Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Speak up now, or forever hold your peace.......

Some folks very kindly put various bets on for Fred in March, & I want to settle up today, as it is the last day of the month.

If only I could remember who they were, & how much I owe.......

These names spring to mind.....

Lisa (sonour), I deffo owe money to.

Markey Degen Marky. I'm generally in debt to him.

Tighty (£10 with £3.65 or PP for something?).

Nick Jenkins, maybe?

Chompy

Anyone else?

Please drop me a PM with reminders, & Bank Details where necessary, & I'll settle up.

Also, all those who owe money to ME for winning bets, pay up.*

* If only there were any.

PAID Tighty £10.

[BigAdz]

Huh, glad I don't play for England now.

My moobs would look dreadful in them tops!

[Marky147]

Had a look at SPOTY from 2012, and Farah didn't even podium after the Olympics, but 25/1 is tempting...

2013 was a landslide, with Murray having 55% of the votes, and more than the rest of the top 10 put together.

Giggs has won it, so anything is possible, but even I won't be going near Gerrard at 10/1.

Tikay, you only owe me a tenner, so if you don't mind we may as well run it until it's worth squaring up?

I've got a tenner on Nalaga for you @ 10/1, I think it is, and a fiver on Vorda for the 1000 Guineas at 33/1.

I'll check when I am in the office, and confirm.

[tikay]

Had a look at SPOTY from 2012, and Farah didn't even podium after the Olympics, but 25/1 is tempting...

2013 was a landslide, with Murray having 55% of the votes, and more than the rest of the top 10 put together.

Giggs has won it, so anything is possible, but even I won't be going near Gerrard at 10/1.

Tikay, you only owe me a tenner, so if you don't mind we may as well run it until it's worth squaring up?
I've got a tenner on Nalaga for you @ 10/1, I think it is, and a fiver on Vorda for the 1000 Guineas at 33/1.

I'll check when I am in the office, and confirm.

OK Bud, as you prefer, thank you.

Proper gambler you. You do know how old I am, right? Intestacy ftw.

[DungBeetle]

That Germany strip is an outrage.   They look like the USA. 

I am beyong furious at this development from FIFA.

[Marky147]

Had a look at SPOTY from 2012, and Farah didn't even podium after the Olympics, but 25/1 is tempting...

2013 was a landslide, with Murray having 55% of the votes, and more than the rest of the top 10 put together.

Giggs has won it, so anything is possible, but even I won't be going near Gerrard at 10/1.
I take it you've already got the shirts in you intended to flog outside the stadiums in Brazil then, Dung?



Tikay, you only owe me a tenner, so if you don't mind we may as well run it until it's worth squaring up?
I've got a tenner on Nalaga for you @ 10/1, I think it is, and a fiver on Vorda for the 1000 Guineas at 33/1.

I'll check when I am in the office, and confirm.

OK Bud, as you prefer, thank you.

Proper gambler you. You do know how old I am, right? Intestacy ftw.

Long game, steer clear of me if I get to Vegas

[BigAdz]

That Germany strip is an outrage.   They look like the USA. 

I am beyong furious at this development from FIFA.

LOL, really?

You must have a lovely life if that is what upsets you so much!

[DungBeetle]

It's a never ending corrosion of sporting tradition.  Putting the England sloggers in orange is one thing, but banning the argentines black shorts?  Alonso will be driving a royal blue Ferrari soon, mark my words.

[BigAdz]

It's a never ending corrosion of sporting tradition.  Putting the England sloggers in orange is one thing, but banning the argentines black shorts?  Alonso will be driving a royal blue Ferrari soon, mark my words.

Magic!

[Marky147]

It's a never ending corrosion of sporting tradition.  Putting the England sloggers in orange is one thing, but banning the argentines black shorts?  Alonso will be driving a royal blue Ferrari soon, mark my words.

I reckon you'd already loaded up on replicas to flog out in Brazil, so are mad that you've knocked it in, and need to restock before heading out

[DungBeetle]

Don't you worry.  I've just added the word "Retro" to the canopy for my stall.  I am still fully confident of being able to shift all 12,000 pairs of red cameroonian shorts.

[ripple11]

Speak up now, or forever hold your peace.......

Some folks very kindly put various bets on for Fred in March, & I want to settle up today, as it is the last day of the month.

If only I could remember who they were, & how much I owe.......

These names spring to mind.....

Lisa (sonour), I deffo owe money to.

Markey Degen Marky. I'm generally in debt to him.

Tighty (£10 with £3.65 or PP for something?).

Nick Jenkins, maybe?

Chompy

Anyone else?

Please drop me a PM with reminders, & Bank Details where necessary, & I'll settle up.

Also, all those who owe money to ME for winning bets, pay up.*

* If only there were any.

We're all square..

Was going to do the Dutch for a max , but hesitated too long 

[DungBeetle]

Ashley Giles might be about to lose to Holland.  Imagine that will be a downer for his attempts to take charge of the Test team?

[redarmi]

On the SPOTY bets.  Think Gerrard is short enough there.  Think of it as a double.  Liverpool to win the league and then Gerrard to be considered important enough if they do.  Realistically they are probably 9/4 shots to win the league so if they won the league he would have to be a 2/1 shot maximum for the bet to represent value.  I know Scousers are a sentimental lot and might vote en masse but I am not sure he is even that good right now. To my mind it would have to be like when Giggs won it and I couldn't have backed him with counterfeit.  Similarly Farah is going to have to win the marathon.  He is a 5-1 shot to do so which, frankly, I am not sure is particularly great value.  It is his first marathon and in his prep half marathon in NY he fell and then collapsed after the line.  He is a quality elite athlete so I wouldn't put it past him to recover and win this but I couldn't back him at single figures but even if we assume the 5/1 is the "right" price he would have to be a 3/1 shot to win SPOTY after winning which again seems short.  He might trade at that price immediately after the race but I would bet long odds on he would drift and I would much rather take 7/1+ in October.  It also strikes me as something that people would think was "nice" rather than an outstanding achievement worthy of SPOTY votes.  All that said it is likely a weak year and one of them could win it I just don't think they are value to do it.

On another note there has been a lot of recent talk about Premiership football markets and whether the market effectively get it right all the time (which I don't think they do).  There is some excellent resources and writers out there at the moment that can give you an edge especially in analytics.  I read this article on the excellent Stats Bomb site this morning http://www.statsbomb.com/2014/03/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-epl/ and guys like the author Colin Trainor are thinking on a level way above your average odds compiler and punter.  I wouldn't bet his model outputs blind but it is certainly the kind of thing worth listening to and factoring into your opinions to give you an edge.

[Doobs]

Ashley Giles might be about to lose to Holland.  Imagine that will be a downer for his attempts to take charge of the Test team?

Good time to bring on Pietersen