Tips for Tikay

[maldini32]

Would Gerrard have got a yellow card for this?

I remember Vucinic do that a few times when he was at Roma.

[Marky147]

Ladbrokes went 10/1 Dodging Bullets earlier for their special today. 6/1 best everywhere.

[Rubbish2407]

Elise Christie was unlucky yesterday.



Disqualified into 4th place but has a shot at the 1000m at the weekend.

This guy was unlucky as well.



Performing in the slopestyle and his trousers fell down?

You break your foot two weeks ago, what do you do?



If you're Justyna Kowalczyk you win Gold.

Here's hoping Lizzie Yarnold can do the same today.



She's broken the course record and well on her way.

One for Tikay.



Sochi at night from the Space Station.

The Power got turned over again last night.



Adrian Lewis inflicting the damage this time.

Mitchell Johnson is inflicting his own type of damage on South Africa.



We weren't on either.

KP is the only English Player in the IPL.



No bets or even a mention on Fred as yet?

A Bear fighting a Man.



No reason to be on here other than I found it quite amusing.

This one's quite funny as well. Don't watch if you abhor swearing and blaspheming.



Later.

[Tonji]

Not the best start from Pinturault, down nearly 2.5 sec from the leader after the downhill. He'll need an exceptional slalom to ski into Gold, not easy with the soft snow conditions.

[Tal]

The bear v man thing. Was that a John West advert?

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £44.04

Outstanding Bets £3293.67

Free Bet One to use with William Hill by tomorrow which we will run around like headless chickens trying to find a home for in 24 hours time

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=19

A profit of £30 yesterday. Kane Williamson top scored for New Zealand in Wellington (47 in a total of 192), at 7/2, for a £70 profit . This was offset by Phil Taylor losing again to Adrian Lewis for a £40 loss

Elsewhere in the cricket Shikar Dhawan is 71* and Rohit Sharma is yet to bat so its like a 320 loss to come there, but the match will produce a nice profit for us overall

As Tonji reports we are up against it with M Pintaurault after the first run of the supercombined

[McGlashan]

Derek Chisora vs Kevin Johnson should be an interesting boxing match on Saturday night.

It's Del Boy's marauding style versus Kingpin's extremely minimal effort. Chisora is the 1/5 favourite, that's 4/7 to win by decision and 3-1 for the stoppage. The price for it to go the distance looks all wrong to me, given how quickly the lazy Johnson let's his opponents into range it will make for a very long 12 rounds.

Johnson has only lost 4/34 bouts, 2 of his losses came in his last 3 fights and he doesn't look to have a lot of fight left in him. He's still a well known name but too much has been made of the fact he's never been stopped. In those losses his opponents have been comfortably ahead on the scorecard and did not need to go looking for the knockout. Chisora won't be looking for a points victory, recently he's been so over eager to blow his opponents out of there he has completely ignored the jab in favour of constant power shots. It's not a balanced plan but it should be effective when you consider Johnson's defense (or lack of).

When Johnson see's punches coming he's not fond of moving out the way. Instead he forms an unorthodox guard with his freakishly long arms up head to toe (one hand pointing north, one pointing south) across his torso and arches his back, moving his head out of range. It's strangely effective at distance but not when up close, he repeatedly let Solomon Haumono sit on him and crucially he never held or counter punched. He looks tailor made for Chisora's smothering style of working the body up close and throwing big looping punches round the guard.

Suggested bet £40 on Chisora by stoppage, 3-1 general is good, 4.3 on Betfair's Sportsbook is better.

[Tal]

Just to confirm, if we bet on it, we don't have to watch it, right?

It is actually quite impressive how you managed to make that fight sound interesting, when I'd probably rather watch an episode of Splash than a Chisora fight. The division is a mess as a whole, granted.

[Bad Beat]

 How about Cloudy Too in tomorrow's Ascot Chase for the free bet with Hills?

 I have been looking at the race with the intention of taking on Riverside Theatre, (who I love to oppose), and Captain Chris, (who I concede will be way better round here and could easily win), with an each-way bet.

 Medermit is back after 674 days and surely won't be knocked around, Hunt Ball is back here after adventures abroad, Kauto Stone is out of form and possibly doesn't stay, Sunny Ledgend is massively outclassed.

 I'm not certain Cloudy Too is the strongest each-way bet but it could easily win and it's 10/1 with Hills and 11.0-12.0 on Betfair so perfect for a free bet.

[Doobs]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £44.04

Outstanding Bets £3293.67

Free Bet One to use with William Hill by tomorrow which we will run around like headless chickens trying to find a home for in 24 hours time

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=19

A profit of £30 yesterday. Kane Williamson top scored for New Zealand in Wellington (47 in a total of 192), at 7/2, for a £70 profit . This was offset by Phil Taylor losing again to Adrian Lewis for a £40 loss

Elsewhere in the cricket Shikar Dhawan is 71* and Rohit Sharma is yet to bat so its like a 320 loss to come there, but the match will produce a nice profit for us overall

As Tonji reports we are up against it with M Pintaurault after the first run of the supercombined

We put up a free bet earlier in the week, I didn't realise it wasn't backed.  Will have a look later.

Edit.  What Neil said.

[McGlashan]

Just to confirm, if we bet on it, we don't have to watch it, right?

It is actually quite impressive how you managed to make that fight sound interesting, when I'd probably rather watch an episode of Splash than a Chisora fight. The division is a mess as a whole, granted.

If you don't like watching Derek Chisora fight then under no circumstances should you consider watching a Kevin Johnson bout, you have been warned.

[Tal]

Just to confirm, if we bet on it, we don't have to watch it, right?

It is actually quite impressive how you managed to make that fight sound interesting, when I'd probably rather watch an episode of Splash than a Chisora fight. The division is a mess as a whole, granted.

If you don't like watching Derek Chisora fight then under no circumstances should you consider watching a Kevin Johnson bout, you have been warned.

The exposure for these fights is just appalling. You'd think it was a huge night for British boxing. At least Haye was a genuinely good cruiser stepping up.

[Chompy]

Hilly's 12-1 about good ground for the opening race of the Festival looks an over-reaction to me, given Cheltenham tends to miss a lot of the weather and dries out very quickly. It's still a way off, and the ground has been good on the opening day five times in the past 11 seasons.
 
In one of those years it was heavy on the Saturday before the Festival and good by the following Friday. The Clerk loves to try and give good to soft if he can, but we also have good, good to soft patches running for us.

2013 Soft
2012 Good
2011 Good
2010 Good to Soft
2009 Good to Soft
2008** Good to Soft
2007 Soft
2006 Good to Soft
2005 Good
2004 Good
2003 Good

[sonour]

How about Cloudy Too in tomorrow's Ascot Chase for the free bet with Hills?

 I have been looking at the race with the intention of taking on Riverside Theatre, (who I love to oppose), and Captain Chris, (who I concede will be way better round here and could easily win), with an each-way bet.

 Medermit is back after 674 days and surely won't be knocked around, Hunt Ball is back here after adventures abroad, Kauto Stone is out of form and possibly doesn't stay, Sunny Ledgend is massively outclassed.

 I'm not certain Cloudy Too is the strongest each-way bet but it could easily win and it's 10/1 with Hills and 11.0-12.0 on Betfair so perfect for a free bet.

 SNR Free bets don't work very well on each way bets. If you back a 5/1 shot each
way at 1/5 odds and it is placed, the return is zero !

They take the whole stake off the place return.

[ripple11]

Hilly's 12-1 about good ground for the opening race of the Festival looks an over-reaction to me, given Cheltenham tends to miss a lot of the weather and dries out very quickly. It's still a way off, and the ground has been good on the opening day five times in the past 11 seasons.
 
In one of those years it was heavy on the Saturday before the Festival and good by the following Friday. The Clerk loves to try and give good to soft if he can, but we also have good, good to soft patches running for us.

2013 Soft
2012 Good
2011 Good
2010 Good to Soft
2009 Good to Soft
2008** Good to Soft
2007 Soft
2006 Good to Soft
2005 Good
2004 Good
2003 Good

12/1 sounds a bet!