low 2.78 yards a carry this year However all the indications are that Ray Rice is finally healthy and ready to have a far more effective second half of the season. With Atkins missing, the stars are aligned for this to begin on Sunday

To see the Ravens priced as 2 point underdogs on the spread to a Bengals team so beat up is an opportunity. The Ravens need to win badly, they are at home and the spread offered reflects the risks"

http://www.betpal.com/nfl-week-ten-betting-preview

Haven't had a bet yet but this is also one of the few I like this week.

I think this game may be a good opportunity to introduce Fred to the delights of NFL teasers.  This is a really great game to use in teasers.  Can anyone give me an idea which books Fred has access to offer teasers (if any)

You'll have to explain this to me, Stu. Use short words, please.

Okay - so teasers are bets offered by some bookmakers (they are very popular in the States) in American football and basketball where in return for having to bet more teams you get a better handicap.  In NFL it is generally 6,6.5 or 7 points.  So lets take the example of the Ravens and Denver games.  The Ravens +2 10/11 and Denver are -7 10/11.  In this example you can "tease" Baltimore to +8 and Denver to -1 with a 6 point teaser and they both would have to cover the news spreads for you to get paid at, say, 10/11.  95% of the time in NFL and almost always in college football and all basketball these bets are a bookmakers benefit but there are certain spots where they represent very good value.  Normally this is when you can tease across key pointspreads such as 3 and 7 but also sometimes when the totals are very low and each point becomes worth more.  The more I think about this the more I realise the potential for epic misclickages....and to be honest I am not sure which firms offer them in the UK but they do offer some value in certain spots and I think the Ravens and potentially Tampa Bay and Philadelphia are good "teaser" teams this week. 

I am in Vegas this weekend and if someone wants to direct me on how to do this - am happy to make a bet for Fred if Tikay ok's it on these teaser things.
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tikay
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« Reply #58967 on: November 09, 2013, 04:14:09 PM »

Half time, Leicester 0, Notts Forest 2.

The Motorway Junction theory proving its worth.
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« Reply #58968 on: November 09, 2013, 04:20:44 PM »

We gave "Four Winds" in the 4.05 @ 10/1, it is now 5/1 favourite.

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

Won't have a word said against Chompy, me.
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« Reply #58969 on: November 09, 2013, 04:24:35 PM »

Nice end to the turf season wp!!


Fred taking a strange turn this weekend.

Rugby bets based on new words

Football bets based on Motorway Junctions

Horse bets that the recommender doesn't fancy.

Its very hard to keep up!!
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« Reply #58970 on: November 09, 2013, 04:25:14 PM »

We gave "Four Winds" in the 4.05 @ 10/1, it is now 5/1 favourite.

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

Won't have a word said against Chompy, me.

win or place,please?

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tikay
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« Reply #58971 on: November 09, 2013, 04:29:41 PM »


Suarezzzzzzzzzzz

SUARREZZZZZZZZZZZZ
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« Reply #58972 on: November 09, 2013, 04:30:31 PM »

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« Reply #58973 on: November 09, 2013, 04:31:47 PM »

We gave "Four Winds" in the 4.05 @ 10/1, it is now 5/1 favourite.

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

Won't have a word said against Chompy, me.

win or place,please?



Chicken Dinner
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #58974 on: November 09, 2013, 04:31:58 PM »

not a penny on here (would have at that price but no pp ac)

hope a few freddies got the lot

One of the main things i have changed for the better over the recent years is being a lot more price orientated, still dont "like" the horse (hung allover the track probably still has physical issues) but that price was just silly
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tikay
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« Reply #58975 on: November 09, 2013, 04:32:51 PM »

4.10 Doncaster tommorow

10/1 paddy power four winds suggest £10 eway

price thing really, likely to bear near fav by the start i think

if price gone by time you see this Tikay then no bet please

Thanks John.

We got the 10/1, but not the £10 EW. £3.22 EW it is.

PS - It is the 4.05, not 4.10, in case anyone cant find the race.

BET PLACED



BUMPED FOR TIGHTY.

Apologies to horsey, it was his bet, not the odious Chompy's.
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« Reply #58976 on: November 09, 2013, 04:49:51 PM »

Watford lead 2-1.
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« Reply #58977 on: November 09, 2013, 04:56:45 PM »

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #58978 on: November 09, 2013, 04:58:31 PM »

Real Madrid won 5-1 today with the Welsh Galactico scoring a total of 0 goals in his 90mins. He's now on 3 goals after match week 13.
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« Reply #58979 on: November 09, 2013, 05:12:15 PM »

Injury time equaliser for Boro :-(
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