Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

I tend not to recommend football bets here as I'm nowhere near as confident as when it comes to motorsport. However, Blose seem out of line on this market for Hull:

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/hull-v-burnley/match-result-and-both-teams-to-score

Thoughts?

It isn't massively out of line or out of line with the 2-1, 3-1 and 4-1 correct scores?  I am on my mobile so can't see bwin, and have taken 4-1 off their site.

Well, price at most bookies is 3/1, price at blose is (or was?) 4/1.

4-1 still there but not really ool, bit of 7-2 around and plenty of 100-30.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £481.41

Outstanding bets £2801.32

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=24

No bets completed yesterday

NBA

Derrick Rose scored 30 points including the winner at the buzzer as the Chicago Bulls beat the Cleveland Cavs 99-96 to go 2-1 up in their play off series



The LA Clippers beat the Rockets 124-99 to go 2-1 up in their series. Austin Rivers came off the bench and scored 25 points

Click to see full-size image.

F1

Rosberg getting on for a second behind Hamilton in friday practice

Decent performance from Toro Rosso in Spain free practice, boding well for the Verstappen bet this weekend



Poor news for Force India, where we are long of season pouints, upgrades to a more competitive package postponed from their initial introduction date of Austria and not talking of being competitive this weekend

MLB

Toronto beat the Red Sox 7-0, the White-Sox/Reds game was postponed due to rain

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/to-win-the-playoffs

bwin got 2/1 Mboro to go up.  They just laid it to me and held the price.  Recommend whatever you can get on up to £100 for fred if anyone is around to place for fred.

Good spot, sorry i missed it. post election crash/recharge of batteries

[TightEnd]

Bruno Senna is 40/1 to win the Monaco ePrix. Considering he just topped the second practice session, it's worth a max bet each way!

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e/monte-carlo-eprix/winner

I was limited to £10.92 EW.

no markets available

is it Paddy Power only?

[Peter-27]

Poor news for Force India, where we are long of season pouints, upgrades to a more competitive package postponed from their initial introduction date of Austria and not talking of being competitive this weekend

Sergio Perez has been giving mis-information about this. One VJM08B (the new car) is on track to be ready for the Austrian GP, but there are a number of reasons why it may not race (delays in part sourcing, reliability concerns etc.). At the very latest, both cars will be ready for the post-Austrian GP test, and will race at the British GP

I've seen some of the data coming from the wind tunnel and you definitely don't need to worry about this bet  

[Peter-27]

Bruno Senna is 40/1 to win the Monaco ePrix. Considering he just topped the second practice session, it's worth a max bet each way!

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e/monte-carlo-eprix/winner

I was limited to £10.92 EW.

no markets available

is it Paddy Power only?

It was, yes.

[Teacake]

For balance seeing as I had a mild pop at Geoff for his rather one sided reporting of the GWS top 8 bet in the AFL they have just recorded a massive upset win over the reigning Premiers and the team widely regarded as the best in the competition.

They are currently 4-2 and inside the 8, I would say they are one game ahead of where I would realistically have had them after 6 games however they have proved now that they can beat anyone on their day. On a more cautionary note they can also lose to anyone as they were absolutely hammered by West Coast last week and some of the teams around them have started better than expected. At the very least you'll get a run for your money here.

[TightEnd]

For balance seeing as I had a mild pop at Geoff for his rather one sided reporting of the GWS top 8 bet in the AFL they have just recorded a massive upset win over the reigning Premiers and the team widely regarded as the best in the competition.

They are currently 4-2 and inside the 8, I would say they are one game ahead of where I would realistically have had them after 6 games however they have proved now that they can beat anyone on their day. On a more cautionary note they can also lose to anyone as they were absolutely hammered by West Coast last week and some of the teams around them have started better than expected. At the very least you'll get a run for your money here.

cheers

not a sport i follow

how long is the season?

8 teams into the play-offs?

who are the top few teams?

[TightEnd]

this price on villa more bookings than west ham is still there

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/aston-villa-v-west-ham/most-bookings

there seemed to be some mixed views overnight but on balance supportive?

west ham top of fair play ex Liverpool who would be in with a top six finish anyway, top of english fair play gets into the europa, owners would like them in the europa, help recruitment of a new manager?

http://www.premierleague.com/en-gb/matchday/fair-play.html is the current table

summed that up ok?

[TightEnd]

is the victoria cup a race we should be looking at?

5 place each way 7f cavalry charge

big weights rarely win it...16 of the 29 have over 9st....only 2/10 winners over 9st...

that help at all?

[Peter-27]

Got another F1 bet to recommend:

Group C (KVY/ALO/MAL/BUT) - Jenson Button @ 6/1 with Bet254. All weekend McLaren have looked like a threat to score points. With the pace they have, they could well top this group. 6/1 is too high on Jenson. Suggest £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/spanish-grand-prix/group-c

There is an interesting bet here:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/spanish-grand-prix/to-reach-qualifying-session-three

Jenson Button at 7/5 is priced correctly (so not value) - but my instinct is telling me that this will happen based on what we've seen so far this weekend. I'm sticking £20 on. I'll leave it up to TFT's discretion if they wish to take this or not

EDIT: The market is fluctuating quite a bit on this one, I am personally happy to take 7/5 or above though.

[TightEnd]

Got another F1 bet to recommend:

Group C (KVY/ALO/MAL/BUT) - Jenson Button @ 6/1 with Bet254. All weekend McLaren have looked like a threat to score points. With the pace they have, they could well top this group. 6/1 is too high on Jenson. Suggest £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/spanish-grand-prix/group-c

There is an interesting bet here:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/spanish-grand-prix/to-reach-qualifying-session-three

Jenson Button at 7/5 is priced correctly (so not value) - but my instinct is telling me that this will happen based on what we've seen so far this weekend. I'm sticking £20 on. I'll leave it up to TFT's discretion if they wish to take this or not

EDIT: The market is fluctuating quite a bit on this one, I am personally happy to take 7/5 or above though.

no go

restricted to 83p


Button to reach q3


2x mercedes
2 x ferrari
2x williams
1 or 2  redbull..2 probably
1 or 2 toro rosso..maybe 1
1 or 2 lotus maybe 1
Alonso, who he would have to qualify above

Button is a notoriously poor qualifier (relative to team mates). much better racer than single lap driver

it should be odds against Button right, so 7/5 is about right?

[Peter-27]

Got another F1 bet to recommend:

Group C (KVY/ALO/MAL/BUT) - Jenson Button @ 6/1 with Bet254. All weekend McLaren have looked like a threat to score points. With the pace they have, they could well top this group. 6/1 is too high on Jenson. Suggest £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/spanish-grand-prix/group-c

There is an interesting bet here:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/spanish-grand-prix/to-reach-qualifying-session-three

Jenson Button at 7/5 is priced correctly (so not value) - but my instinct is telling me that this will happen based on what we've seen so far this weekend. I'm sticking £20 on. I'll leave it up to TFT's discretion if they wish to take this or not

EDIT: The market is fluctuating quite a bit on this one, I am personally happy to take 7/5 or above though.

no go

restricted to 83p


Button to reach q3


2x mercedes
2 x ferrari
2x williams
1 or 2  redbull..2 probably
1 or 2 toro rosso..maybe 1
1 or 2 lotus maybe 1
Alonso, who he would have to qualify above

Button is a notoriously poor qualifier (relative to team mates). much better racer than single lap driver

it should be odds against Button right, so 7/5 is about right?

In the two qualifying sessions this season where Button and Alonso have both set lap times, Button is 2-0 up.

7/5 is about right really, given how tight the midfield is. I've just noticed that Button is driving with more confidence this weekend, and he's taking a different line in the final few corners compared to previous seasons which appears to be working for him. I've asked for £30 at 2.92 on the exchange.

[Tal]

is the victoria cup a race we should be looking at?

5 place each way 7f cavalry charge

big weights rarely win it...16 of the 29 have over 9st....only 2/10 winners over 9st...

that help at all?

I keep backing Buckstay. Must win one of these pinstickers eventually. Poorly performing favourite last time out. Now down to 7f. The extra weight is more than set off by the change in jockey to the promising Tom Marquand, who is claiming 7lb and rode the horse to 2/21 at Doncaster two races ago.

20/1 doesn't feel like the worst price.

Can find an argument for ten in this, though. We need tikay's algo and a spider on rollerskates.

[arbboy]

is the victoria cup a race we should be looking at?

5 place each way 7f cavalry charge

big weights rarely win it...16 of the 29 have over 9st....only 2/10 winners over 9st...

that help at all?

No ew value even with 5 places imo.  Would be betting win only if you are playing with the firms.