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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16582821 times)
tikay
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« Reply #88305 on: October 05, 2014, 04:25:11 PM »

Official is exactly 2

Thanks Adzy.
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« Reply #88306 on: October 05, 2014, 04:26:06 PM »

Official is exactly 2

thank you

that's a very nice 9-1 winner then

"To win the Arc by 2 + lengths"

Is 2 lengths the same as "2+ lengths"?
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« Reply #88307 on: October 05, 2014, 04:27:34 PM »

Tighty, Megatron says he's playing today against the Bills, despite a "gimpy ankle" (whatever one of those is). With Bell injured, any mileage in any markets? Reggie Bush yards or unders on Stafford's passing?

megatron will probably be used as last week, as a decoy

the bills may stick gilmore on him, or may double cover. you have to account for him, on one good ankle or not

either way IF the touch-down scorer markets have not adjusted the Johnson price (he is less likely to score a touchdown than normal imo) then someone like Golden Tate may be the play on the other side, single covered and big play potential

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« Reply #88308 on: October 05, 2014, 04:27:42 PM »

Official is exactly 2

Push?
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« Reply #88309 on: October 05, 2014, 04:28:12 PM »

Official is exactly 2

thank you

that's a very nice 9-1 winner then

"To win the Arc by 2 + lengths"

Is 2 lengths the same as "2+ lengths"?

my reading is "two or more"

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tikay
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« Reply #88310 on: October 05, 2014, 04:29:48 PM »


If the bet was "2 or more" we win, if it was "2+" I am not sure.
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« Reply #88311 on: October 05, 2014, 04:31:05 PM »


If the bet was "2 or more" we win, if it was "2+" I am not sure.

If a film is 18+, you can go to see it on your eighteenth birthday.
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« Reply #88312 on: October 05, 2014, 04:32:22 PM »

I have just found, and bumped, the old "locked thread" for bets.

The betslip states "2 or more lengths"

WINNER!
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« Reply #88313 on: October 05, 2014, 04:34:33 PM »

Just assumed it was more than 2l when they went past and think we've been unlucky with the official distance.

Be surprised it it's not settled as a winner even so.
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« Reply #88314 on: October 05, 2014, 04:36:52 PM »

Just assumed it was more than 2l when they went past and think we've been unlucky with the official distance.

Be surprised it it's not settled as a winner even so.

it is a winner

my admin shorthand was 2+

the bet is "2 or more"



a question for you please, Treve did not win 3+ group 1's this year? that's right isn't it?

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« Reply #88315 on: October 05, 2014, 04:41:04 PM »

Tighty, Megatron says he's playing today against the Bills, despite a "gimpy ankle" (whatever one of those is). With Bell injured, any mileage in any markets? Reggie Bush yards or unders on Stafford's passing?

megatron will probably be used as last week, as a decoy

the bills may stick gilmore on him, or may double cover. you have to account for him, on one good ankle or not

either way IF the touch-down scorer markets have not adjusted the Johnson price (he is less likely to score a touchdown than normal imo) then someone like Golden Tate may be the play on the other side, single covered and big play potential



I had a bit of a touch in running last week when I noticed he wasnt playing effectively and backed Ross for next TD at 40-1.  You can back him this week at 28/1 and that seems fair as does the 10/1 Tate and 25/1 Fuller.  Picking seems fairly futile given they are probably all value.....
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« Reply #88316 on: October 05, 2014, 04:44:16 PM »

Tighty, Megatron says he's playing today against the Bills, despite a "gimpy ankle" (whatever one of those is). With Bell injured, any mileage in any markets? Reggie Bush yards or unders on Stafford's passing?

megatron will probably be used as last week, as a decoy

the bills may stick gilmore on him, or may double cover. you have to account for him, on one good ankle or not

either way IF the touch-down scorer markets have not adjusted the Johnson price (he is less likely to score a touchdown than normal imo) then someone like Golden Tate may be the play on the other side, single covered and big play potential



I had a bit of a touch in running last week when I noticed he wasnt playing effectively and backed Ross for next TD at 40-1.  You can back him this week at 28/1 and that seems fair as does the 10/1 Tate and 25/1 Fuller.  Picking seems fairly futile given they are probably all value.....

good point, all prices good

if we take the 11/2 favourite as almost a non-runner, then you can see the scale of the opportunity..

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-detroit-lions/first-touchdown-scorer
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tikay
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« Reply #88317 on: October 05, 2014, 04:45:32 PM »


After some difficulty, I just logged into my RaceBets Account, & found the bet has been settled......





DateTimeIDTypeDetailsAmountBalance

05/10/2014 16:01 h121470-1410-0001WinningsTreve Specials+200.00 GBP200.00 GBP

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« Reply #88318 on: October 05, 2014, 04:47:06 PM »



...and this was the betslip.......


Betslip 121470-1401-0003



Event:

Treve Specials, R2

Event Date:

05.10.2014



Bet Type:

Win (Fixed Odds)

Placed at:

23/01/2014 13:36 h



Stake:

£20.00



Odds:

 9/1



Rule 4 applies:

 No



Bet Details:

 Yes
Treve to win the Arc de Triomphe 2014 by 2 or more lengths


 23.01.2014 13:36 h

121470-1401-0003

Stake

-20.00 £

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« Reply #88319 on: October 05, 2014, 04:51:51 PM »

Stafford anytime at 19/4 with Beteveryday? 5/1 if you have an account with the one we aren't allowed to mention.

Pass rush doesn't seem to be as effective and a knock to Kyle Williams in the week. Maybe there's a gap for a short yard dash?
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