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arbboy
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« Reply #72225 on: March 25, 2014, 06:21:50 PM » |
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2/5 at City would be slightly less appealing I'll be honest  Correct but its the same bet EV wise. |
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mulhuzz
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« Reply #72226 on: March 25, 2014, 06:23:21 PM » |
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2/5 at City would be slightly less appealing I'll be honest Correct but its the same bet EV wise. Am I missing smt obv? Don't see how... |
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TightEnd
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« Reply #72227 on: March 25, 2014, 06:24:45 PM » |
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views on laying Leics tonight at 3/10 v yeovil. I just can't have any side in that league being 3/10 to any other side whatever the situation.
I have done 25/1 Yeovil  , Leicester FT. Yeovil lead a lot of games and very rarely hang on. I do think it is a tougher game than the price suggests, but have it in the "barbados" acca anyway :-) |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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arbboy
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« Reply #72228 on: March 25, 2014, 06:25:02 PM » |
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2/5 at City would be slightly less appealing I'll be honest Correct but its the same bet EV wise. Am I missing smt obv? Don't see how... Home advantage is that big a factor. |
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arbboy
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« Reply #72229 on: March 25, 2014, 06:26:12 PM » |
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2/5 at City would be slightly less appealing I'll be honest Correct but its the same bet EV wise. Am I missing smt obv? Don't see how... Home advantage is that big a factor. They might be 4/9 but not much bigger. |
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jakally
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« Reply #72230 on: March 25, 2014, 06:35:32 PM » |
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views on laying Leics tonight at 3/10 v yeovil. I just can't have any side in that league being 3/10 to any other side whatever the situation.
I think the Yeovil price isn't far off right at 9's/10's. Would be interested if it drifted further. It maybe that there's some value in the draw? |
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arbboy
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« Reply #72231 on: March 25, 2014, 06:51:36 PM » |
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views on laying Leics tonight at 3/10 v yeovil. I just can't have any side in that league being 3/10 to any other side whatever the situation.
I think the Yeovil price isn't far off right at 9's/10's. Would be interested if it drifted further. It maybe that there's some value in the draw? 12/1 yeo on betfair now. |
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Kmac84
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« Reply #72232 on: March 25, 2014, 07:10:15 PM » |
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Thoughts on Man U tonight? I think they have a better chance of beating City than they did Liverpool. Yet the price to beat City is bigger than it was v Liverpool.
Even without RVP I think Man U can make things really akward. I am pretty sure the players will be keen to keep the momentum going with the games they have coming up.
The 3.55 we can get seems too big.
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rinswun
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« Reply #72233 on: March 25, 2014, 07:11:37 PM » |
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re the NCAA i would disagree that the draw has opened up for them, Kentucky while an 8 seed was everyones preseason #1 and while they have been very up and down they looked really good in beating Wichita. Louisville and Kentucky hate each other and i would expect a very emotional hard fought match with the victor then coming out flat and losing to a really good Michigan team in the last 8. in fact if i was going to have a bet Michigan @ 12's would be my choice
It is pretty hard to argue that playing an 8 seed is equivalent of playing a 1 seed at this point. Furthermore they also won't have to play Duke now and have like a 45% chance of playing an 11 seed in Tennesse. Of course they could lose in either game and certainly could lose in the final four but we are getting a good price which is all that matters really. The Midwest regional seedings were a joke. No way that Louisiana should have been a 4 seed and Kentucky being an 8 seed reflected their early season form more than their latter performances. Feel sorry for Wichita really, they got screwed by the committee. |
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arbboy
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« Reply #72234 on: March 25, 2014, 07:15:59 PM » |
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re the NCAA i would disagree that the draw has opened up for them, Kentucky while an 8 seed was everyones preseason #1 and while they have been very up and down they looked really good in beating Wichita. Louisville and Kentucky hate each other and i would expect a very emotional hard fought match with the victor then coming out flat and losing to a really good Michigan team in the last 8. in fact if i was going to have a bet Michigan @ 12's would be my choice
It is pretty hard to argue that playing an 8 seed is equivalent of playing a 1 seed at this point. Furthermore they also won't have to play Duke now and have like a 45% chance of playing an 11 seed in Tennesse. Of course they could lose in either game and certainly could lose in the final four but we are getting a good price which is all that matters really. The Midwest regional seedings were a joke. No way that Louisiana should have been a 4 seed and Kentucky being an 8 seed reflected their early season form more than their latter performances. Feel sorry for Wichita really, they got screwed by the committee. Witcha were an awful 1 seed themselves. Massively over rated because of their reg season record which was weak schedule wise. |
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mondatoo
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« Reply #72235 on: March 25, 2014, 07:17:38 PM » |
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Thoughts on Man U tonight? I think they have a better chance of beating City than they did Liverpool. Yet the price to beat City is bigger than it was v Liverpool.
Even without RVP I think Man U can make things really akward. I am pretty sure the players will be keen to keep the momentum going with the games they have coming up.
The 3.55 we can get seems too big.
3.75 at WillH |
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Kmac84
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« Reply #72236 on: March 25, 2014, 07:24:07 PM » |
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Also think the 2/1 for a St Mirren home win v St Johnstone is worth betting. St Mirren never played terribly against Celtic of late and held out for a good spell before conceding. This is a game they can win tonight and I expect they wil, the stakes for them are pretty high they need to pick up points and I believe that St Johnstone have a top 6 place locked up and there is not really much chance of them gaining places. I am also led to believe that the players and coaching staff had a bit of a celebration over the weekend and may not be as fully tunes as normal.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #72237 on: March 25, 2014, 08:13:16 PM » |
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good old Kompany
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arbboy
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« Reply #72238 on: March 25, 2014, 08:25:57 PM » |
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good old yeovil!
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BigAdz
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« Reply #72239 on: March 25, 2014, 08:57:52 PM » |
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views on laying Leics tonight at 3/10 v yeovil. I just can't have any side in that league being 3/10 to any other side whatever the situation.
I have done 25/1 Yeovil , Leicester FT. Yeovil lead a lot of games and very rarely hang on. I do think it is a tougher game than the price suggests, but have it in the "barbados" acca anyway :-) Could be a Fred Top Ten pick if this comes off!! |
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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