Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

We love stuff like this as armchair fans, though, don't we?



Great for telly. As long as they play, obviously!

[Omm]

How would you price Garcia/Moore/Fowler and what price would Fowler be a bet?

[Bad Beat]

 You are correct. He is a good bet at 2/1 (Stan James) for those that can. Prob 6/4, 13/8 and 5/2 to 106% or 13/8 Garcia, 7/4 Rickie and 11/4 Moore at closer to 100%.

 Rickie was way shorter than Ryan pre-tournament so it's hard to see their logic.

 Yesterday the 3-balls had way more inexplicable prices than this though...a couple didn't last long but they seemed odd.

[Omm]

You are correct. He is a good bet at 2/1 (Stan James) for those that can. Prob 6/4, 13/8 and 5/2 to 106% or 13/8 Garcia, 7/4 Rickie and 11/4 Moore at closer to 100%.

 Rickie was way shorter than Ryan pre-tournament so it's hard to see their logic.

 Yesterday the 3-balls had way more inexplicable prices than this though...a couple didn't last long but they seemed odd.

Far to on the ball Neil.

[BigAdz]

Just back and nice to see the dog won!

I see arbboy has congratulated himself plenty, but credit where it's due. Well played boys!!

[sharky_uk]

Here come the storms! ⚡️⚡️⚡️

http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £58.23

Outstanding Bets £2588.20

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=24

A loss of £47 yesterday

- Cay Dancer won at Newbury for a profit of £100 at 6-1

- Romford 22.26 won at Evens for a profit of £50

Losers

- £122 from open missed cuts/match bets as highlighted last night

- £70 from the unpleasant Danielle being evicted from big brother

- £5 Zac Brown losing at Pontefract


Ongoing positions

- Valverde (£15 e/w at 18-1) up to second in the TdF after the first of the Alpine stages, behind the very impressive Nibal. A nasty stage awaits today

Click to see full-size image.

General Classification after Stage 13
ITA  1  NIBALI, Vincenzo (ASTANA)                         56:44:03
ESP  2  VALVERDE BELMONTE, Alejandro (MOVISTAR)            +  3:37
FRA  3  BARDET, Romain (AG2R LA MONDIALE)                  +  4:24
FRA  4  PINOT, Thibaut (FDJ.fr)                            +  4:40
USA  5  VAN GARDEREN, Tejay (BMC RACING)                   +  5:19
FRA  6  PERAUD, Jean-Christophe (AG2R LA MONDIALE)         +  6:06
NED  7  MOLLEMA, Bauke (BELKIN)                            +  6:17
BEL  8  VAN DEN BROECK, Jurgen (LOTTO BELISOL)             +  6:27
POR  9  FARIA D A COSTA, Rui Alberto (LAMPRE - MERIDA)      +  8:35
CZE  10 KONIG, Leopold (NETAPP - ENDURA)                   +  8:36i

Hamilton and Rosberg 1-2 in free practice yesterday for the German Grand Prix. Hamilton has now topped the time sheets in 6 of the last 7 FP friday's.

Click to see full-size image.

The Test match is finely poised

Click to see full-size image.

In the T20 Blast South Essex ensured a home quarter final with a facile seven wicket victory over Glamorgan

Click to see full-size image.

Glamorgan can ensure qualification by beating Gloucestershire at home in their last game next Friday

 NatWest T20 Blast - South Group
   Team    Played    Won    Lost    Tied    N/R    R/R    Points
1    Essex    11    10    1    0    0    0.707    20.0
2    Surrey    12    8    4    0    0    0.59    16.0
3    Hampshire    13    8    5    0    0    0.063    16.0
4    Glamorgan    13    5    5    1    2    -0.169    13.0
5    Somerset    13    5    7    0    1    -0.218    11.0
6    Kent    13    5    7    1    0    -0.336    11.0

In the North group Worcestershire beat Northants away, a crucial win taking them back to second in the table and their last game is at home to Derbyshire next week

Yorkshire, needing a win to make it through, lost to Warwickshire having struggled to 148

 NatWest T20 Blast - North Group
   Team    Played    Won    Lost    Tied    N/R    R/R    Points
1    Lancashire    13    9    2    0    2    0.799    20.0
2    Worcestershire    13    7    4    0    2    0.384    16.0
3    Yorkshire    13    6    4    0    3    0.672    15.0
4    Nottinghamshire    11    6    3    0    2    0.525    14.0
5    Warwickshire    13    6    5    0    2    0.013    14.0
6    Northants    12    4    5    0    3    -0.905    11.0

It would be great to get all four through to the quarters and a couple through to finals day

Meanwhile last night, excessive wind stopped play at Canterbury in the live sky match...commentators were evacuated from the gantry as the wind swooshed its way across the ground...

Click to see full-size image.

Baseball returned after the All Star break last night

The Orioles lost 5-4 to the A.s the Royals lost 5-4 to the Red Sox and the Yankees beat the Reds 4-3. 0 for 3 then


Back to the Open, a certain player moved from 10-1 into 2-1 for SPOTY yesterday....is 4/7 favourite to win it with two rounds to go. After the runaway victories of Bubba at the Masters and Kaymer at the US Open, will this be plain sailing, or are there twists ahead?

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

bald doing money back up to £100 (not free bet as far as i am aware) on world matchplay darts if Taylor wins. He is a 4/1 poke (20% likely to win) so there should be plenty of angle here to find some ev.  They are ducking MVG (13/8) by a mile because of the offer.  5/2 or bigger on bf.  Think we should be looking for a portfolio of bets up to £100 on this given the cashback.  I haven't looked at the draw in any detail and just suggest a couple on bf prices alone.

Michael Smith 80/1 bald is under on bf.  Recommend £5
G Anderson 12/1 is very close on bf.  Recommend £20
P Wright 25/1 similar.  Recommend £10

Happy for others to add their fancies ( as long as bald price is relatively close to the true price).  Doobs might be able to advise whether 13/8 MVG is still a bet given the refund even though he is 5/2 on bf.

Should state this starts tomorrow night 7pm and obviously applies to pre event outright bets.

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/world-matchplay/world-matchplay-darts/winner

Code:

does anyone have any darts thoughts on this event?

picks with the offer, views on value aside from those mentioned?

[Tal]

Am I right in saying you want someone not in Taylor's half, if you're going win only?

[BigAdz]

Appears wet rather than windy. If Rory is anything like the complete golfer he should be, this should cause no problems.

As someone that is mainly interested in the chasing pack having missed that 22s, I hope he gets into a "billy big balls" comp with Dustin. But I think that's my only hope tbh.

[TightEnd]

fyi.

[TightEnd]

Am I right in saying you want someone not in Taylor's half, if you're going win only?

the draw is on here

http://www.livescores.co.uk/darts/world/world-matchplay/draw/

i suppose my question is

- how many realistic winners of this are there?

depending on the answer to this, knowing we have an offer to go at (and Taylor is a less than 4/1 shot to win it) we can hopefully blend some fundamentals with some maths to get a book together, as we did for the golf?

but i know nothing about darts....so need help

[Marky147]

Appears wet rather than windy. If Rory is anything like the complete golfer he should be, this should cause no problems.

As someone that is mainly interested in the chasing pack having missed that 22s, I hope he gets into a "billy big balls" comp with Dustin. But I think that's my only hope tbh.

So do I... As long as Dustin has the bigger set!

[arbboy]

The bottom qtr of the draw is definitely the toughest.  MVG has a very soft top 1/4 of the draw to operate in and it would be a major surprise if he didn't make the semi's with that draw.  Taylor is into 4.6/4.7 on bf now which technically makes the offer slightly more attractive.  Taylor only has one player shorter than 80/1 in his 1/4 of the draw (Thornton who is 45/1 shot) so it would seem highly likely Taylor gets to the semi's and it seems pointless backing anyone in his quarter as if they beat Taylor they are massively unlikely to win the event.

I would be tempted to add RVB and Wade into the portfolio by having £10 on each.

MVP is 13/8 with bald (bottom price obviously with the offer).  I would like doobs input into whether his is still a bet given the offer.  MVP is 23/10 tight on bf.

[Chompy]

None of the four amateurs made the cut in the Open. Should this market not be settled as a dead-heat or voided?