Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

Now that we seem to be placing bets again .. 

It seems like the F1 market is still forming, however I do have a couple more bets to suggest:

1) Season Match Bet: Ricciardo vs Kvyat - Kvyat 7/2 with Sky Bet. Daniil showed he is no slouch last season, Ricciardo may well have the pace early on in the season, but I expect Daniil to be there or thereabouts. 7/2 is too high. Suggest £20.

2) Season Match Bet: Ricciardo vs Vettel - Vettel 6/4 with Sky Bet. From pre-season testing it seems as if the Ferrari is quicker than the Red Bull. While Red Bull do historically have the better development rate, their Renault engine is down on power and they will suffer at races later in the season such as Spa & Monza. Suggest £25.

Note: Feel free to scale the bet sizes up or down, I'm never entirely sure what stake to suggest when it's not my money!

Also still suggest getting on Rosberg to win the title at between 3/1 and 4/1.

Will make more suggestions as the market forms.

fred cant bet at skysweat for legal reasons!

[vegaslover]

Ronnie looks a cracking lay at 6/1 to win this snooker shootout.  last 32 left.  5 games.  Even if he is a 1/2 shot to win all 5 games he is a 13/2 shot to win it.  No way he is 1/2 to win a random frame against half the field to win this plus you have to question his motivation for a mickey mouse event like this.

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/snooker-shootout/ronnie-o-sullivan-v-tom-ford/winner

He is a 1/2 shot in his last 32 game tonight against Tom Ford just to put the value into place.

Went to have a look and he already out!

Yes i know.  I didn't think they started til 7pm.  Sorry about that.  He didn't score a point in his game.  Incredible scenes.  I only got a tenner matched!

No need to apologise, I thought u had tipped it up then been weighed in at the first attempt. I was just posting that I wasn't quick enough to see it..lol

From recall, none of the big names have ever won. proper pinstickers event to bet on

[arbboy]

Ronnie looks a cracking lay at 6/1 to win this snooker shootout.  last 32 left.  5 games.  Even if he is a 1/2 shot to win all 5 games he is a 13/2 shot to win it.  No way he is 1/2 to win a random frame against half the field to win this plus you have to question his motivation for a mickey mouse event like this.

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/snooker-shootout/ronnie-o-sullivan-v-tom-ford/winner

He is a 1/2 shot in his last 32 game tonight against Tom Ford just to put the value into place.

Went to have a look and he already out!

Yes i know.  I didn't think they started til 7pm.  Sorry about that.  He didn't score a point in his game.  Incredible scenes.  I only got a tenner matched!

No need to apologise, I thought u had tipped it up then been weighed in at the first attempt. I was just posting that I wasn't quick enough to see it..lol

From recall, none of the big names have ever won. proper pinstickers event to bet on

Ronnie looked totally uninterested the whole game. 

[arbboy]

monster outside bias at henlow dogs on ch 212.  Railers heavily fancied literally tailed off in several races so far.

[TightEnd]

It seems like the F1 market is still forming, however I do have a couple more bets to suggest:

1) Season Match Bet: Ricciardo vs Kvyat - Kvyat 7/2 with Sky Bet. Daniil showed he is no slouch last season, Ricciardo may well have the pace early on in the season, but I expect Daniil to be there or thereabouts. 7/2 is too high. Suggest £20.

2) Season Match Bet: Ricciardo vs Vettel - Vettel 6/4 with Sky Bet. From pre-season testing it seems as if the Ferrari is quicker than the Red Bull. While Red Bull do historically have the better development rate, their Renault engine is down on power and they will suffer at races later in the season such as Spa & Monza. Suggest £25.

Note: Feel free to scale the bet sizes up or down, I'm never entirely sure what stake to suggest when it's not my money!

Also still suggest getting on Rosberg to win the title at between 3/1 and 4/1.

Will make more suggestions as the market forms.

would love to do these but, once again, Sky bet is a no go for us..even via a third party because of tikay's contract with them

Rosberg, trying to get 3-1 on the exchange. fixed odds 11/4 best and 5/2 where we can get on

[arbboy]

tighty you got money in betfair to lay some of these railers at henlow?  If i post a few minutes before the off.  They literally can't win there tonight.  Leading and fading when fancied every race.

[TightEnd]

Am on mobile only sorry

[arbboy]

ok no worries.

[sonour]

tighty you got money in betfair to lay some of these railers at henlow?  If i post a few minutes before the off.  They literally can't win there tonight.  Leading and fading when fancied every race.

Yes please

[Bazzaboy]

Yet another stinker from Jackpot at a short price.

[arbboy]

tighty you got money in betfair to lay some of these railers at henlow?  If i post a few minutes before the off.  They literally can't win there tonight.  Leading and fading when fancied every race.

Yes please

Railers chinned again when getting a clear in 858pm henlow and fancied.

[arbboy]

Yet another stinker from Jackpot at a short price.

He just isn't as good as his price suggests.  I don't really get why he goes off so short in these type of games. 

[The Camel]

I realise I don't participate much these days (the unfortunate upshot of having an actual, real-world, job) but, for what (little) it's worth I wanted to chime in to comment on what a fillip Mark (arbboy) is to Fred.

Few 'get it' quite like he does, and to have his view available on an ongoing basis is pretty amazing.

Enjoy Cheltenham, one and all.

Best,

Ed

+1.

The arbster is posting some great stuff atm

[Bazzaboy]

Yet another stinker from Jackpot at a short price.

He just isn't as good as his price suggests.  I don't really get why he goes off so short in these type of games. 

Agreed. His PL record is terrible. He gets priced up on reputation every week.

[arbboy]

Yet another stinker from Jackpot at a short price.

He just isn't as good as his price suggests.  I don't really get why he goes off so short in these type of games. 

Agreed. His PL record is terrible. He gets priced up on reputation every week.

Thing is once a month he plays well and averages 108 and the next three games he couldn't care less.  I have no stats for it but it seems the further away he is from home (ie where the venue is) the worse he seems to play.  Would have been a fair drive for the stoke fattie today to Exeter.