Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

The NBA is coming to the end of the regular season

14-17 games for each team yet to play

round up on the latest for the book of positions

positions are as follows

12-Jul     jaffacake   williamhill   may-2015   basketball NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40            
18-Jul    jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   NBA Rookie of the year wiggins   7.0   20            
7-Aug jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80   
26-Jan arbboy   betfair   may-2015   basketball   NBA Rookie of the year Wiggins LAY   1.2   20   £100 Lay

Wiggins is almost home and hosed here, which will produce a £540 net profit after Nerlens and the (in case he gets injured) lay

Status: ALMOST CERTAIN WINNER

here he is winning the rising stars challenge

Click to see full-size image.

      
7-Aug   arbboy   williamhill   may-2015   basketball   nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50            
28-Oct   arbboy   coral   may-2015   basketball   NBA Championship   Cavaliers   7/2   100   £50 e/w 1/2 1,2

If the play offs started today, The Cavs would be 2nd seeds in their conference. Superb form since lebron came bacjk from injury, have won 7 of the last ten and Cleveland are currently 7/2 favourites to lift the championship

Status: IN THE HUNT

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/winner

28-Oct   arbboy   betvictor   may-2015   basketball    NBA - Atlantic Division 2014/15    Toronto Raptors   5/6   100      
28-Oct   arbboy   coral   may-2015   basketball   NBA Championship   Toronto Raptors   66/1   20   £10 e/w 1/2 1,2

Toronto are 9.5 games ahead in their division, and this bet is close to a winner despite a run of only 2 wins in their last 10 games

Status: LIKELY WINNER
      


28-Oct   arbboy   williamhill   may-2015   basketball    NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    Dallas Mavericks   10/1   10   

Dallas a 4.5 games behind Memphis in their division which is set to produce 5 of the 8 play offs teams in their conference

Status: LIKELY LOSER


         
28-Oct   arbboy   bwin   may-2015   basketball    NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    San Antonio Spurs   1.83   60   
21-Jan   arbboy   ladbrokes   may-2015   basketball   NBA Southwest division   San Antonio Spurs   5/2   60   

the Spurs are 4.5 games behind in 3rd in their division, but have won 7 of their last 10 to close the gap to the leaders

Status: LIKELY LOSER



28-Oct   arbboy   ladbrokes   28-Oct   basketball   NBA Championship   Chicago Bulls   8/1   40   £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Bulls are potential number 4 seeds in the conference. currently 14/1 for the title

Status: OUTSIDERS

Click to see full-size image.

28-Oct   arbboy   ladbrokes   28-Oct   basketball   NBA Championship   LA Clippers   12/1   40   £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

potential 6th seeds in their conference and currently 20/1 for the title

Status: OUTSIDERS



31-Oct   arbboy   ladbrokes   31-Oct   basketball   nba season most assists   Rajan Rondo   5/2   200   £100 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 (£80 e/w sonour)

a bet ruined by a mid season trade, then injury. Rondo currently 4th, 3 places paid

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2015/seasontype/2


Status: LIKELY LOSER



18-Nov   moonandback   bet365   mar-2015   basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
18-Nov   moonandback   ladbrokes   mar-2015   basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
18-Nov   moonandback   bwin   mar-2015   basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10   10   

Number 1 seed in the South bracket for the NCAA Tournament March Madness, bottom right on the graphic

Click to see full-size image.

Status: IN THE HUNT
         
23-Nov   eddycadub   williamhill   may-2015   basketball   NBA Northwestern division   Portland Trailblazers   10/11   55   

Portland are 8 games clear in their division and have won 8 of their last 10. bet a very likely winner



Status: ALMOST CERTAIN WINNER
         
24-Nov   arbboy   chompy   mar-2015   basketball   NBA MVP   A Davies   6/1   30            
         
Davies was on the all star team, but not an MVP candidate on a bad team and injured since just before the mid season break   

Status: VERY LIKELY LOSER   

current forecast.

On player and divisional bets alone the ante-post book is set to deliver a £300 profit.

There are then £250 worth of positions on the NBA title, which we would be free-rolling. Our main hope here would be Lebron and the Cleveland Cavaliers

Click to see full-size image.

     

[TightEnd]

Political Polls are an almost daily occurrence now in the run up to May

Here was one i saw this morning. Yougov and Peter Kellner's prediction for polling day



our political positions are currently

General election 2015 Lib dem seats   under 33.5   10/11   110
General election 2015 Lib dem seats   21-30   100/30   30
Cameron Leave The Post Of Prime Minister   2016 or later   15/8   20
general election 2015   SNP>43.5   10/11   30

we could, if we wanted, via Ladbrokes bet on any constituency

fwiw, which is no more than any other poll in isolation, he assumes a lower SNP share than many of the current forecasts. He assumes some incumbency effect for the Lib Dems

markets suggest hung parliament is 90%+ probability, of course

[TightEnd]

i don't have an answer

but who might they appoint from this lot?



Next Permanent Sunderland Manager
Manager Specials


Next Permanent Manager Temporary or caretaker managers in charge for 10 competitive games will be deemed permanent and settled as a winner. Others on request.

Dick Advocaat 6/5    
Sam Allardyce 10/1    
Michael Laudrup 12/1
Neil Lennon 16/1
Paul Lambert 16/1    
Harry Redknapp 16/1
Glenn Hoddle 18/1    
Ally McCoist 20/1
Steve McLaren 20/1    
Martin O'Neil 20/1    
Roy Keane 20/1    
David Moyes 20/1
Christophe Galtier 25/1
Slaven Bilic 25/1
Mick McCarthy 25/1    
Billy Davies 25/1
Eddie Howe 33/1    
Karl Robinson 33/1

[tikay]

i don't have an answer

but who might they appoint from this lot?



Next Permanent Sunderland Manager
Manager Specials


Next Permanent Manager Temporary or caretaker managers in charge for 10 competitive games will be deemed permanent and settled as a winner. Others on request.

Dick Advocaat 6/5    
Sam Allardyce 10/1    
Michael Laudrup 12/1
Neil Lennon 16/1
Paul Lambert 16/1    
Harry Redknapp 16/1
Glenn Hoddle 18/1    
Ally McCoist 20/1
Steve McLaren 20/1    
Martin O'Neil 20/1    
Roy Keane 20/1    
David Moyes 20/1
Christophe Galtier 25/1
Slaven Bilic 25/1
Mick McCarthy 25/1    
Billy Davies 25/1
Eddie Howe 33/1    
Karl Robinson 33/1

Hoe do we define "competitive games"?

They only have 9 Premier League games remaining, & if the market spans the summer, that makes it a whole lot harder, as a very possible outcome is a temporary appointment until the end of season.

[tikay]

Thanks for that exhaustive Basketball round-up Tighty. Very pleasing reading, that.

[McGlashan]

As mentioned before we look in decent shape for the LMA manager of the year awards. Mourinho is an opposable favourite at evens, we're on 2nd and 3rd faves and the others on offer are quite rightly long outsiders. Notably there's a large ommsion in this year's books as no lower league manager has been priced up. In a year short of any outstanding Premier League candidates the likes of Eddie Howe and Steve Cotterill must be live dogs.

The awards are voted on/announced with 4 or 5 game weeks to go so it looks a bit late for any of the trio strikers to turn over Fabregas, Sanchez and Hazard in the PFA player of the year awards.

[Marky147]

Thanks for that exhaustive Basketball round-up Tighty. Very pleasing reading, that.

Certainly was, and definitely an unenviable task having to write it all up, too!


Go on Wiggo!

[TightEnd]

Carlo Ancelotti is has been backed into 4/9 to be the next Man City manager today .

[Larry David]

@MR T, the 13-10 was available on bf sportsbook today. The one you did play came in nicely.  I promised you long term profit with these selections so I am going to quit whilst ahead.

Well done, & noted.

I may have to come out of retirement,quite a few tempting bets,I will post later if they look like a possible bet.

Don't think I have come across a thread/forum where you have the pictures to go with the winning bets, good stuff this. Must be time consuming 

[exstream]

Liverpool & Reading
Both To Win

7/2 from 5/2

betfred

[TightEnd]

Liverpool & Reading
Both To Win

7/2 from 5/2

betfred

do you fancy this? (i accept the price is enhanced)

Liverpool are evens at Swansea

Reading odds on at home to Bradford

[exstream]

No real fancy, just decent increase in odds I think.

[Larry David]

I don't recall what page Tikay put up the bookies you can and can't get on at, so I will just ask. Sportingbet ok?

[exstream]

first page
first post

[TightEnd]

I don't recall what page Tikay put up the bookies you can and can't get on at, so I will just ask. Sportingbet ok?

first post of this thread

restrict on a case by case basis, major markets tend to be ok