Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Oh yes, and I have Adz's sure fire banker in the last. Think they said on the tannoy the trainer hadn't won here in 19 years. Reckon it's a Wenger job (happy with top four)

[Marky147]

3:55 looks like a nice each way race. 6/4 Jolly, 9 horses. Have backed First Mohican but ideas welcome.

Had a couple quid e/w on Island Remede

The old girl almost did us v proud there!

Yeah, seems there were a few on as well, because it got hammered just before the off.

Wasn't going to back it, but then saw it had been raining.

With all these wisely reasoned dirty each way bets, it's a wonder you're on 200%, Marky

Am planning on winning the last two pinstickers. Have secured tikay's algorithm from Jeeves in exchange for a copy of this month's Gentleman's Personal Gentleman Magazine.

Haha, I've probably had less than a half a dozen e/w bets in the last year.

I prefer several pins, and going for gold

[Ironside]

29 Mar 2015 - Who Will Host The X Factor 2015 - To Replace Dermot O'Leary as Host of the X Factor
Tip It

Sarah-Jane Crawford @ 20/1

Stake : £10.00
Estimated Returns : £
210.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001253/F
Total Stake : £10.00

Chompy can keep us in touch

X Factor is a sport now?

if darts and WWE can pass as a sport then so can x factor

[Ironside]

Anyone any thoughts on the Scotland v Gibraltar match? Who is going to start? Rhodes on the bench for Scotland v NI, will it be the same for this match?

Could back Scotland at 1/33 for the match tbh.  It is really hard to explain how bad Gib are.

i think we should get a draw not 100% confident in the win

QFT

[tikay]

After 22 minutes, Scotland 1 Gibralter 1


The bookies will love that, there was a good deal of "win to nil" money.

[tikay]

3-1 Scotland after 33 minutes.

[Karabiner]

Oh yes, and I have Adz's sure fire banker in the last. Think they said on the tannoy the trainer hadn't won here in 19 years. Reckon it's a Wenger job (happy with top four)

I hope they're paying 5/6 places.

[Peter-27]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Hamilton was on the wrong tyres at the end due to conservatism in qualifiying

so he ran soft-hard-soft-hard and ros ran soft-hard--soft-soft? (vett ran soft-soft-hard) think thats coreect

he's further ahead with the right boots on at the end, yes?

i wondered, poor strategy aside, if mercedes were set up for the wet a bit

You have the compounds they ran a little mixed up. Nevertheless, it can be argued that both drivers were on a sub-optimal strategy. Will take time to go through the data to see what the minimum and maximum gaps could have been. I don't really think there's much in it over a race distance. In qualifying though, Hamilton is dominating - pretty unbeatable right now in that respect!

With regard to a wet set-up, I guess it's a possibility, but seems unlikely given the advantage (they thought) they had.

But Hamilton had the measure of him over race distance all last season too.  If you chuck out the retirements and races where one had no chance for whatever reason, Hamilton won them all bar one or two.  He is already 2-0 up this season.  The fact it is 3 seconds doesn't mean much.  Did Rosberg ever look like beating him is the important thing?

Anyway seems we both got the Ferraris wrong, it seems eminently possible they could catch up some stage this season.  6/1 Vettel or 9/2 Rosberg the best bet now.  I wouldn't do either, because I think Hamilton still better than both, but would choose the Vettel bet if forced.

Hamilton was better last season and that's why he won the title.

Only three seconds is important because we are only 2 races into the season. There is no reason why Nico couldn't do exactly the same thing Hamilton has in the next two races, given how close it is in races between them.

Ferrari won't catch up. Mercedes still have a massive advantage, it was specific high temperature/high humidity circumstances which allowed Ferrari to be quicker today. These specific circumstances won't happen many more times during the season.

[DungBeetle]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Sporting Index aren't impressed with the Force Indiae.  They have them only beating the Saubers over the season now and predict 8th.

[Peter-27]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Sporting Index aren't impressed with the Force Indiae.  They have them only beating the Saubers over the season now and predict 8th.

This is exactly the reason why I like to think I have an advantage over the bookies when it comes to Motorsport. In a sport as technical as Formula One, it really does help to understand the background information. Sometimes it seems like bookies price up purely based on results - but there are so many more factors at work.

[kukushkin88]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Sporting Index aren't impressed with the Force Indiae.  They have them only beating the Saubers over the season now and predict 8th.

This is exactly the reason why I like to think I have an advantage over the bookies when it comes to Motorsport. In a sport as technical as Formula One, it really does help to understand the background information. Sometimes it seems like bookies price up purely based on results - but there are so many more factors at work.

Sporting Index will be better than you think.

[Peter-27]

d) no points either for Force India (team points buy), which look like reliable tractors

e) third for Rosberg and outperformed by both Vettel and Hamilton, not looking good for championship hopes

These two bets are in much better shape then people realise.

Force India are expected to be slow at this point due to a lack of pre-season testing. They're still honing the base performance of their car. Also, upgrades will be limited until mid-season due to a wind tunnel/operational change. The base chassis is actually very good and in the second half of the season they will fly up the grid. I would suggest they will finish at least 6th in the constructors championship this season - potentially higher.

As for Rosberg, the media seem to be suggesting Lewis has been dominant. While that is true in qualifying, over a race distance it has been very close. Lewis was 1.3 seconds ahead in Aus and 3.7 seconds ahead today - that's really not a lot over a race distance. In fact, it doesn't really matter. It will undoubtedly come down to reliability anyway :-)

Sporting Index aren't impressed with the Force Indiae.  They have them only beating the Saubers over the season now and predict 8th.

This is exactly the reason why I like to think I have an advantage over the bookies when it comes to Motorsport. In a sport as technical as Formula One, it really does help to understand the background information. Sometimes it seems like bookies price up purely based on results - but there are so many more factors at work.

Sporting Index will be better than you think.

Well, time will tell.

[DungBeetle]

How can you say the bookies are basing it on results when they hold the mclarens at 120 points?  Surely if anything it is you who is results orientated by saying last week that mclaren won't get 50 points?

[DungBeetle]

Didn't mean for that to come over aggressive by the way.  I just definitely think sporting index will be as informed as you are.

[Junior Senior]

Anyone know why 888 is not on oddschecker any more?