Tips for Tikay

[Jamier-Host]

I know we don't do spreads but someone else might have an opinion on this and/or want to get involved for a snooker sweat.

I have a ton ups bet I like. Chap called Zhang Anda you can buy his tournament ton ups @ 11. Came through qualifying getting a big century in each round (all 130+) along with another dozen or so 50+ breaks. Playing Joe Perry so shouldn't be a walkover and therefore potential for a bonus match or two for a fun sweat if he can be one of the (normal in recent years) 1st round upsets. No negative make up to market so you know your max exposure but fighting chance of a tidy upside.

Wouldn't be going mad on it as could easily lose with no big break, but I like that he's got his eye in with a few competitive long format matches (including scalping Wenbo) and clearly not averse to racking up a decent break.

Was preparing for a tail between legs apology earlier when he finished the session 1-8 down. However he's now binked a 132 break on the way back to 4-8 so sweat is on.

How do you say freeroll in Chinese?

[hector62]

Evening Tighty.

Tomorrow morning our friend Senor Cuevas plays Bautista-Agut in Barcelona. He is priced up as the outsider but I would make him a reasonable favourite on these clay courts.

Suggest £15 Cuevas @ 6/4 with Coral or betfred.

Nadal is now 8/11 to win the whole thing.

[DungBeetle]

Evening Tighty.

Tomorrow morning our friend Senor Cuevas plays Bautista-Agut in Barcelona. He is priced up as the outsider but I would make him a reasonable favourite on these clay courts.

Suggest £15 Cuevas @ 6/4 with Coral or betfred.

Nadal is now 8/11 to win the whole thing.

What odds would you make Cuevas?  Favourite against Bautista Agut seems a stretch imo.

[exstream]

Evening Tighty.

Tomorrow morning our friend Senor Cuevas plays Bautista-Agut in Barcelona. He is priced up as the outsider but I would make him a reasonable favourite on these clay courts.

Suggest £15 Cuevas @ 6/4 with Coral or betfred.

Nadal is now 8/11 to win the whole thing.

What odds would you make Cuevas?  Favourite against Bautista Agut seems a stretch imo.

My friend said the following about Bautista

Got to the semis last year and only lost to nadal

Blew past everyone else

Including some great clay courters

Even without the home advantage agut would be clear fave

[TightEnd]

Evening Tighty.

Tomorrow morning our friend Senor Cuevas plays Bautista-Agut in Barcelona. He is priced up as the outsider but I would make him a reasonable favourite on these clay courts.

Suggest £15 Cuevas @ 6/4 with Coral or betfred.

Nadal is now 8/11 to win the whole thing.

Unit Stake

        Bet Type: Single
            Bautista Agut, R v Cuevas, P Match Prices
                Cuevas, P 6/4
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 37.50 GBP
    1 bet @
    15.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 15.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 37.50 GBP

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £401.76

Outstanding Bets £3993.02

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit?pli=1#gid=23

A loss of £10 yesterday

+£17 Narine under 1.5 wickets for KKR

-£17 RCB beaten by CSK in the IPL

-£10 Starlight banner unplaced at Catterick

ongoing positions

NBA

play off game 2's

the Spurs beat the clippers in overtime 111-107 to tie the series 1-1

Click to see full-size image.

Memphis beat Portland 97-82 to go 2-0 up



Cricket

A century from Varun Chopra helped Warwickshire secure a draw against Hampshire, so draw no bet for us

Lancashire beat Derbyshire with 5-13 from 9 overs from Kyle Jarvis to go top of LVCC2 at this early stage

Click to see full-size image.

Root waiting to bat in Grenada...



NHL

The Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 6-1 to tie their series 2-2

Click to see full-size image.

Tennis

Nadal now odds on for ATP Barcelona after beating Almagro 6-3-6-1

Click to see full-size image.

Snooker

Shaun Murphy 7-2 after a session of his first round match

Click to see full-size image.

MLB

The White Sox won their second series of the year, beating the Indians 6-0

Click to see full-size image.

 

The Red Sox lost to the Rays 7-5

[TightEnd]

ahead of the semi draw

does anyone give Juve, with Pogba coming back

a shot at 8-1

or e/w 8-1 1/3 odds sportingbet? getting 5/2+ to qualify from a semi final

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/winner

what would be Juve's best draw if i was looking for a piece of the 8-1?

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/winner

Looks a good time to get SA Spurs into the outright nba portfolio at Paddy 6/1.  Decent unders on bf.  They grabbed the home court last night from the Clippers.  Recommend £50 at 6/1.  Also £50 at 10/3 with paddy they win the western conference as well.  This makes them a 8/13 shot to win the finals which seems about right to me even though certain characters thought the Spurs would be an underdog in any finals series. 

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/winner

Looks a good time to get SA Spurs into the outright nba portfolio at Paddy 6/1.  Decent unders on bf.  They grabbed the home court last night from the Clippers.  Recommend £50 at 6/1.  Also £50 at 10/3 with paddy they win the western conference as well.  This makes them a 8/13 shot to win the finals which seems about right to me even though certain characters thought the Spurs would be an underdog in any finals series. 

I'll need some help

away from PP its 5/1 for the winner

if anyone can get us on at PP at 6-1 please let me know

same with western conference

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/western-conference/winner

away from PP its 5/2 best


ty in advance to anyone out there!

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/winner

Looks a good time to get SA Spurs into the outright nba portfolio at Paddy 6/1.  Decent unders on bf.  They grabbed the home court last night from the Clippers.  Recommend £50 at 6/1.  Also £50 at 10/3 with paddy they win the western conference as well.  This makes them a 8/13 shot to win the finals which seems about right to me even though certain characters thought the Spurs would be an underdog in any finals series. 

I'll need some help

away from PP its 5/1 for the winner

if anyone can get us on at PP at 6-1 please let me know

same with western conference

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/western-conference/winner

away from PP its 5/2 best


ty in advance to anyone out there!

If anything i would be more inclined to go heavier on the conference bet at 10/3 than the 6/1 outright.  Adjust recommendation to £80 western conference 10/3 and £40 outright 6/1.

[Chompy]

[edit]

[Marky147]

Can do both of those for you, if nobody else has gotten you on.

[TightEnd]

Can do both of those for you, if nobody else has gotten you on.

thank you

"Adjust recommendation to £80 western conference 10/3 and £40 outright 6/1"

please let tikay know the net balance after they are placed.

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/ante-post/rpgtv-naps-table/winner

Pat Kelly 10/1 ew for this heat is a cracking ew bet at 1/4 odds.  Recommend £50 ew

Obviously the make up of the event makes this a great ew bet esp at 1/4 odds.  It is basically a tipping competition amongst the presenters of the 5 times a week (channel 212 on sky) dog channel.  It is running from Jan 1 to Dec 31 2015.  Pat Kelly is the best judge of all of the presenters on this channel and the only one who makes betting pay long term imo.  He is the Hove RP writer/tipster and the Hove course commentator.  The vast majority of the rest of the field are just RPost writers/commentators who just stick a pin in every week and don't take this too seriously.  You can tell Kelly would really like to win this for his own ego which is a big factor in the bet.

The current leader Meek works for corals doing shop comms as his main job.  He is pretty clueless and a guesser with no real betting brain when it comes to value.  He is currently showing a level stakes £20 profit on the year so far.  The guy in 2nd has around £10 profit and openly admits he is a clueless punter but is a comedy anchor for the show to provide entertainment to the casuals who watch. Kelly is +£3.  All the other runners are already showing a loss for the year.  Half the field is effectively out of the contest already imo.

There is no link to show the current table but they occasionally show the naps table updated on a week by week basis on the show.

I backed Kelly quite large at the start of the event at 5/1 and this ew spot is an even better bet imo at 1/4 odds.  These prices haven't been updated by Ladbrokes since last night's show when Kelly landed his nap and next best bets on the show to close the gap and go into a clear 3rd in the table.

[Marky147]

Can do both of those for you, if nobody else has gotten you on.

thank you

"Adjust recommendation to £80 western conference 10/3 and £40 outright 6/1"

please let tikay know the net balance after they are placed.

Done.