Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

4 sixes at half time. Slightly unlucky as Hales, Klinger and Ferguson got out cheaply.

6 more required in Scorchers innings.

EIGHT now, with 10 overs remaining.......

We really could use this one getting home!


http://www.espncricinfo.com/big-bash-league-2013/engine/current/match/654061.html

NINE now!

Go on Lumbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb

[tikay]

I have spent quite a bit of time on todays football cards I have a few selections were I just think the price is plane wrong and I have 1 from Scotland were I think the books have been lazy.  

FA Cup - happy for these to be corrected by anyone.  I started off by pricing up each game and then scoured the net for prices.  

Southampton v Burnley - I had Burnley in at 9/2 chances, still a big price  but was shocked to see we can get 6/1 with a number of the books.  I am not saying this is 100% value but instinctively the price just seems off.  I think Southampton are being priced on the back of their early season form but they have been well out of sorts of late.  

Stoke v Leicester - I think I read on here before that the Championship sides would be pushing for cup runs to help balance the books due to the new fair play rules however, my line of thought on this game was that Pearson was more likely to make changes in this match than Mark Hughes. I think promotion to the Premier League is far more important to Leicester than any cup game.  Leicester have a bigger squad than most Championship sides and I am sure Tight End will be able to offer some guidance here but I think some of the rotations they make are questionable.  I made Stoke around the 11/8 and we can beat that in a number of spots.  I think the books have priced this game up on Leicester fielding their strongest XI I personally expect changes and for tthat reason I am backing Stoke.  I might top up on my single or reverse my position when team news is out though.  

Barnsley v Coventry - This for me was more of a coin flip, Barnsley are another team shot in confidence and Danny Wilson hasn't worked his magic on return - as of yet - Stephen Pressley on the otherhand is an inspirational leader.  I dont particularly like him but I think his record as a manager/player is pretty decent.  As a player he done well in cup competitions, in Scotland as a manager he took all competitions seriously.  He is in charge of a team that is playing some good football just now they are scoring goals and generally doing ok.  I thought the 9/4 we can get with Betfair is a really nice price.  

Hamilton v Queen of the South - I think this is a classic piece of lazy bookmaking.  This game has been priced up purely on league positions.  Queens had a really poor start to the season.  They had lost a manager who had got them promoted and wone a cup competition and brought in a guy who lacked experience.  However over the past 2 months things have started to come together, they have picked up decent points against teams who's league positions have been better.  In addition to that they have recently picked up their first away win since October in tricky conditions at Cowdenbeath.  Hamilton on the otherhand had a really good start to the season but over the past 2 months the wheels have come off, they did beat Queens at Palmerston in a game that QOS dominated.  The 14/5 available with Coral is a stand out.

My bets are a bit ice creamy today, as was pointed out yesterday its good to give a bit of action to books to keep accounts active ;-)

£2 Lucky 15 Burnley 6/1, Stoke 13/10, Coventry 15/8 (sigh), Queen of the South 13/5
Lay Southampton £40 @ 1.55
Back Stoke £50 @7/5
Back Coventry @ £30 @9/4
Back QoS £25 @ 14/5

These are not all selections for Fred, but I wouldn't put you off.   If i were to suggest that Fred got involved I think the best bets are Stoke and QoS.

Multiples, accas, we love 'em. PUNISH THEM.

All aboard the Lucky 15, woo-woo.

BET PLACED

Tighty,

To save you wading though this & working it all out, the total invested was £30, & it returned £23.18, here is the settlement slip....


04/01/2014 0000508 Lucky 15 (To win)  15 £30.00   Stoke v Leicester Match betting  Stoke  5/4 £23.19
          Southampton v Burnley Match betting Burnley  13/2  
          Barnsley v Coventry Match betting Coventry  15/8  
          Hamilton 3-1 Queen of the South Match betting Queen of the South  23/10  

[tikay]

The discussion is super valid regarding multiples, if it preserves your accounts tikay it is definitlely a positive. Has been fairly annoying see you say on a number of occasions that you've managed to get £3.43 on a bet or whatever.

What might be a little fun way of throwing these spanners at the bookmakers could be to pick out 4 or 5 tipsters every Saturday and they give you their best football bet for you to throw a couple of chunks at in an accy? Could add some extra banter too with Chompy busting the coupon every week.

Hi Scott,

That's not the worst idea I've heard, to be honest, be incred fun. Assume we allocated, say, £30 each week in a Lucky15, what is the worst that can happen? If we can't afford to have a bit of fun for £30 each Saturday, then we are doing it wrong.

We could abuse Chompy when the other 3 all win & he gets his one wrong, & it costs us a few grand, too. That'd be incred.

 

[maldini32]

Bink

[tikay]

Bink

WINNER!

Yikes, we needed that.

Very well done, thank you.

We had £60 @ 5/6.

[Doobs]

I have spent quite a bit of time on todays football cards I have a few selections were I just think the price is plane wrong and I have 1 from Scotland were I think the books have been lazy.  

FA Cup - happy for these to be corrected by anyone.  I started off by pricing up each game and then scoured the net for prices.  

Southampton v Burnley - I had Burnley in at 9/2 chances, still a big price  but was shocked to see we can get 6/1 with a number of the books.  I am not saying this is 100% value but instinctively the price just seems off.  I think Southampton are being priced on the back of their early season form but they have been well out of sorts of late.  

Stoke v Leicester - I think I read on here before that the Championship sides would be pushing for cup runs to help balance the books due to the new fair play rules however, my line of thought on this game was that Pearson was more likely to make changes in this match than Mark Hughes. I think promotion to the Premier League is far more important to Leicester than any cup game.  Leicester have a bigger squad than most Championship sides and I am sure Tight End will be able to offer some guidance here but I think some of the rotations they make are questionable.  I made Stoke around the 11/8 and we can beat that in a number of spots.  I think the books have priced this game up on Leicester fielding their strongest XI I personally expect changes and for tthat reason I am backing Stoke.  I might top up on my single or reverse my position when team news is out though.  

Barnsley v Coventry - This for me was more of a coin flip, Barnsley are another team shot in confidence and Danny Wilson hasn't worked his magic on return - as of yet - Stephen Pressley on the otherhand is an inspirational leader.  I dont particularly like him but I think his record as a manager/player is pretty decent.  As a player he done well in cup competitions, in Scotland as a manager he took all competitions seriously.  He is in charge of a team that is playing some good football just now they are scoring goals and generally doing ok.  I thought the 9/4 we can get with Betfair is a really nice price.  

Hamilton v Queen of the South - I think this is a classic piece of lazy bookmaking.  This game has been priced up purely on league positions.  Queens had a really poor start to the season.  They had lost a manager who had got them promoted and wone a cup competition and brought in a guy who lacked experience.  However over the past 2 months things have started to come together, they have picked up decent points against teams who's league positions have been better.  In addition to that they have recently picked up their first away win since October in tricky conditions at Cowdenbeath.  Hamilton on the otherhand had a really good start to the season but over the past 2 months the wheels have come off, they did beat Queens at Palmerston in a game that QOS dominated.  The 14/5 available with Coral is a stand out.

My bets are a bit ice creamy today, as was pointed out yesterday its good to give a bit of action to books to keep accounts active ;-)

£2 Lucky 15 Burnley 6/1, Stoke 13/10, Coventry 15/8 (sigh), Queen of the South 13/5
Lay Southampton £40 @ 1.55
Back Stoke £50 @7/5
Back Coventry @ £30 @9/4
Back QoS £25 @ 14/5

These are not all selections for Fred, but I wouldn't put you off.   If i were to suggest that Fred got involved I think the best bets are Stoke and QoS.

Multiples, accas, we love 'em. PUNISH THEM.

All aboard the Lucky 15, woo-woo.

BET PLACED

Tighty,

To save you wading though this & working it all out, the total invested was £30, & it returned £23.18, here is the settlement slip....


04/01/2014 0000508 Lucky 15 (To win)  15 £30.00   Stoke v Leicester Match betting  Stoke  5/4 £23.19
          Southampton v Burnley Match betting Burnley  13/2  
          Barnsley v Coventry Match betting Coventry  15/8  
          Hamilton 3-1 Queen of the South Match betting Queen of the South  23/10  

Freaky super Nelson on that post timing.  

Just catching up on yesterday, some interesting betting.  

[Tal]

The bet on San Francisco-Green Bay having the highest total score has good and bad news.

The good news is the New Orleans-Philadelphia game only had 50 points total in it.

The bad news is the other game finished 45-44, so just the 90 points to find tonight.


Worse still, that has sent the Eagles out of the running for the Superbowl and iirc, Fred has had a bet on them lifting the Vincent Lombardi trophy.

[tikay]

I have spent quite a bit of time on todays football cards I have a few selections were I just think the price is plane wrong and I have 1 from Scotland were I think the books have been lazy.  

FA Cup - happy for these to be corrected by anyone.  I started off by pricing up each game and then scoured the net for prices.  

Southampton v Burnley - I had Burnley in at 9/2 chances, still a big price  but was shocked to see we can get 6/1 with a number of the books.  I am not saying this is 100% value but instinctively the price just seems off.  I think Southampton are being priced on the back of their early season form but they have been well out of sorts of late.  

Stoke v Leicester - I think I read on here before that the Championship sides would be pushing for cup runs to help balance the books due to the new fair play rules however, my line of thought on this game was that Pearson was more likely to make changes in this match than Mark Hughes. I think promotion to the Premier League is far more important to Leicester than any cup game.  Leicester have a bigger squad than most Championship sides and I am sure Tight End will be able to offer some guidance here but I think some of the rotations they make are questionable.  I made Stoke around the 11/8 and we can beat that in a number of spots.  I think the books have priced this game up on Leicester fielding their strongest XI I personally expect changes and for tthat reason I am backing Stoke.  I might top up on my single or reverse my position when team news is out though.  

Barnsley v Coventry - This for me was more of a coin flip, Barnsley are another team shot in confidence and Danny Wilson hasn't worked his magic on return - as of yet - Stephen Pressley on the otherhand is an inspirational leader.  I dont particularly like him but I think his record as a manager/player is pretty decent.  As a player he done well in cup competitions, in Scotland as a manager he took all competitions seriously.  He is in charge of a team that is playing some good football just now they are scoring goals and generally doing ok.  I thought the 9/4 we can get with Betfair is a really nice price.  

Hamilton v Queen of the South - I think this is a classic piece of lazy bookmaking.  This game has been priced up purely on league positions.  Queens had a really poor start to the season.  They had lost a manager who had got them promoted and wone a cup competition and brought in a guy who lacked experience.  However over the past 2 months things have started to come together, they have picked up decent points against teams who's league positions have been better.  In addition to that they have recently picked up their first away win since October in tricky conditions at Cowdenbeath.  Hamilton on the otherhand had a really good start to the season but over the past 2 months the wheels have come off, they did beat Queens at Palmerston in a game that QOS dominated.  The 14/5 available with Coral is a stand out.

My bets are a bit ice creamy today, as was pointed out yesterday its good to give a bit of action to books to keep accounts active ;-)

£2 Lucky 15 Burnley 6/1, Stoke 13/10, Coventry 15/8 (sigh), Queen of the South 13/5
Lay Southampton £40 @ 1.55
Back Stoke £50 @7/5
Back Coventry @ £30 @9/4
Back QoS £25 @ 14/5

These are not all selections for Fred, but I wouldn't put you off.   If i were to suggest that Fred got involved I think the best bets are Stoke and QoS.

Multiples, accas, we love 'em. PUNISH THEM.

All aboard the Lucky 15, woo-woo.

BET PLACED

Tighty,

To save you wading though this & working it all out, the total invested was £30, & it returned £23.18, here is the settlement slip....


04/01/2014 0000508 Lucky 15 (To win)  15 £30.00   Stoke v Leicester Match betting  Stoke  5/4 £23.19
          Southampton v Burnley Match betting Burnley  13/2  
          Barnsley v Coventry Match betting Coventry  15/8  
          Hamilton 3-1 Queen of the South Match betting Queen of the South  23/10  

Freaky super Nelson on that post timing.  

Just catching up on yesterday, some interesting betting.  

Nelson, well spotted!

Yes, some "interesting" bets yesterday. Not my greatest day at the Fred office, safe to say. Never mind, nobody died. Except poor Eusobio, who I admired so much.

[tikay]

The bet on San Francisco-Green Bay having the highest total score has good and bad news.

The good news is the New Orleans-Philadelphia game only had 50 points total in it.

The bad news is the other game finished 45-44, so just the 90 points to find tonight.


Worse still, that has sent the Eagles out of the running for the Superbowl and iirc, Fred has had a bet on them lifting the Vincent Lombardi trophy.

No problem. Ish.....

[TightEnd]

Who was the Lucky15 with please?

[moonandback]

Arizona survived a bit of a scare last night beating Washington 71 - 62 after being down as many as  6 points midway through the 2nd half Nick "bunnies" Johnson led the team with 24 pts.



 Some other teams in the top 10 struggled also #2 Syracuse won an ugly low scoring game 49-44 #6 Oklahoma state were beaten by Kansas state and making all the Headlines were the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame who beat #7 Duke in a thriller 79-77.

[tikay]

Couple of mini semi tiddlearse suggestions

Paddy's first td offer:

£5 Zach Ertz @ 16/1 (Philly)

And VC haven't updated their top scoring team for the huge line move in the Indy/KC match.

8/1 KC has to be a bet. Suggest £10,000.

Fixed my tiddlearse.

RIP, Fred.

[tikay]

Couple of mini semi tiddlearse suggestions

Paddy's first td offer:

£5 Zach Ertz @ 16/1 (Philly)

And VC haven't updated their top scoring team for the huge line move in the Indy/KC match.

8/1 KC has to be a bet. Suggest £10,000.

Fixed my tiddlearse.

If only!

Looking good so far, yeah?

How many points on the board by the end of the game? 60, more?

Nah, they'll take the foot off the pedal unless Indy come back.

Running the ball to take time off the clock.

45 could easily be enough to win it though.

38 or 41 even might be good.

Uncanny prediction.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

To give you a bit of cheer, there is some value pie to nibble on. Our bet on Djokovic to win the Aussie open next week is strengthening. We have him at 6/4 and there is a bit of 5/4 about but it is mostly Evs and may hit odds on by the start. None of the other "big" players are performing at all and I think he is more likely to lose to a real outsider than Nadal, Federer or Murray.

Top work hector, thank you.

No shortage of cheer here, all good. A bad day now & then does no harm, quite the opposite in fact.

[tikay]

Who was the Lucky15 with please?

Sorry, Ladbrokes.